Ron Jay

7 hours of commercial free cold takes. YouTube videos @ Never Lucky Fantasy Football.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

Putting my name in the hat for my 2025 "My Guys".

Tried to dig a little deeper and go against the grain here.

https://t.co/2BPsiwNfLR

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

I just want to know who Rabiot has blackmail on. Mf been playing since before I was born

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@JoshNorris Gotta save him for Bayerns impending treble next season.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@KentWeyrauch They must be in bed with Big 9-5 to make it harder for us to pretend to work and tinker on sleeper all day.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

Don't take Chase Brown from us...

[NFL Rumors @nflrums]

🚨🚨The #Bengals have been linked to #Saints RB Alvin Kamara

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@MBFantasyLife The fact he had high volume as a deep threat is like exactly what we pray for

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@LordReebs Tony Snells/game

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@YahooFantasy AD Mitchell is the perfect dude to draft late and banish to the shadow realm after week 1 dud

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@NoFilm_Analysis I could see the vision tbh. It's a shit vision but I could see it.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

Is there any chance Malik Willis is usable in fantasy in 2026?

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@DonChed54 Carne asada on the grill

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@FantasyPros Ricky Pearsall is being disrespected

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@sschwarz21 I think I trust Goff at this point. Last season, it was the expectation Jameson Williams is a real threat to his target share.

Honestly, there aren't a lot of reasons to fade him anymore. He's passed all the fade risk in past seasons.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

Outside Puka, Chase and JSN, I'm not sure why I don't want to take another WR until like the 4th round.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@sschwarz21 For some reason I can't click him in the first. Despite how good he always is.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

I know a dude running routes after 4 beers when I see one.

[Dov Kleiman @NFL_DovKleiman]

Uh Oh: Vikings tight end T.J. Hockenson has gone viral for looking extremely "WASHED" during offseason practice.

Hockenson is only 28 years old and looks twice his age running drills.

😬😬😬

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

@RealDealFantasy no lies were told.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

Before Bucky Irving's injury last season, had was healthy weeks 1-4.

68.9% of his points came from receiving production.

And his rushing metrics:
- 3.34 YPC (Last)
- 1.93 Yds after contact/Att (RB41)
- 2.8% Explosive Run Rate (RB42)
- 36.6% Success Rate (Last)
- NO RUSHES INSIDE THE 5-YD LINE (Sean Tucker still on the team)

Enter: Kenneth Gainwell, a receiving back coming off his best season.
- 4.8 Tgts/G (RB6)
- 28.6 Rec YPG (RB5)
- 1.60 YPRR (RB5)

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

The managers still drafting WR-WR in rounds 1-2 are playing a strategy that peaked three years ago. The data has moved. The consensus hasn't.

Workhorse RBs produced only 36% of top-6 RB seasons despite high carry volume. Henry, Taylor, Jacobs can work but the TD variance makes it a riskier path than people admit.

There are two kinds of elite RBs right now:
- the ones who catch passes
- the ones who need 15+ TDs to justify the finish.

One of those has a much more repeatable floor.

An elite RB with 60+ targets is now more valuable than most WR1s. The position has changed. The ADP hasn't fully caught up.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

The NFL pass rate dropped 2.7 points since 2019. Rush rate is up the same amount. Most managers are still drafting like it's 2021.

First-round RBs hit top-12 at an 83% rate last season. First-round WRs hit it at 50%. The position perception hasn't caught up to the results.

The WR3 scoring edge over RB3 was 2.4 PPG in 2019. It's 0.8 PPG now.

WR7 through WR12 averaged 17.3 PPG in 2023. Last year it was 14.3.

64% of top-6 RB finishes since 2019 came from workhorse backs with 60+ receptions. Only 36% came form traditional ground-and-pound RBs.

[Ron Jay @ronffb]

The more expensive a pizzeria is, the less fucking toppings they put on their pizza and I'm tired of art infiltrating food