Just in time for the election, DC and Abrams ComicArts are reprinting the classic series Uncle Sam. Check out our exclusive preview of this seminal comic. https://t.co/WxtBbsUBqX
Parents Should Ignore Their Children More Often | It's better for the mental health of parents & kids, and it's evolutionarily natural. Not mentioned but relevant is Judith Rich Harris's evidence that parenting has little effect on children's personality, intelligence, or socialization. https://t.co/FoyoiOcs8M
@paulmotty@BetfairExchange I guess it can't, actually.
Their model shows a move towards candidate x > which causes the betting market to shorten > which causes the model to shorten > etc etc etc
@paulmotty@BetfairExchange Do you know if the 538 or Nate Silver's models take in to account betting odds?
I know they take in to account "fundamentals" like the economy, incumbancy etc.
@BenCrellin Just went on to your feed to go through those pre electoin odds to find out if Leicester South was the biggest priced shock of the night.....Polls really didn't pick up these independent moves
@JohnC12670149@sianharries_@twlldun Some of the Seats they gave Reform a 99% chance of winning were not close at all. Barnsley North and South.
They gave Hartlepool as 91%, again, not close.
Obviously, modelling the Reform vote was very difficult.
@BenCrellin I think the EP is going to miss here, isn't it?
Underestimating LD, overestimating Reform.
Hartlepool is 85% Reform on the EP, 1/8 odds pre EP
@guardian_sport@JacobSteinberg I'm not seeing much "we're going to roll over Slovakia/Italy/Romania" - I thought we had all agreed that we were rubbish and it's all Southgate's fault.
And while our route isn't "easy" - it most certainly is "easier" - and that is the (only) reason we're favs to win the Euros.