Raptor Capital

Financial freedom through options trading to help fund my golf and boating addictions. Basically my trading journal. Not trading advice.

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

monthly lookback: 🔥 big swing trade on $DUOL, had some $AMD called away, sold out of some debit call spreads on $GOOG.

shifting to a much more conservative strategy via selling covered calls against $AMZN $PYPL $BMNR.

still holding $UNH and $DUOL LEAPs.

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

monthly lookback: 🤩 scaled out of a few LEAPs, bought back covered calls in bullish debit spreads I had, and did a lot more short term swing trading than I was expecting.

biggest positions right now are LEAPs on $DUOL and $UNH which I hope to trim on the way up. $AMZN $PYPL $AMD look too cheap to ignore for just buying shares. selling covered calls on $BMNR looks good too.

I’ll be focusing more of my efforts on real estate the next few months (see: bonus depreciation), stay tuned.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Excited to announce that all super intelligence organizations have now jointly agreed to the ultimate in AI/SI safety:

Moving all testing to Delta Airlines flights, where accessing the Internet is utterly impossible!

[amit @amitisinvesting]

GOOD MORNING.

Bond Yields are down. Oil hit a 2-week low. Nvidia is at an all time high. The S&P just passed an time high in the pre-markets after adding $500B of marketcap yesterday and now being worth over $70T of marketcap in total.

This is all happening in the midst of some of the worst breadth underneath the index with most sectors like financials and consumer discretionary not really participating. Even many semiconductor names, like the memory stocks, are not fully participating or back to their ATHs.

Tech is the story, particularly large cap tech like $TSM $NVDA $META $GOOGL $SPCX $AMD $AVGO $MSFT, and we are seeing those names bring the index to record highs.

If we are seeing these levels on the index with Oil still up massively on the year and Yields still at the highest in 3 years, the question becomes if the market has this wrong and this is a bull trap or if the market is front-running the inevitable decline in yields and oil, which would also imply the chances for a Fed hike will come down substantially.

If it is the latter, things can get really, really fun.

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

@amitisinvesting they rip. mr market is like a frenchie and can barely see out of its own face. AI catalysts hitting company bottom lines coupled with lower inflation will take us to tendyland

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

@pdicarlotrader I appreciate your technical analysis but it simply doesnt hold a candle to the fundamentals and won’t get there. and yes, I know you’ve already got 50+ other tickers at the smart money zone - you’ll crush it trading those

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

@FunOfInvesting not 1, and some combo of the best with the emphasis on maximizing shareholder value. the execs are all positioned for it (option grants in SEC filings)

[Steven Fiorillo @stevenfiorillo]

As promised I just dropped a new $SOFI video and the questions that need to be answered are whether SOFI is undervalued and could SoFiUSD be the opportunity investors are overlooking?

That’s the question behind my new video. I break down my bullish thesis, the valuation, and why SoFiUSD deserves more attention in the discussion about SOFI’s future.

Is SOFI undervalued and could SoFiUSD be the opportunity investors are overlooking?
https://t.co/MZQr8saaBF

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

@amitisinvesting commercial real estate breaking could have non-trivial ripple effects

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

I don’t believe my eyes 👀

lots of catalysts in place for crypto and equities to rip higher the next 6 quarters. did bond yields discover today is day 1 of uptober?

[James E. Thorne @DrJStrategy]

Through the Looking Glass

Did anyone notice that Trimmed Mean PCE is 1.92%?

The Federal Reserve is living in Lewis Carroll’s looking-glass world: strong growth is treated as inflationary, supply expansion is treated as a threat, and tariffs and energy shocks are treated as reasons to punish the economy. The data say the opposite.

2Q GDP was revised to 2.2 % from 1.5 %, while real final sales to private domestic purchasers rose 4.6 percent annualized. Consumer spending grew 3.8 percent, and business investment remains powerful.

The upward GDP revision also implies productivity is increasing: the economy is producing more output without a comparable increase in labor input. Yet August core PCE inflation came in below expectations. Core prices rose only 0.2 percent on the month, and the monthly numbers show a welcome decline. A one-off explosion in cellular-services prices is hardly cause for concern. Trimmed Mean PCE is 1.92%, below the Fed 2% target!

Growth is accelerating while inflation decelerates. That is not overheating. That is supply-side economics.

Tariffs do not cause inflation. They change relative prices. A tariff raises the price of an imported good, but the added cost comes out of purchasing power elsewhere. It is a tax on trade, not a monetary expansion.

The same is true of energy shocks: higher fuel prices are a tax on growth, reducing real household income and demand. There are no meaningful second- or third-round inflation effects here. Treating these one-time price adjustments as evidence of generalized inflation is a category error.

Meanwhile, AI capital spending, tax incentives, deregulation, and expanded energy production are creating a noninflationary growth cocktail. Data centers, chips, machinery, grids, and factories expand productive capacity. They raise output per worker rather than bidding up a fixed supply of goods. The Fed cannot lower the price of electricity, memory, or industrial capacity by suppressing housing, credit, and investment.

The Keynesian demand-side theory formalized in textbooks as the Hicks-Hansen model assumes growth must create inflation. Today’s numbers refute it. The Fed does not face a choice between growth and price stability. It faces a choice between recognizing a supply-side boom and strangling it. In the looking-glass economy, the greatest inflation risk is not too much growth. It is a central bank determined to punish it.

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

@TJTheWheelDeal I got an audible LOL from this, thank you 😂

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

Still brewing ☕️ $SOFI

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

the price action in $SOFI is truly fascinating, and is testing the patience of even the most seasoned investors. admittedly it’s not a great feeling seeing other names fly while this ticker seemingly has a magnet anchoring it to the high teens.

I would remind investors that share prices generally reflect expectations for the next 6 to 9 months. if we look at $SOFI through that lens, the hawkish fed and another potential rate hike is more than priced in. I don’t see investor sentiment getting any worse.

IMO the parity between the share price and the underlying company fundamentals has never been greater. I can only imagine what @DataDInvesting would be tweeting right now if he didn’t work at the company. everyone knows he’d be offering a refreshing, fact-based perspective that would give a healthy dose of optimism to anyone holding shares.

I see far more potential catalysts than I do headwinds: the continued focused on long term fundamentals, product expansion, more fee-based revenue, less dependence on lending, and a fed that can’t possibly get any more hawkish than it is today.

I’m ignoring the noise and continuing to DCA at these levels. and I look forward to revisiting this tweet a year from now.

[Coin Bureau @coinbureau]

🇺🇸 JUST IN: CFTC Chairman Selig says US markets must prepare for "mass tokenization" as blockchains and AI are "adopted at scale."

Selig told the US Treasury Market Conference that "the next decade will likely bring more change to financial markets than the previous several decades combined."

The CFTC expanded eligible collateral to include stablecoins in February and is looking to drive further adoption across exchanges and clearinghouses.

[Anthony Noto @anthonynoto]

We're the first national bank to bring stablecoin settlement live across @Mastercard's global payments network. @SoFi is migrating its entire $25B+ card program to blockchain-based settlement.

The speed of blockchain, with the safeguards of a bank. Let’s go‼️
https://t.co/e9RJuyQm6E

[Cole Grinde @GrindeOptions]

Guys, $SOFI becomes the first national bank to migrate its card program to blockchain-based settlement via Mastercard’s payment network.

Merchants don’t need a wallet. Funds can land in a SoFi Bank account instantly via Big Business Banking, cash out 24/7, $0 withdraw fee.

SoFi’s edge is bank issuer + their own $25B card float + Galileo.

Merchant settlement deals, cross-border, remittances. Mastercard Multi-Token Network is supposed to plug SoFiUSD into the broader token mix.

HUGE DEAL.

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

$META +$47K

I wouldn’t have jumped in had it not been for @Mr_Derivatives’s coverage in august 🫡

I bought because the privacy lawsuit settled that morning, and it gave up all the premarket gains when the market opened (for seemingly no reason)

the muse release wasn’t on my radar but the ticker was already above my $650 target by that point

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

$META adding a long call debit spread, october expiration. price action this morning doesn’t make much sense imo. the uncertainty hanging over it just improved and I just think it’s cheap

[Raptor Capital @rptr_cap]

@CRT_femme @TJTheWheelDeal

my portfolio is a bit concentrated right now (druckenmiller strategy) but I expect to be financially free within a couple years, and my “work optional” job will be wheeling

thanks for leading the way TJ!

[Peter DiCarlo @pdicarlotrader]

Big short term level getting swept on $RKLB 🚀

Still love the long term setup

Next short term target gap @ $72 & $80

[Jack Prescott @JackPrescottX]

$13 for $ABCL

Carl Hansen is now worth somewhere in the ballpark of $750M

Here’s to Carl becoming one of the richest men on earth one day and changing the lives of millions

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

Can someone tell $SOFI the market is absolutely ripping today.