This man knows the market.
He predicted:
1) Dot-com Bubble (2000)
2) Great Recession (2008)
3) The COVID Bubble (2021)
Howard Marks just went on Bloomberg and said "tariffs are changing everything."
Here is his latest warning: 🧵
#biotech indicator extremes match or eclipse dire readings at prior lows.
1) % of Bios > 50 DMA sunk to single digits. Each 5 prior times readings achieved this threshold since the meltdown -66% low in May/June 2022, rallies of +13%, +29%, +10%, +25% & +20% ensued for the $IBB
2) % of Bios above their 200-DMA matched the extreme of said May/june major Low that held for 14 months
3) With a mind boggling 421 new 1-yr lows in Healthcare/Biotech, the % of Top 250 bios within 5% of a 1-yr Low at 60%, again equaled the crash low of May 2022. Can you imagine how much worse it is among the microcap bios? $XLV $XBI
Remarkably, literally no one is interested in Calls on the $IBB over the past month (7-to-1 Put-to-Call ratio average daily), and especially over the past week (24-to-1 Put-to-Call ratio). Looks like everyone is on one side of the boat. #biotech
Physical gold BUYING has gone apocalyptic:
Gold inventories in the 3 largest COMEX gold vaults just surged by 15 MILLION ounces in 2 months.
That's a +115% increase, putting physical gold holdings ABOVE 2020 pandemic levels.
What is happening? Let us explain.
(a thread)
The Great Toronto Condo Crash Gathers Momentum
The stories of losses on Pre-construction sub 500 sqft Dog Crate Condos & even on slightly larger 600+ sqft units just keep on coming
The same themes but different problems & really bad outcomes
More details are emerging
2/
Robert Anton, President and Partner, Dave Scobie, COO and Partner, Larry Guy, Managing Director, Cheng Dang, EVP of Finance and Rich Goode, EVP, of @NextEdgeCapital, along with their team and representatives from Ridgewood Capital Asset Management, joined us to open the market and celebrate the listing of the 2028 Investment Grade Bond Trust (TSX: $IGBT).
The 2028 Investment Grade Bond Trust is a closed-end fund that is invested primarily in corporate debt securities of Canadian companies.
📈EVERY Major "2024 Outlook" from the World's Top Banks, Asset Managers, Private Equity & Consulting Firms
Credit and thank you to Anthony Cheung for posting on Linkedin.
Let's dive in!
BANKS (US):
J.P. Morgan https://t.co/EKzAa1qUfu
J.P. Morgan Private Bank https://t.co/RpFgNoPvAE
Goldman Sachs https://t.co/KIwsDEmAz4
Goldman Sachs Asset Management https://t.co/pS8WBkBwDE
Morgan Stanley https://t.co/u1hJysNz3B
Bank of America https://t.co/LGYLbx3lLQ
Bank of America Private Bank https://t.co/VbncCAc8iy
Citi https://t.co/hQZVnqiU7R
Wells Fargo https://t.co/WxhUHfmFJu
BNY Mellon https://t.co/bTRtPge6R4
State Street https://t.co/cAqPSu7Vin
Lazard https://t.co/7umJrc3Kvl
T. Rowe Price. https://t.co/RZpWJ2SdA4
TD Securities https://t.co/A3ofbnNb7u
Charles Schwab https://t.co/ZjpdhRd059
RBC Capital Markets https://t.co/yHG9UDAOlQ
#Gold making all time highs in most currencies and the pos usd will be next. Meanwhile many precious metals stocks are near bottoms. Especially juniors. We are at the cusp of a 5-10 year mega move that will see #preciousmetals metals create generational wealth for early entrants
On the pantheon of #biotech futility, this super-bear has now ascended to the 2nd longest ever, approaching 1,000 days, as it grounds every small cap to dust, where trading at cash is the new overpriced. $XBI down -61% is a stone's throw away from the -65% June 16th 2022 low.
Good Morning Everyone! I can’t believe I am saying this but the slump in 10-year and 30-year bonds is approaching the epic drops we saw in stocks during the 2008 financial crisis and the dot-com bubble bust:
📉 10-year bonds are down 46% (vs. 49% for dot-com stocks)
📉 30-year bonds are down 53% (vs. 57% for 2008 stocks)
Bonds are facing their own crisis now.
View the latest monthly commentary, performance and portfolio statistics for the Veritas Next Edge Premium Yield Fund: https://t.co/ZMKWfz33nK
#AlternativeInvestments#NextEdgeCapital#Veritas