robert macIntosh II

Owner sequia construction fascinated with weather always searching more. PADI rescue diver. Emergency first responder. Fastest skier you've never skied with.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 well I hit 29° in Manassas this morning. Don’t know of a way to correlate to my idea of ground moisture but it seemed to work.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 good afternoon, I think this Monday night/Tuesday morning is a decent test of my ground moisture playing a role in marginal events. With how dry the ground is I think we’ll hit 29° at Dulles. If it was wet 31°.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 I’m going back to my theory around ground temps and moisture content relative to strong storms tomorrow. I think the ground is too dry to support T-storms.

[Boston Radio Watch®️ @bostonradio]

Happy “Agony of Defeat Guy” Day if you’re observing it.

56 years ago today, March 21, 1970, a 22-year old Slovenian ski jumper Vinko Bogataj took the iconic spill at the World Ski Jumping Championships in West Germany.

ABC stoped running Wide World of Sports in January 1998.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@FurkanGozukara

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 We might still get some winds with the cold front. Yeah, we’ve had some severe storms in march. I’ve been trying to figure out a key on which way to lean in marginal, snow/severe and high/low temps events around here and I’m starting to lean towards ground temps+moisture cont.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 I was skeptical of high end storms around here without the ground being warmer. We have a lot of water around here also and it’s still quite cold. Maybe the recent rains have put a dent in the drought. I sure the farmers are happy.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 Wasn’t the meat of today’s weather supposed to happen between 3-7/9 pm?The earlier stuff wasn’t going to be that much. Hence to early dismissal of schools

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@dougkammerer dumping sleet in Centreville Va

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@grantpaulsen Only 35 more players to go. Keep it up.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 @fox5dc Dumping in Manassas. Looks like the IVT has set up.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 I quick internet search says DC got 18”.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@dougkammerer 26mb pressure drop in 12 hours and it can only come up with 45 mph gusts on the coast. It’ll be howling at 60-65mph sustained. Again underdone by 25-30%.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@dougkammerer The euro is still underdone on totals by about 25-30%. Especially closer to the coast.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 The HRRR has a different surface presentation then its 850 and 925 mb would suggest. Surface marginal at 35°. Understand roads will be an issue.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@AccuRayno Do not EVER think that. Absolutely invaluable information. Can’t thank you enough.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@AccuRayno Missing 1?

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 Amazing the amount of money spent on the GFS and 3 days out its putting out that kind of solution. At day 16 it’s excusable. But if it goes to an inch in a day it’s a giant piece of 💩 that can never be trusted again!

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@capitalweather It strange to have the euro in doubt in the 3-7 day window. That’s usually its strongest area. It hasn’t performed that well this winter.

[robert macIntosh II @robertmacIntos3]

@MikeTFox5 No euro?