StackAddict 🗨

Когда старик у крепости потерял коня, откуда знать, что это не счастье?

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

My investment view:
1. Al capex boom continues
2. Electrification demand continues
3. Asia remains structurally important
4. Fiat currencies weaken over time
5. Hard assets outperform financial assets
6. US mega-cap tech remains dominant

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

My 6-month silver outlook:
Base case: Likely range: USD 68–95
Most probable zone by late 2026: around USD 78–88
Volatility: extremely high
Probability of revisiting >100: possible if Iran tensions de-escalate and the Fed signals cuts, but not my base case within 6 months

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

Is structural demand still intact while panic selling fades?
Right now, that long-term structure still appears alive, even though short-term momentum remains shaky.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

The key levels many silver traders are watching now:
~70–72 = major support zone
~68 = danger zone
below ~68 = risk of cascade selling into mid-60s
reclaiming ~76–80 = first sign bulls are regaining control.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

Silver prices, for the next 6 months:
50% chance: choppy bullish grind higher
30% chance: sharp breakout / momentum rally
20% chance: macro slowdown causes major correction.
The path of least resistance is still upward.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

Silver is outperforming gold. While gold is down 0.9% today, silver is up nearly 3%, trading around $77.73. The "Silver Squeeze" of 2026 is real, driven by a physical deficit that the paper market can no longer ignore.
​The Prediction: Silver is heading for a breakout test at $82

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

Gold is currently trapped. Higher energy prices are driving inflation fears, which should help gold. But those same fears are making the Fed more hawkish, which pushes the USD up and gold down.
​The Prediction: Expect gold to trade in a tight but violent range of $4,630 – $4,850.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

The "March Delivery Crisis" is the main topic in the pits right now. If the exchanges can settle the current month without a cash-settlement default, we might see more consolidation. If delivery failures occur, the gap between the spot $ & the physical price will likely explode.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

The long bull trend of 2025 isn't over.$60 feels like a "healthy breather" floor in a structurally tight market, not a new bear market. I'd expect choppy consolidation near current levels into early summer, then a resumption toward $90–100+ avgs by late 2026 if fundamentals hold.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

@DonaldW60852684 Don, you are the person who made those millions in the first place. The market can take your capital, but it cannot take the intellect, the work ethic, and the risk-taking ability that built that wealth.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

We're at the "Maximum Pessimism" phase. If $65 doesn't hold by the close today, the next stop is the psychological $60 level. I'm watching the Volume Profile—if the highest volume of the year at $65, that is the "exhaustion" point where the big players are secretly buying back.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

Comex is testing $70 level.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

The Bear: If $75.00 fails on a weekly close, we're going to $68 to hunt for more "weak hand" liquidity.
​The Bull: At $75, silver's a steal for industrial users. Every minute we stay at this price, the 2026 deficit gets worse because miners stop investing & scrap supply dries up

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

I am still bullish because industrial demand is price-insensitive. Solar panel manufacturers and AI chip makers don't care if the COMEX says $75 or $95—they need the ounces, and those ounces are disappearing from the vaults.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

We are in the "Maximum Pain" phase of the 50-year Cup-and-Handle. The "Handle" is being formed by the blood of leveraged longs.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

Business as usual

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

Right now, it try to make you capitulate.
​For paper trader: Get out/lower your leverage. The volatility'll liquidate you bfr the thesis plays out.
​For physical holder: This's the "shakeout" bfr the Cup n' Handle breakout. $80 is a gift to stackers, but a nightmare for gamblers.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

Shanghai is still trading silver at a significant premium. They haven't abandoned the $90+ level yet.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

The East is still bullish.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

The East is still bullish.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

The "De-dollarization" trade was a huge driver for $120 silver. If Russia pivots back to the Dollar, the "fear bid" for hard assets evaporates instantly. This caused silver to plunge nearly 10% in 30 minutes as crowded trades were unwound.

[StackAddict 🗨 @ribus88]

The "De-dollarization" trade was a huge driver for $120 silver. If Russia pivots back to the Dollar, the "fear bid" for hard assets evaporates instantly. This caused silver to plunge nearly 10% in 30 minutes as crowded trades were unwound.