Ethereum has arrived at the macro range lows, at last!
This is the time for the bulls to show their horns or head to the slaughterhouse.
I'm getting long here at the logical level with tight invalidation and the prospect of macro adoption in the upcoming years.
Nothing has changed from my macro bias.
Just cause the odds are high does not mean it will work either, but it is the right decision. Understanding this will lead you to positive longevity results.
Keep calm & just follow ze plan!
BTC vs NVDA.
You haven't seen it anywhere before, then you'll see it everywhere & then everyone will tell you that it won't play out cause you see it everywhere.
"every/anywhere" used lightly.
Don't lose the sight of the forest for the trees.
The market is staring at the abyss of breaking the HTF trend despite all odds
Despite rate cuts, end of QT, extreme fear for weeks, IWM breaking ATHs, stocks at ATHs for months, whales accumulating for an entire year and so on and so on
For me it is not there yet but a Daily & mainly Weekly candles must be saved
I don't think BTC can lose the psychological & TA level of 100K and be ok, if it were to happen, I'd be forced to adapt to a new trend as per my system despite all contextual odds as you have seen me do the past years
We spent more than 200 days accepting above 100K. Accepting below & in the prior range would have me thinking range lows would be next
But until then & even though things got pushed to the extreme, it can still recover. Similar situation for ETH. Now its bulls time to prove a point 🤝
$BTC Q4 2024 vs $ETH Q4 2025
It's very interesting to see how $ETH is printing very similar price action to what $BTC did last year at this time.
Not to mention that this price action occurred on $BTC after sweeping the previous cycle all time high... just like what $ETH is doing right now.
I wouldn't expect thing to play out exactly the same (obviously), but its been interesting to watch how its been playing out so far.
Pay attention to the people who are bearish on Bitcoin here near the lows. You can make many millions of dollars in the near future by simply doing the opposite of these people repeatedly.
Ethereum pulling back into a key zone here.
Price is testing the weekly 20 EMA — lined up perfectly with horizontal support and the 0.382 Fib.
Either this area holds and sends it back up, or we start eyeing the next leg lower toward the 0.618.
Decision time for $ETH.
I have been meditating on this for dozens of hours on long runs in the high mountains over the last couple weeks and I believe the crux cycle move for Bitcoin will begin in earnest in the next 7-12 days with 85% confidence. There is nothing to stop it now. Hang tight.
Your inability to work without reward for an extended period of time will hurt your potential far more than your lack of talent.
Before you can become exceptional, you must first become consistent.
Before you "make it" you should EXPECT a LONG period where you are grinded down and not sure if all the shit you do is even worth it.
By default if everyone makes it, no one makes it.
This is the filter and why only 1% make it. MOST won't push through. Push.
RUT/SPX.
The ETHBTC of stocks, clear signs of bottom. Contextually correct with the macro backdrop.
Both pairs act as risk barometers within their ecosystems.
Both reflect capital rotation and liquidity confidence.
RUT on the precipice of an ATH breakout.
Bullish signals flashing everywhere.
Bearish psy-ops and technical nonsense everywhere.