K Robbins

Investor and swing trader (I guess). Anti-doomer. Mostly RTs for my own reference.

[K Robbins @kirktrades]

so the market is going to like crash crash isn’t it

[Negligible Capital @negligible_cap]

*KOREA EXCHANGE ACTIVATES SIDECAR TO HALT KOSPI PROGRAM SELLING

Who could’ve seen this coming

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

🚨The bullish bet on US stocks is reaching historic extremes:

Net long futures positions among asset managers have surged to ~1 million contracts, matching some of the most stretched readings of the last two decades.

This comes as fund manager cash levels have dropped to near the lowest in 13 years, while Bank of America's Bull & Bear Indicator is flashing a strong 'sell signal'.

Equity funds now account for a record 64.7% of assets across a $72.9 trillion fund universe, meaning investors have never allocated a larger share of their portfolios to stocks.

Positioning reached similarly extreme levels in early 2018, just before the S&P 500 fell -10% in days during the "Volmageddon" selloff, and again in early 2025, shortly before stocks corrected in the following weeks.

When everyone is already in the trade, there are few buyers left to push prices higher, but plenty of sellers when sentiment turns.

[Gary Bohm @GaryBohm5]

The most alarming aspect of the current yield surge is the historical context. We are now rapidly approaching the yield levels that immediately preceded the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

The global economy is vastly more leveraged today than it was in 2007. If the system fractured under the weight of 5% yields back then, it is mathematically impossible for it to sustain those levels today without triggering a massive deflationary event.

The long term chart above shows the structural downtrend in yields that defined the last 40 years. That trend line has been decisively broken. We are now in a new regime of structurally higher interest rates.

However, there is a limit to how high yields can go before they break the economy. The U.S. government currently spends more on interest payments than it does on national defense. If the 10 Year yield continues to march toward 5% and beyond, the interest expense alone will consume the entire federal budget.

This is the concept of the “red line.” The Federal Reserve knows exactly where this line is, even if they refuse to acknowledge it publicly.

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

-Oil near 100
- Yields breaking out higher than the first round of war
-SPR running low

Why is the US going back to war?

Makes no sense.
Additionally this time around the leverage is far weaker.
Tripling down on a loser.

Disastrous war...

[Douglas Macgregor @DougAMacgregor]

👀

[Pegasus @PegasusFund]

"We're oversold bro"

Brother we just posted one of the most dramatic blow-off tops since covid, the Fed is hawkish, brent is $100 and the 10Y is 4.70

You can tell me you're buying an Iran TACO all you want but keep your eye on the ball man SPX is 3% off all time highs

[First Squawk @FirstSquawk]

The 2-year Japanese government bond yield increased 1.5 basis points to 1.505%, reaching its highest level in nearly three decades.

[Douglas Macgregor @DougAMacgregor]

BREAKING: Large scale strikes in Iran have begun.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

*IRAN REJECTS US CEASE-FIRE DEAL PRESENTED BY IRAQI LEADER: NYT

[Nicole Grajewski @NicoleGrajewski]

There has been an extraordinary amount of U.S. military activity overnight, with combat aircraft, bombers, tankers, special-operations personnel, and medical support moving from the continental United States through Europe and toward the Middle East.

[Wall St Engine @wallstengine]

SPACEX $SPCX IS NOW OFFICIALLY DOWN 50% FROM ITS HIGHS.

[ Jaime @thereal__jaime]

I’m really struggling with the whole Mitch McConnell thing. Like is the Democratic Party so weak, not one will book a flight to walk into the hospital or hire a PI to determine he’s dead? Do we not have investigative journalists anymore? WTH is happening & why is no one checking?

[Barchart @Barchart]

BREAKING 🚨: Germany

Germany's 10-Year Yield hits 3.2% for the first time in more than 15 years 🤯 👀

[Heather Long @byHeatherLong]

The bond market is flashing a warning sign.
Pay attention.

The 30-year yield has been above 5% for the longest stretch since 2007.
The 10-year yield is at one of the highest levels in recent years. Borrowing costs are high for the US gov't -- and consumers.

Normally President Trump pulls back when bond yields start to jump. He did it on tariffs last spring. He did it this spring (temporarily) on Iran. But will it happen again?

[jbulltard @jbulltard1]

I think too many of you overthink things. $GOOG had great numbers, mostly a 1 time Space X boost. Cloud is growing 80%, that's awesome but their main business is search and it missed. Yes lots are using claude/chatgpt as their search today, this is an issue, the end.

[Mark T. Dodson, CFA @MarkTDodson]

Three-year annualized margin debt growth has surged to 30%, narrowly missing the July 2007 peak. This is just the 10th occurrence in nearly 100 years, placing today's appetite for leverage in a very exclusive club.

Even more remarkable is that margin debt is yesterday's tool. Today's investors have leveraged ETFs, zero-day options, crypto, perpetual futures, prediction markets, and countless other ways to speculate with leverage. Yet traditional margin borrowing is still ripping it.

[Douglas Macgregor @DougAMacgregor]

BREAKING: Houthi leaders in Yemen declare naval blockade against Saudi Arabia at crucial entry point to the Red Sea, effective immediately.

Here we go!

[The Salty Doc @saltydocEM]

The only thing that will end the Iran war is a VIX of 35.

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

All it took for crack spreads to collapse was another oil price explosion

[Hiroo Onoda @OnodaCapital]

TSLA should find a valuation floor here at 175x declining earnings