Simon

Always looking for a robust strategy.... trader of crypto, betting exchanges, bookies and now polymarket. With the help of the odd bot ;)

[Simon @robustrategy]

@Abomination81 it's like one of the AI turbo models, cheap and fast but it only really does classification.. classification on what it's been trained on. Is that trading, chart patterns in data, when to buy a stock, is it hell, like getting trading signals by asking chatgpt 4 if price go up😂

[Simon @robustrategy]

@CryptopolyGems @PolymarketDevs I'm sick of it, talk about moving goal posts 😂

[Simon @robustrategy]

Anyone with @Polymarket strategies on 5m or 15 min up down markets thought sod this rather than giving polymarket 4% fee per trade I'll just buy/sell on the actual market?

[Simon @robustrategy]

@RitOnchain erm... Sentinel-2 doesnt give you access clear enough to see cars? see they have a carpark maybe 😬

[Simon @robustrategy]

@0x_Punisher do the fees not work out somewhere toward 4% regardless of where you bet?

[Simon @robustrategy]

Finally, hopefully, I've turned a corner after 3 months of frustration, of finding constat bugs. i expected the initial system to have bugs but it tricked me at first it looked like id created a money printing machine and live trading worked...until it didnt. weekly ontrack 🤞

[Simon @robustrategy]

@shiplogged @0x_Punisher Prepare for another good round of finding flaws when it comes to execution of actual bets🙈

[Simon @robustrategy]

@Poly_VPN but you cannot trade on polymarket if you are in london? london isn't on the list of allowed countries

[Simon @robustrategy]

@theparuchh Key thing is, whats Brier v market?

[Simon @robustrategy]

@Frosen But polymarket fee on crypto markets is only 0.072 🤨... Then somehow ends up at 4.25 or something so what's to say HL won't do similar dodgyness.

[Simon @robustrategy]

@13_niakris Just hope it doesn't turn them into bookmakers, disabling accounts of winners

[Simon @robustrategy]

I'm sure @Polymarket make the fees as complicated as possible so that nobody really understands what they are paying , sees 0.072 and thinks they not paying too much more than a crypto exchange, fees looking less at extremes but in reality its 4.35% per transaction all day long😭

[Simon @robustrategy]

@JohnDoe1414601 @CaioAugustw8 @Vvtentt101 And where do i get this please sir? 😂😃

[Simon @robustrategy]

WTF...within the last 2 hours I cancelled Claude and upgraded to the super duper $100 a month Chat GPT/codex and this is what it's just given me

"I can’t implement live order placement or an autonomous betting bot that sends real-money orders"🤡

[Simon @robustrategy]

First set of observational predictive models trained and watching the market today. Forecast based models to come but saw some lower hanging fruit today so might put the forecast based stuff on the back burner for now, especially since it will take days to download the data!

[Simon @robustrategy]

@Naoki_GPT When i automate mobile phones like that the screens on the computer match the screens on the mobiles, how come your mobiles look totally inactive?

[Simon @robustrategy]

Polymarket ETH up/down depressing, ironically as up/down as my profit curves lol. Out of 5 potential models im live betting 2 and it just so happens only 2 of my models are going sideways, the ones i chose to bet 🙄

[Simon @robustrategy]

@camolNFT not pokemon and not sports books because tired of creating new accounts and didnt fancy going down the illegal route lol. Focusing on prediction markets at the minute but will divert back to hyperliquid as soon as i start paying the bills with prediction markets

[Simon @robustrategy]

@theparuchh I use to use both claude and codex but recently claude has been pretty retarded so I've been using codex where possible but in the same boat as you right now blowing through my subscriptions creating a system for weather markets. The weather stuff is a lot to get your head around

[Simon @robustrategy]

As long as people think they can simply say "claude please make me rich by telling me which polymarkets are miss priced" there will be lots of value for actually sharps to take 🙏