Jack

Independent thinker, value investor, reading and understanding basic fundamentals of life, value and finance. This is just my opinion, no recommendations.

[Jack @rrdas]

2026 only few months left.

On top $6 Trillion liquidations expected in few months time.

Treasury rolling $4.2Trillion at higher rate
Corporate debt, Margin debt, CRE/CMBS debt & so on

$BAC $C $JPM $BAC $BN $WFC $GM $MS AI debt & semi hype $MU $NVDA $SNDK $LITE $AVGO $GOOG fade

[Jack @rrdas]

AI companies CEO frequently doing media appearances to pump stocks

All story of 10, 20, 100 Billion backlog is a scam pump story

$NVDA $AMD $INTC $AVGO $ORCL $META $MSFT $AMZN all backlog drama, who is renting, OpenAI & Anthropic cash burning startups

$MU $STX $SNDK $WDC hyped

[Jack @rrdas]

Higher mortgage rate & Jumbo loans crashing housing market at many cities.

West coast or East coast houses are vulnerable like 2008-GFC, price collapse.

On top AI-economy reduce work force, soon tax revenue reduce & cities struggle.

Debt load by $INTC $GOOG $META $MSFT all

[Jack @rrdas]

Madoff Ponzi was $50 Billion, 2008

Archegos blowup: $21 Billion in 2021

Situational Blowouts: $45 Billion in 2026

All good earnings over, Zombies earnings, CPI, PPI data coming

SPAC, EV, Metaverse, Space, Crypto, AI all story & theme come & go, index balance itself $SPY $QQQ

[Jack @rrdas]

$NBIS old name call it $YNDX , it’s Russian Google some say it before.

After many sanctions on Russia, $NBIS get big attraction with new name and AI story.

Is it still Russian control or not ?

[Jack @rrdas]

When building a house or building a datacenter, when use a big leveraged loans, for building & no ROI, they all collapse similar way like 2008-GFC.

No ROI from AI last 4 years vibe , like ponzi spending.

$QQQ $SPY $SMH $XLK $DRAM $KORU $EWY $MU $NVDA $SNDK $OKLO all vibes

[Jack @rrdas]

$CRWV last 6 quarters earnings, data see it

Where is positive cash flow?

Revenue is useless number, if cash burning exceeds Billions more than revenue

[Jack @rrdas]

Too Big to Fail ?

Is AI debt load too big & it can collapse basic economic fabric of society?

$NVDA $MU $AMD $GOOG $META $AMZN $INTC $MSFT & many zombies Neo cloud look their market cap & cash burning rate.

Those lending AI debt, $JPM $C $GS $WFC $BAC $KKR $APO $BX Watch them

[Jack @rrdas]

Why we need so much AI information?

What is use of too much unnecessary information from AI?

If AI just brings all available information from internet & summarize nicely, is it useful to spend big for AI & neglected all human needs, schools, hospitals etc?

$SMH $MU $NVDA $QQQ

[Jack @rrdas]

$NVDA push for $500 Billion financing platforms for its customers

$APO $BX $KKR $BLK $GS $BAM private equities & hedge funds those recently pressured for big redemption, team up to rescue AI theme

After $45 Billion wiped out from “Situational Awareness “, funds watch $QQQ $SMH

[Jack @rrdas]

$SPY $QQQ $LEN $TSLA

When consumers suffering at higher interest rate, how many buy house and EV car, Big ticket items ?

[Jack @rrdas]

$NVDA not consumer electronics
It’s selling GPU to few big cap, their cash flow negative,cancel double order, rent to overbuilding

Once big cap stop buying GPU, $NVDA can crash 80%

Situational Awareness Collapse, $45 Billion

$MU $WDC $GEV $CAT $SKHY $SNDK $STX $ARM cooling

[Jack @rrdas]

Leverage unwind is painful.

Situational Awareness, $45 Billion blowout, just a Trailer

“Margin Call”, Rev 2, new movie after Trillion AI crash, wait to see next.

$WDC $SNDK $HUBS $DDOG $MU $AMD $STX $INTC $TSM $SKHY & many in $SMH $QQQ have extremely concentrated leverage

[Jack @rrdas]

$SPY $QQQ How many Situational Awareness hedge funds hiding?

Once semi more crash, many funds naked.

[Jack @rrdas]

$SPY $QQQ Situational Awareness hedge fund CEO, semi CEO, giving everyday media appearances to pump stocks, without fundamentals

It’s like Theranos, Enron, Madoff ponzi days all AI without ROI, just Ponzi spending by vibes

[Jack @rrdas]

Schiller PE ratio 42.5, all knew how was 2000-Dotcom crash, Nasdaq wiped 80%

$SPY $QQQ $XLK $XLC $XLY $DRAM $SKHY meme mania end badly like $GME $AMC

[Jack @rrdas]

What good earnings left ?

All big earnings over, more cash burning companies earnings next.

Many crash 20-30% at any ER hiccup at higher rate & higher debt ER time

$BP $SPOT $CMI $CAT $PFE $MRK $PGR $APO $ET $GWW $ULS $NRG $TKR $SPCX $AMD $LMB $FBIN $VSAT $J $ALAB $AMD ER time

[Jack @rrdas]

Situational Awareness hedge fund liquidated all $45 Billion holdings.

$GS $JPM $BAC big 3 prime broker moved together to raise cash, failed, liquidated.

Its holdings $BE $SNDK $CRWV $IREN $CORZ $SKHY $NBIS & many semi.

It reminds 2021-Archegos & $SIVB $SBNY $FRC bank run 2023.

[Jack @rrdas]

Many semi & AI stocks move 500-1000% in last 1 years.

Even index $SPY $QQQ slow & steady, underneath semi move 10-20% each day.

1987: index 25% up, crash hard, well known Oct 19- Black Monday.

Now semi $AMD $INTC $STX $WDC $SNDK $AMAT $LRCX $KLAC $MU $NVDA $SMH 500% up, watch.

[Jack @rrdas]

bitcoin:native what is new theme for Bitcoin?

Almost no new theme , hanging like Ponzi coin at 64 K