satori 🏄‍♂️⛏️

Trader of markets. Surfer of waves.
Member @SuperteamAE

[Superteam UAE @SuperteamAE]

ORE is building Solana’s native store of value

@ORE brings proof-of-work mining fully onchain, generating ~$600K in weekly revenue, with 100% used for buybacks

So far ~900 daily miners powering an economy around mining, refining, and staking

Native store of value on @Solana ↓

[satori 🏄‍♂️⛏️ @Rovingrisk]

Don't love Matt, but this point 1000x 🎯

[kuz @kylekuzma]

Love Matt but…DK’s own hold on parlays runs like 25-40%. They limit or ban anyone who shows skill (which literally is the best part of prediction markets) then funnel casuals into boosted props engineered to lose. Wall Street market makers are tough ofc but at least they don’t kick you off the platform for winning.

[satori 🏄‍♂️⛏️ @Rovingrisk]

Hmmm big week incoming? @ore ⛏️⛏️⛏️

[Max @maxyatsuk]

Polymarket may be building the biggest upgrade prediction markets have ever seen

I’ve been digging through the new Polymarket v2 contracts and found something much bigger than “parlays are coming.”

Under the hood, this looks like infrastructure for trading entire probabilistic scenarios.

A new contract called Combinatorial Module was deployed and verified on Amoy testnet, and the deployer is linked to an address Polygonscan labels as Polymarket: Deployer 1.

So this does not look theoretical anymore.

The core idea is simple:
instead of trading isolated events, traders could trade entire chains of outcomes as a single position.

Right now prediction markets mostly work like this:
1. Trump wins
2. BTC above $150k
3. Fed cuts rates
4. Recession in 2026

Each market exists independently.

But real traders rarely think in isolated events.
They think in causal chains.

For example:
If Trump wins, crypto gets a regulatory tailwind, BTC rallies, risk-on returns, and capital rotates back into high-beta assets.

The interesting part is that the new module allows this exact structure to become one position:
1.1 Trump wins
1.2 AND BTC > $150k
1.3 AND Fed cuts rates

Not three separate bets.
One asset, one payout, one expression of a worldview.
And if all legs resolve correctly, the position pays out $1.
That means traders can buy cheap convex exposure to an entire macro thesis.

If the market prices the scenario at 8¢ and the full chain plays out, the position settles for $1.

This is where prediction markets start looking less like betting apps and more like probability derivatives.
What makes this even more interesting is that the module appears to work cross-category.
Sports, politics, crypto, macro, geopolitics — anything represented as binary/negrisk conditions can theoretically be combined.

The contract supports up to 50 legs in a single structure. And the positions are not static.

The code includes mechanics for:
– splitting positions
– merging them
– extracting legs
– recombining scenarios
– compressing resolved conditions
– and wrapping existing binary markets into combinatorial positions.

In other words:
this is not just “build a parlay and wait.”

It is closer to building dynamic scenario structures that evolve as the world changes.

The NO-side is where things become especially interesting!
There is a very important distinction here:
NO(A AND B AND C) is NOT the same thing as:
NO(A) AND NO(B) AND NO(C)

The first one is the complement of the entire scenario:
NOT(A AND B AND C)
meaning the structure fails if any part of the chain breaks.

That subtle difference is why these markets become much more sophisticated than standard YES/NO betting.

The market is no longer pricing isolated outcomes.
It is pricing the stability of an entire connected narrative.

This opens the door to a completely different class of products.

At that point, prediction markets stop being “Will X happen?”
They become:
“Which version of the future is currently mispriced?”

There are still two massive open problems.

The first is liquidity.
Every scenario gets its own conditionId / positionId, but the contract itself does not imply that every combination will have its own standalone orderbook.

And if liquidity fragments across millions of possible scenarios, the system breaks immediately.

Which means the real unlock is probably synthetic pricing and routing:
using liquidity from underlying markets to construct and price scenario positions dynamically.

The second challenge is UX.
Because probability algebra gets confusing very quickly.
Most users will not intuitively understand the difference between:
NO(A AND B) and: NO(A) AND NO(B)

So the challenge is no longer just building markets.

It is building interfaces that make complex probabilistic structures understandable to humans.

If Polymarket solves liquidity and UX, v2 may become much more than a prediction market upgrade.
It could become the first real probability trading layer for the internet.

Bullish.

Huge W @devjoshstevens @mustafap0ly @Polymarket @PolymarketDevs @SuhailKakar

[FORMA @formacity]

Introducing Forma Bristol

Our first ever popup village in the UK

And the permanent home for our new campus

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

We're excited to announce our exclusive partnership with Nasdaq Private Market.

Retail traders can now get exposure to private companies, one of the historically most profitable asset classes, exclusively through Polymarket.

[ARCHER @ArcherExchange_]

Introducing Archer

The global trading engine for every asset, fully onchain on @solana.

Live now.

[MONK @defi_monk]

How do you make sure American indices keep pumping?

Tokenize US stocks and give everyone in the world a way to speculate on them.

KYC optional.

[Hardhat Chad ⛏️ @HardhatChad]

BTC = SoV
ZEC = SoV + Privacy
ORE = SoV + Privacy + Defi

[Superteam UAE @SuperteamAE]

The best of the best gathered for our members lunch earlier this week in Dubai.

Members Lunch is where IRL member intros are made, content is created and relationships are built to drive @Solana’s expansion across the region and beyond.

[Austin Barack @AustinBarack]

Not long imo until people remember the private Solana SOV asset that did a 60x alongside ZEC's big rally last Oct/Nov

[raagulanpathy @raagulanpathy]

The @KASTxyz Business Global Plan:
- 3% USD cashback (no limit in 2026)
- 8% on your savings (first $200k)
- Unlimited virtual cards
- 10 metals cards

Normally $10k/year, but email us on [email protected] and we’ll cut you a first year deal for $1-5k. Pricing depends on the best joke you can tell me (and volume).

The 3% USD cashback still goes till $1M/year normally, and then it’s 2%.

We support entities nearly anywhere.

It’s in beta till July, so some features like savings just getting started.

Melt your face :)

[Solana @solana]

BREAKING: A coffee brand born on Solana is now the official coffee partner of with the Miami Heat and Miami Marlins - @RaposaCoffeeCo 🔥

[FORMA @formacity]

Popups are the new startups.

We spent the last 2 years traveling around the world hosting popup villages with @solana

Announcing our next chapter. We're going permanent, and we chose the UK 🇬🇧

Here's why:

[satori 🏄‍♂️⛏️ @Rovingrisk]

@joselebetis2 @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket hard agree

[satori 🏄‍♂️⛏️ @Rovingrisk]

@SuperteamAE 🙏

[deBridge @debridge]

$20 Billion

[satori 🏄‍♂️⛏️ @Rovingrisk]

@LockyLockerson Glad someone else noticed.... one of the strangest things I think I've seen too.

[Solana @solana]

.@farhaj from @formacity shares how Kazakhstan has reinvented itself with Solana at its core:

- The Solana Economic Zone
- The Tenge stablecoin
- Dual list IPO on AIX and Solana
- Trained 1000 developers on Solana
- A national crypto reserve
- CryptoCity, an entire city dedicated to blockchain

[Photo Finish™ LIVE 🐎 Virtual Horse Racing @photofinishgame]

Looking for other series to run after as you join from @solanamobile

Our Middle Aged Madness (age 5+) and Silver Stakes (age 6+) give more reason for old horses to take to the track. Low entry races, juicy freerolls!

https://t.co/0SHHKeFjHv
https://t.co/qez0Pnqn54