Raphael Thomadsen

Marketing Professor at Washington University

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

Southwest is already melting down like last year. The inbound plane was late. Then our plane drove over a piece of equipment! But Southwest insists it isn’t their fault. #SouthwestMeltdown #SouthwestAirlines #SouthwestStillLying

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@conlon_chris I do wish people would think about the drivers of inflation and whether the usual assumptions apply. If the inflation is caused by supply-side problems, it seems that raising interest rates will slow down the investments needed to increase supply.

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

Happy that my paper with Robert Zeithammer and @songyao got written up in the UCLA Anderson Review. It is a nice summary: https://t.co/tzQTEG3q74

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@JustinWolfers I do think there is a good question why we want to raise interest rates rather than let the rebalancing of profits vs wages to happen, though. We tend not to study economic transition enough, and instead use models that ignore frictions of moving to a new equilibrium.

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@brett__gordon Am I missing something - how is this an MTurk issue vs a researcher or publication bias issue? Blaming this on MTurk seems to avoid addressing the problem.

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@brett__gordon I think for our business having people together can help productivity, especially for younger faculty. For other businesses I suspect it will affect who gets promoted or not. But we will find out for sure in 10 years.

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

The Supreme Court just signaled that it will end democracy next year. Think that is hyperbole? They are setting it up so gerrymandered legislatures can gerrymander more, and even throw out votes they don't like, and no one can stop it. Literally.
https://t.co/jXB5DvtlYJ

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@JustinWolfers @DKThomp It seems to me that if inflation is driven by the war and oil prices, raising interest rates is going to cause pain to the economy without bringing a benefit of lower inflation (since it won’t fix the cause). Is that correct?

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@JustinWolfers It shows the importance of messaging. The conservatives have highlighted the negatives (inflation) again and again. The Democrats have hardly said a peep about the fact that things are good. #MessagingMatters

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@btshapir I don’t entirely disagree, but if everyone wants the mechanism then it suggests that the experiments we are running are then inadequate.

[WUSTLnews @WUSTLnews]

Despite intense political discourse, the #SCOTUS leak doesn't appear to have changed voters' minds about the importance of abortion issue ahead of 2022 Congressional races, according to new research conducted by @RThomadsen and @songyao at @WUSTLbusiness.

https://t.co/iorOM6SaCX

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@SeilerStephan @yesimorhun If you only know vaxed who have had mild symptoms then you are lucky. I know many people who had severe cases. I am unsure how you define young, though. These people were middle-aged.

[Beth Fossen @beth_fossen]

New research thread! D. Kim, @dschweidel, @RThomadsen, and I have a new paper out at QME looking at the role of slant (centrist vs. extreme) and message consistency in political ad effectiveness, using data from the 2016 presidential election https://t.co/2FJokqZxl0
1/5

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@jbouie @PatBayerNC @JohnArchibald Why don��t people@press congress to pass laws saying that fines cannot go to the local government. It would solve so many problems.

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@ericschw @MichiganRoss Congratulations.

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@NateSilver538 It seems that a great unanswered question is whether the 85% effectiveness against the delta reflects certain people being vulnerable (leaving a large class of protected people), or whether eventually his becomes weak for everyone. Very different outcomes.

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

Fascinating insight. I wish they ran by region too, as I suspect the key is whether the county has hit herd immunity or not. It is also relevant for us who have kids to know where the risk is. https://t.co/UXbfoZiZM2

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@btshapir I agree that we need to have debate and that science can get dominated by group-think. However, the “different opinion” should be guided by facts or scientific logic.

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@yesimorhun Very interesting. It would help to understand the mechanisms: is it students not paying attention, or asking fewer questions or because the instructors talk/present differently. Either way, it seems likely that online programs will be the lower quality product in the short run.

[Raphael Thomadsen @RThomadsen]

@btshapir That is a good question. I have read news reports about quarantine violations. I don't think they are common. I suppose that if you could show someone was unmasked and unvaxed (e.g., from security footage), one could put in penalties if the gov decided to act.