Rodrigo Mazzilli

If you think you can or think you cannot, you are correct. -Henry Ford
@SenseWorksAI
@AltivLabs

[Ricardo @Ric_RTP]

The most downloaded AI on earth is now Chinese.

Alibaba just gave away a model that matches Claude's flagship, and it literally runs on a $700 used graphics card.

The Qwen models crossed 3 BILLION downloads in six months.

Hugging Face counted 418 million downloads for Google this year, and 227 million for Meta.

Alibaba cleared more than four times both of them combined.

Then today it released Qwen3.8-27B under an Apache 2.0 license.

The model has 27 billion parameters, native vision, and a 262,000 token context window. Developers are running it locally on 17 gigabytes of memory, on used cards that cost a few hundred dollars.

Alibaba's own benchmark table claims it beats Opus 4.6 Max on computer use by 84.3 to 72.7, on mobile use by 81.9 to 62, and on visual math by 94.6 to 65.5. Those numbers come from the vendor and nobody has independently verified them yet, so treat them as a claim.

But the generation over generation jumps are harder to wave away:

On DeepSWE the score went from 13.3 to 42.2. On software engineering it went from 49.3 to 79.0. That happened in ONE release cycle.

And Apache 2.0 means anyone can download the weights, modify them, build products on them, sell those products, and never pay or ask permission. It cannot be revoked. Once the file is on your drive it is yours permanently.

3 billion downloads means those files already sit on machines in every country on Earth.

Alibaba could delete everything tomorrow and it would change nothing.

Washington spent 4 years building an export control regime around chips, model weights, and entity lists. Every piece of it assumes a chokepoint exists somewhere. A fab, a shipment, a company that can be told no.

But there is no chokepoint for a file that has already been copied three billion times.

And the copying compounds.

Hugging Face counted 151,448 models built on top of Qwen, which is 2.6x Meta's entire footprint and 4.7x the number of Llama repositories. New ones appear at roughly 200 a day.

The report says Qwen has become "part of the default workflow for developers deciding what models to fine-tune and deploy."

Alibaba is also pushing Qwen through its cloud into Southeast Asia and Africa, markets where American labs have almost no presence, and where a very large share of the next generation of developers will learn to build.

Meta and Nvidia have both rushed out new open models in recent weeks. That is what a response looks like when you feel the floor move.

And to be clear, these are download and derivative numbers, not usage numbers. ChatGPT and Claude cannot be downloaded at all, so they do not appear in this comparison. What the figures measure is what developers choose to build on top of, which is a different question from what consumers type into a box.

That is also why it matters MORE.

Consumer habits change in an afternoon. Infrastructure choices last a decade, because everything built on top has to be rewritten to undo them.

The American labs are valued on an assumption that frontier intelligence stays scarce, expensive, and rented by the token. Alibaba just made a version of it free, permanent, and small enough to run on hardware people already own.

You will not get an announcement when the software you use every day starts running on a Chinese model underneath.

Go and count how many of the tools you rely on could be rebuilt on free weights this year.

[Blake Scholl 🛫 @bscholl]

Should Apple have an App Store rule that transactional and advertising push notifications must have separate opt-ins?

[Rodrigo Mazzilli @rodmaz]

@elenalandau2 @EduardoLeite_ Nao da pra entreter a lógica de escolher o Caiado como “alternativa”. Só pode ser resultado da senilidade dos dirigentes políticos nacionais.

[Arancha González @AranchaGlezLaya]

Teaser for Why Europe matters - film coming to you soon

@fromTGA @NathalieTocci @GuntramWolff @adam_tooze @KPisarska @Tagliapietra_S

[Eduardo Leite @EduardoLeite_]

Há momentos em que os sinais não vêm de dentro, mas de fora, quase como um chamado difuso, que atravessa vozes, análises e até editoriais.

Quando a convergência acontece longe das estruturas formais, talvez a decisão deixe de ser apenas orgânica e passe a ser também interpretativa, mesmo que isso signifique seguir por caminhos que ainda não foram oficialmente apontados.

Editorial completo ➡️ https://t.co/HOalGgF9l2

[Rodrigo Mazzilli @rodmaz]

@CamargoFelipe1 @aod_cunha O @EduardoLeite_ é político reformista pra Suécia, Canadá. Para o brasileiro médio, político bom é político populista e lacrador. Infelizmente.
Subdesenvolvimento não é por acaso.

[Aod Cunha @aod_cunha]

Armínio Fraga hoje em Porto Alegre.

[Rodrigo Mazzilli @rodmaz]

@aod_cunha O @EduardoLeite_ é político reformista pra Suécia, Canadá. Para o brasileiro médio, político bom é político populista e lacrador. Infelizmente.
Subdesenvolvimento não é por acaso.

[Rodrigo Mazzilli @rodmaz]

@rodrigofm Ou a Lovable compete com a Anthropic, OpenAI ou com a Accenture e milhares de outras empresas de serviços de tecnologia. Não há espaço e valor suficiente na criação de apps mobile e sites relativamente simples.

[Rodrigo Mazzilli @rodmaz]

@rodrigofm A Lovable precisava efetuar esse movimento ou tentar se transformar em uma empresa de vibe-coding atrelada a serviços como diferenciação. Agentes de AI operando com especialistas humanos na construção de soluções mais complexas que a Lovable nao atende.

[Andreas Kirsch 🇺🇦 @BlackHC]

A while back, Andrej Karpathy said the app store will be replaced by generated, disposable software," and Amjad Masad predicted that the value of all application software will go to zero

I think this "ephemeral software hypothesis" is wrong, though, and I want to explain why:

[Eddie Graf @Eddie_1412]

Winter - Vivaldi
Ok, das ist verdammt cool.
Es ist eine großartige Idee, wie man Musik visualisiert.

[Rowan Cheung @rowancheung]

NATO is testing live cockroaches as AI-powered spy drones.

Incredible AI engineering, but also something I kinda wish I hadn't learned about:

> Swarm Bio-tactics wired real cockroaches with electronic backpacks containing AI hardware, radios, cameras, and microphones.

> Cockroaches are steered by sending electrical signals directly into the insect's nervous system

> They can crawl through rubble, tunnels, and spaces where drones can't fly, and troops shouldn't go, transmitting data back the entire time.

> Within one year, they went from concept to field-validated systems with paying NATO customers, including the German military.

The qualities that make them useful for military recon (small, silent, nearly undetectable) are exactly what make them creepy.

...International laws weren't written with cyborg insects in mind.

[Rodrigo Mazzilli @rodmaz]

@fravenriq @elenalandau2 Isso não é no Irã. São Curdos festejando no Kurdistao.

[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump]

The President must get Congressional approval before attacking Syria-big mistake if he does not!

[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump]

Now that Obama’s poll numbers are in tailspin – watch for him to launch a strike in Libya or Iran. He is desperate.

[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump]

Remember that I predicted a long time ago that President Obama will attack Iran because of his inability to negotiate properly-not skilled!

[Robert Scoble @Scobleizer]

If you think Silicon Valley is the world's technology leader, think again.

[Unitree @UnitreeRobotics]

Unitree Spring Festival Gala Robots —a Full Release of Additional Details 🥳
Dozens of G1 robots achieved the world’s first fully autonomous humanoid robot cluster Kung Fu performance (with quick movement), pushing motion limits and setting multiple world firsts! H2 made striking appearances at both the Beijing main venue and the Yiwu sub-venue, clad in the Monkey King’s heavy armor and riding a “somersault cloud” played by B2W quadruped robot dogs, delivering New Year blessings from the clouds.

[Balaji @balajis]

China is physical AI.
Robots with nunchucks.