Rossium

researching market inefficiencies / onchain since 2020 / founder @ObscuraIntel

[Rossium @rossium]

https://t.co/AMKnlWNJlL

[Rossium @rossium]

@TheGreekTrader @willo2_Poly okay, my bad. Was looking at another market

so yeah, main problem here is Polymarket not learning from its own mistakes which cause hundreds of thousands in losses

[Rossium @rossium]

@beamnxw money glitch for voters

[Rossium @rossium]

Polymarket just set a precedent that breaks trust in prediction markets.

'MSTR sells any bitcoin by May 31' market resolution text said YES if MSTR sells any BTC by the deadline.
source: MSTR info + on-chain data. no mention of when it's disclosed.

8-K says the sale happened May 26–31. in-window. verifiable on-chain.

then a clarification dropped saying confirmation outside the window doesn't count – importing an announcement-timing rule the text never had

how does anyone – retail or institutional – trust a platform that rewrites rules after the event?

imagine reading the resolution text, building convictioN, understanding how 8-K filings work. then a clarification drops that wasn't anywhere in the original rules and ruins all of it.

a resolution standard you can only know after the event isn't a standard

[Rossium @rossium]

@polydao if you're not hitting limits, you're not doing enough

[Rossium @rossium]

@gippp69 good for creators. I wish we could run opus 4.8 locally

[Rossium @rossium]

@lagerskoy haha

[Rossium @rossium]

@goatyishere is it really possible to predict sports

[Rossium @rossium]

@0x_fokki just saw video of 8 yo going to shop owners and selling them designs made with ai

[Rossium @rossium]

@antisadh but can you run opus 4.8 :(

[Rossium @rossium]

@thegreatest_sv the repos are public, the gap is in who actually sits down for 4 hours to set it up ( I won't )

[Rossium @rossium]

@51bodila i had nothing more to say, cuz already deep into watching it lol

[Rossium @rossium]

@polydao cheatcode

[Rossium @rossium]

@Asteri_eth I burn my tokens on asking if I should it dessert or not

[Rossium @rossium]

@ridark_eth ad agency business model is about to get unbundled by one person with a phone and Claude

[Rossium @rossium]

@beamnxw thanks to it I just profited 15%

[Rossium @rossium]

shorted Iran Hormuz market at 25% this week. now it's at 2%

the spike came from this Nikkei headline: 'Iran to open Hormuz 30 days after US deal'

for retail it looked like an obvious YES

the resolution criteria excluded any deal with fees. every leak said Iran was keeping the fees.

retail traded the headline. the market resolves on the rules

read the criteria before you trade the news.

[Rossium @rossium]

@starmexxx most retail won’t understand

[Rossium @rossium]

@gippp69 yep