Robin C. Forsberg

🇫🇮 Economist, MLE, PhD researcher (@helsinkiuni). Contributor at Wilson Center. Ex-Meta. Ex-Researcher at Johns Hopkins SAIS 🇺🇸 #tech #security #econ

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@MikaAaltola Huomaa ettet ole taloustieteilijä. Ei kannata missään nimessä tehdä nopeita ja ei-harkittuja päätöksiä ennen kuin todelliset vaikutukset talouteen on laskettu.

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@RayDalio @grok what are ray dalio’s books about

[oiip @InfoOiip]

Geopolitical threats demand more than military strength. 🇪🇺 Finland’s Comprehensive Security Model provides a valuable framework for crafting a unified EU resilience strategy.

Read more in our analysis by @RobinCForsberg & Aku-M. Kähkönen 👇

https://t.co/407HWEdRiD

[Michael A. Horowitz @michaelh992]

This is quickly becoming the narrative now, that Russia and Iran just said "meh", and chose not to support #Assad in his time of need because they didn't see sufficient value in it.

I personally very much disagree with this.

Iran has invested significantly in Syria, and was looking to leverage multiple economic projects across Syria to recoup some of its "investments". At the time of Assad's fall, it was still sending tankers loaded with crude oil, who had to turn back once the regime fell. It still had militias inside Sayyeda Zeinab. Hezbollah sent troops to Homs and Qusayr.

Russia was still striking opposition fighters, in the hours that preceded the fall. There are claims that some Russian soldiers are stranded because of how fast things went. For Russia this is potentially a massive loss, that puts into question how they will continue to project influence outside of their immediate vicinity, including in Africa, the Mediterranean and to a lesser extent Libya. The Russian "life insurance for dictators" has shown itself to be empty.

I think there is a much simpler explanation: Given how fast things went (less than two weeks in a conflict that last more than 10 years!), Russia and Iran were completely stunned, and unable to decide and quickly sent enough reinforcements. The regime was hollowed out by its own corruption, and the fallout of continued economic crises (including in Lebanon). Reconciled rebels switched side. Former rebel groups re-emerged. The whole thing was a dried out tree branch waiting to catch fire.

Russia and Iran (particularly Iran) seemed to have rested their hopes on diplomacy (I know, quite unusual, but that's what they had). They hoped contacts through the Astana format would help stop or delay the offensive. That the diplomatic clock would stop the military clock. It didn't, and there you are.

But to say they just looked at Assad and said "no thank you" - I don't believe it.

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@MikaelJungner Hyviä pointteja. Kyseessä mahdollisesti (globaali) kompleksinen ilmiö. Vaikkakin laskusuhdanne, sodat ja muut suuret voimat myllertävät samaan aikaan, näemme myös ihmisen itsekkyyden ja apatian. Missä yhteisöllisyys?

[Massimo @Rainmaker1973]

The Diomede Islands are located in the middle of the Bering Strait between mainland Alaska and Siberia.

They are about 3.8 km (2.4 mi) apart, but due to locally defined time zones, Big Diomede is only 21 hours ahead of Little Diomede.

[🎞️ GEOallday]

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@elonmusk What about 10+ years of unchecked QE? Any impact studies on these?

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@elonmusk It’s actually pretty great

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@Rainmaker1973

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@Rainmaker1973 Europe 🤩

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

Nearly 33 years of (near) Zero Interest Rates (ZIRP) and 23 years of Quantitative Easing come at a price you eventually must pay.

(Japan was always mentioned by the QE fools as a place where the strategy worked).

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@inspiratory Really cool product, congrats!

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@JasonCMoyer @WilsonCenterGEP @WinbergHenri @minna_alander @eadamson91 @HenriVanhanen @KakiElgin @akukahkonen @ErikBrattberg @PolarInstitute @SwedenNato @SwedeninUSA Together with Finland, Sweden will offer an important reinforcement in the Baltic Sea Region. For the Finnish perspective, read:

https://t.co/oUdAQOAjrA

[Global Europe Program @WilsonCenterGEP]

OUT NOW | The Turkish parliament just approved #Sweden joining #NATO. @JasonCMoyer & @WinbergHenri explain what will be 🇸🇪 contributions to the Alliance. Read the full article here ➡️https://t.co/TT6kbjK8Zq

[Global Europe Program @WilsonCenterGEP]

🇫🇮plays an important role in strengthening the Nordic security architecture and #Nato's capabilities in the #Arctic. Read the report by @RobinCForsberg, @JasonCMoyer & @akukahkonenon on #Finland's contributions to #NATO here➡️https://t.co/6Ux1y3KRay

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

RT @nntaleb: This not a war. This is a systematic massacre of civilians with destruction of a densely populated area to make it inhabitable…

[Gergely Orosz @GergelyOrosz]

AI-generated content is visibly polluting social media: and I believe it's still early days: we'll see much more of this.

I posted an article on LinkedIn, and within 5 minutes, 3 AI-generated responses followed (all of them summarizing what I wrote). None of them add anyting.

[Alexander Stubb @alexstubb]

Kiitos mahdollisuudesta ja luottamuksesta. On suuri kunnia olla ehdolla presidentinvaaleissa.

Tack för möjligheten och förtroendet. Det är en stor ära att få ställa upp i presidentvalet.

Tästä se lähtee.

Nu kör vi.

[Global Europe Program @WilsonCenterGEP]

#Finland is attending the #VilniusSummit as the newest #NATO member. More on why 🇫🇮 is a strong addition to the Alliance and its #Security architecture 👇

https://t.co/6Ux1y3KRay

@RobinCForsberg @akukahkonen @JasonCMoyer

[Robin C. Forsberg @RobinCForsberg]

@YongSooChung @jacksonfall AI