Robin Bertlin

Trader, Analyst, Investor and family man. The biggest position held 1.5B dollars.

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

The 10-year Treasury yield is breaking above its 150-year average of 4.5%.

[Mac10 @SuburbanDrone]

There it is:
The worst current economic conditions index reading in U.S. history, and stocks at all time highs:

There is no question that Trump is The Manchurian Candidate. He is fully compromised.

[Holger Zschaepitz @Schuldensuehner]

The AI boom is becoming a debt boom and credit markets are getting nervous. Oracle’s 5y CDS trades near a record 261bps, implying a 20.4% default probability. SpaceX: 16.5%. Even Nvidia: >7%. AI-related borrowers have issued nearly $500bn of debt this year, Bloomberg reports. The question: how much future AI revenue is already being spent?

[Mac10 @SuburbanDrone]

This is the chart of the week:

We've never seen anything this crazy before. Of course I say that every day now.

[Forbes @Forbes]

Hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio said the artificial intelligence bubble is nearing the point where it may burst as interest rates rise and technology companies borrow heavily to fund the AI infrastructure build out.
Read more: https://t.co/fPTDhpuAik
📸: Amal Alhasan via Getty Images for Fortune Media

[SentimenTrader @sentimentrader]

Emerging markets have often come under pressure first when U.S. breadth deteriorated sharply.
Across 19 U.S. breadth extremes, MXEF fell two sessions later in 15 cases, averaging -1.91%.

Read full analysis: https://t.co/Zz2a13m6ta

[Data Driven Stocks @stockdatamarket]

Stock market of 2026

[Colin @colin_gladman]

This next massive equity drawdown is gonna be so obvious in hindsight.

$VIX suppression is off the charts.

Chart courtesy of @tastyliveshow and @jam_croissant

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

I told you so.

God help us all.

[Mac10 @SuburbanDrone]

History will say that the October 7th, 2023 attack led to oil war. Which led to global collapse. Three years later.

The whole world is paying for this war.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: Dow futures fall nearly -500 points as oil prices surge over +5% and US Treasury Yields hit new 24-year highs.

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

BREAKING: Japan 10-year yield hits a new all-time high.

[Mac10 @SuburbanDrone]

This is a bonkers chart:

The 5 week average of NYSE lows is the same at this SPX all time high, as it was at the two year low in April 2025:

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

Futures heading lower:

[Financial Times @FT]

A global bond sell-off resumed on Wednesday, pushing long-term US borrowing costs back to their highest since 2002, as fears over inflation and high public debt burdens rattled investors https://t.co/v50FlDVUlm

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: The US 10Y Note Yield rises above 5.35% for the first time in 24 years.

That brings the total move since the pre-Iran War low to +143 basis points.

Mortgage rates are at fresh 3-year highs.

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

U.S. bonds just posted their worst 10-year return in history

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: The S&P 500 is now worth a record $71.3 trillion, up +24% from its March 30th low.

This pushes the total market cap of the US stock market above $82 trillion.

That's ~7.5 TIMES larger than China, the world's 2nd largest stock market, and 28 times larger than Germany.

Asset owners are winning.

[Mac10 @SuburbanDrone]

Crash from all time highs.

Is now inevitable.

[Mac10 @SuburbanDrone]

AI stocks made three sequential highs before collapsing in the summer.

The same pattern is repeating at the correction high.