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Who cares about what Citadel did or didn't do to help blow up Situational Awareness. If he wasn't over leveraged he couldn't have blown up. Always the story of trying to make too much too fast.
Málo se to ví, ale finanční páka funguje nahoru úplně stejně, jako dolů.
BofA, JPM a GS si ho vychutnali 👌🏻
Citadel ��ze💯💪🏻
BREAKING: Situational Awareness, the hedge fund of ex-OpenAI employee Leopold Aschenbrenner, is being forced to unwind all public stock positions after steep losses
The fund exited all of their public investments through one trade with another major hedge fund, with prime brokers like BofA, Goldman and JPMorgan working with the fund as it sought to meet margin requirements
亏完了。
450亿美金。全球最大 AI 多头被做局。
CNBC刚出的消息。全部公开仓位打包卖掉。
7月初基金膨胀到 450 亿美金。重仓 Nebius、闪迪、美光、CoreWeave，这个月全跌了 35% 以上。做空 Adobe也被反杀。两头挨打。
接盘的是谁？Ken Griffin的 Citadel。华尔街最大对冲基金之一。
7月28日。Citadel 发报告，预测美联储意外加息25个基点。104位经济学家没有一个这么说。只有他们这么说。加息概率从10%拉到33%。
AI 股集体暴跌。
7月29日。Leopold 被 margin call。高盛、摩根、美银三家追保。同一天，美联储宣布：没加息。
Citadel 的预测错了。但市场已经砸了。仓已经爆了。
7月30日。Citadel 以地板价买走了他的全部仓位。
同一天：
Nebius +29%
Bloom Energy +25%
闪迪 +22%
CoreWeave +24%
SK海力士 +15%
从喊加息，到接盘。72小时。
一开始就被做局了？
赌狗还是天才？无限唏嘘。
25岁。管200亿美金。今天爆了。
OpenAI前员工。被炒之后写了篇165页的AI预言，全网疯转。华尔街追着送钱。基金两年从零干到200亿。
金融时报今天捅出来了。借贷资金。14倍杠杆。AI股一崩，扛不住了。找投资人要钱续命。
还跟投资人说，8月1号之前打钱，现在是千载难逢的抄底机会。
评论区都在说，这怎么听起来那么像币圈的SBF。
比你们想的还像。我��了一下。这哥们进华尔街之前，第一份工作就在FTX，给 SBF 打工的。
老板跑路坐牢了。他换了条赛道。一篇论文换来两百亿信任。14倍杠杆。膨胀。要钱续命。
同一个配方。
La situación se complica: Citadel asustó al mercado con una posible suba de tasas (sabiendo que no ocurriría), le generó un margin call a Leopold y le compró toda su cartera por chirolas.
@amitisinvesting citadel shaking the market just to buy up assets right after is wild timing
@steve2bacon What if Citadel is just waiting for all the monkeys to start luring and buying again so it can finally dump all its shares on them? I just wanted to mention it. But I'm sure everything is fine 🤓
@Dr_Crossroads Citadel bought. That’s the new alpha: hedge funds are now the smartest money managers.
when genius fails, you only find out who has been swimming naked when the tide turns etc.
absolute nailed it on stock selection
complete fail on risk management.
not as bad as ARKK obviously ;)
there is a reason funds like citadel, millenium, point72 et al endures for decades, risk management.
Leopoldo Aschenbrenner on @tbpn
“Citadel made up the whole rate increase story just to f*** me in the a**.!”
@altcap Serious Q, How can anyone expect today’s youth to get interested in the casino that the market has turned into? A place where manipulation and leverage destroys many and enriches the corrupt? (Think Citadel)
Locura lo que PASO:
Citadel venía metiendo miedo con una posible suba sorpresa de tasas.
Días después se hizo pelota el trade de IA y el fondo apalancado 4x de Leopold Aschenbrenner quedó obligado a vender cerca de los mínimos.
¿Quién terminó comprando buena parte de esos activos mucho más baratos? Según trascendió, Citadel.
Si realmente fue así, fue una jugada absolutamente despiadada.
🚨Wall Street cinema!
Citadel bought most of Leopold’s public portfolio from his $45B Situational Awareness fund after AI losses & margin calls.
Sold cheap to Ken Griffin.
Leopold marries this weekend.
Vet took out the new kid.
@calvinfroedge The theory is incredibly stupid. How does Citadel pushing a rate hike, that didn’t happen force Leopold to unwind? All the technical indicators were screaming that a correction in the AI supply chain trade was coming due. If he stayed in a crowded trade he’s an idiot.
I don’t think the market sold off because of Citadel, but it makes for a nice narrative.
🚨🚨 Did Citadel just rug pull Leopold?
July 28: Citadel "predicted" a surprise Fed rate hike, which historically tanks the market
July 29: Market sells off. Situational Awareness gets margin called. Fed left rates unchanged
July 30: Citadel acquires Leopold's entire portfolio
Same day, Leopold's holdings rally 15% to 29%
• $NBIS: +29%
• $BE: +25%
• $SNDK: +22%
• $IREN: +24%
• $CRWV: +24%
• $SKHY: +15%
Absolutely wild sequence of events
@amitisinvesting I wonder if citadel targeted his fund directly as a newcomer.
@jhwfung Yah
Citadel showed them how it's really done
Bought them out at a discount, and then next day the portfolio immediately popped like 80% (assuming 4x leverage)
It seems that
Citadel likes to work with CZ.
remember Luna?
remember it led to death to FTX..?
So..is situational awareness
the Luna here? or the FTX here..?
[ DOOMER ]
CZ BINANCE SEEKS TO ACQUIRE SITUATIONAL AWARENESS LP PENDING DD: COINTELEGRAPH