Richfubao

CEO of looking busy while achieving nothing. Top 99,999% @Polymarket trader

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@mahera777 inspirational

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@noisyb0y1 just somewhere on twitter

[Richfubao @richfubao]

This is exactly WHY Polymarket AI bots will win no matter what

Arbitrage is the key to success on Prediction Markets.

That's why 5-min and 15-min Crypto Markets are easily to profit on if you have special EDGE

Save for latter.

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@0xashensoul @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade risk free?

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@crypt0b3ar YES! We need to discover more about it

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@SelenkaOnChain do you think they are taking any risk?

[Richfubao @richfubao]

The most powerful bot on Polymarket

It scaled to over 5,700 predictions in one month and pulled in $317,000+ profit.

This Polymarket trader built custom software focused on short-term BTC and ETH markets with 15-minute intervals.

High volatility in crypto constantly creates pricing inefficiencies across the order book.

His bot finds and exploits them in milliseconds.

The bot runs 24/7.
$75k in open positions at any given moment.
Biggest single win: $31,400. Win rate sits at 87%.

If you are still trading these markets manually, you are leaving money on the table.

[Richfubao @richfubao]

This BOT hacked Ethereum Liquidity Pattern

He is making over $50.000 WEEKLY. Trading ONLY ETH

How that's even possible? It can use different strategies:

1/ Arbitraging between platforms
2/ Arbitraging on same platform but buying both outcomes when sum s <1$
3/ Using secret strategies that's are based on liquidity or other key indicators.

We've seen a lot of BTC bots, now we know king of the ETH

[Richfubao @richfubao]

This Market Maker Just Made $26,000 in ONE DAY on Polymarket

This account appeared out of NOWHERE on February 11th.

Brand new profile. Zero history.

And within 24 hours it's printing money like a hedge fund.

$22.4K in open positions. $28.5 biggest single win. 35 predictions. Almost ALL of them green. A 70% win rate from Day 1.

So who's behind it? Wintermute? DWF Labs? Jump Trading? Or someone we haven't even heard of yet?

Look at the trades Bitcoin Up or Down, Ethereum calls every 15-minute window, this thing is eating the market alive. Returns of 112%, 166%, even 318% on single positions.

This is NOT a human.

Because no retail trader joins a platform and immediately starts printing $26K/day with surgical accuracy across dozens of rapid-fire crypto predictions.

[Richfubao @richfubao]

We gave Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT money and financial data to trade stocks/ETFs.

That is what I found out on Reddit. It was pushed 4 days ago

Somebody gave AI money and succeed.

$50k a Month in Profit.

Feels like this Polymarket trader saw this research and started using Claude models as setup for Polymarket Trading

If in this research bots was trading Stock Market, Poly bot is trading Politics.

Such an interesting time we live in.

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@winngamerx for real

[Richfubao @richfubao]

Found ~$40M in realized arbitrage profit extracted by participants.

The two mechanisms are straightforward:

1. Market Rebalancing Arbitrage
In any market with mutually exclusive outcomes, YES prices should sum to exactly $1. When they don't, there's a risk-free position:

Sum < $1 → buy all YES tokens, one must resolve to $1.
Sum > $1 → buy all NO tokens (or split + sell YES), guaranteed payout exceeds cost.

Profit = |Σ val(Yᵢ, t) − 1|

Median price deviation across detected opportunities was ~$0.40 on the dollar. That's not a rounding error - it's structural mispricing.

2. Combinatorial Arbitrage

Some markets describe the same event at different granularities (e.g., "Who wins Georgia?" alongside "Dem wins Georgia by 0-1%?"). When the dependent subsets are priced inconsistently across markets, you construct a portfolio where at least one leg is guaranteed to pay out.

The researchers used DeepSeek-R1 to infer logical dependencies between 46,000+ market pairs and validated 13 exploitable dependent pairs in U.S. election markets alone.

What the data actually showed by category:
Sports - highest frequency of arbitrage opportunities, predominantly long. Most conditions had only a few windows, but they were consistent month over month. Surprisingly low exploitation rate.
Politics - largest dollar volume extracted, driven almost entirely by U.S. election markets in Nov 2024. Both long and short strategies active.
Crypto - highest profit-per-dollar outliers but fewer total opportunities.

Key nuance: Polymarket uses a CLOB (central limit order book), so none of these trades are atomic. You can get partial fills - one leg executes, the other doesn't. This is fundamentally different from DEX arbitrage where failed trades simply revert. The paper notes this execution risk explicitly.

[Richfubao @richfubao]

We gave Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT money and financial data to trade stocks/ETFs.

That is what I found out on Reddit. It was pushed 4 days ago

Somebody gave AI money and succeed.

$50k a Month in Profit.

Feels like this Polymarket trader saw this research and started using Claude models as setup for Polymarket Trading

If in this research bots was trading Stock Market, Poly bot is trading Politics.

Such an interesting time we live in.

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@0xLanister streets must be safe, totally agreed

[Richfubao @richfubao]

Kidnapper will Be Behind Bars in 17 Days?

Polymarket just exploded with a 49% spike in a single day.

Someone knows something.

Let that satisfying number sink in for a second.

The resolution criteria is razor sharp: physical custody, formal booking, or surrender by 11:59 PM ET on February 28.

No warrants-only loopholes, no "person of interest" games.

Actual handcuffs or it doesn't count.

That means the crowd believes law enforcement is days not weeks away from making a move.

Buckle up.

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@AleiahLock insane market

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@ContextDie let's connect friend

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@uthman_adeniji let's engage to each other man

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@nftkira_kr ready to yap, who else?

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@absnn355 follow back fam

[Richfubao @richfubao]

@HypioHL #trumpsupercycle