RUDIRACKET

note to self

[Parci @parcifap]

with age you realize:

1. a lot of people are dumb
2. you’re not as smart as you thought either

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

Two signals im watching rn:

→ 1D-MVRV = ~1.00 (market at breakeven, no profit buffer)
→ BTC/Others OI converging (more risk taking, late cycle behavior)

Seeing bullish takes left and right on the TL, but any negative catalyst hits a leveraged, breakeven crowd.
Tread carefully

[Doc @docXBT]

chances we go to new ath > chances the forever top is in

that's it. thats the bet.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

Executed, now let's hope for the best

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

My Acetrader 100 strat for the weekend: Closed my longs and sitting on the sideline now. In the weekend (which I expect to be choppy/down) I will go short a couple coins and see where that takes me. Top-8 is all it takes

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

4/4
Market breadth in crypto is actually bearish under the hood, with roughly 65% of coins down over the last day even as select names squeeze higher, classic “few winners, many bleeders” regime.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

Morning Brew - Jan 28
1/4
The Dollar Index fell to 96.2, its lowest level since Feb 2022, after Trump stated the dollar is "doing great" when asked about its recent decline. It dropped over 11% YoY amid concerns about Fed independence, potential government shutdown.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

3/4
Crypto: Among the top-200, Concordium is today’s rocket, up about 32% in 24h, with Oasis Network and Hyperliquid also on the leaderboard, posting gains north of 20% as traders rotate into higher-beta L1/L2 and perp infra plays.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

4/4
It’s turning into meme fuel about “due diligence” in dating vs markets: ppl are joking that she ran better background checks than most retail traders do on their positions.​ “Trust, but verify”—on your counterparties, your holdings, and apparently your Tinder matches.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

Morning Brew - Jan 27
1/4
Macro / index: Asia hits fresh highs as money rotates out of the U.S., with investors eyeing BOJ and bond volatility risk.​ Broader narrative: investors are nervous about AI valuations after a recent “AI bubble wobble” that erased about $1T in a day.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

3/4
Viral finance‑adjacent story of the today:
A New York woman discovers on a first date that the guy—who won’t stop talking about ChatGPT—is actually married with kids, and the whole saga blows up online.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

6/6
It also highlights a scenario where climate-driven insurance withdrawals lock up housing markets cuz mortgages can’t be originated w/o coverage, freezing local markets and hammering home values. It’s a tail‑risk narrative ppl love to quote in threads about hidden fragility.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

Morning Brew - Jan 26
1/6
Equities: Small-cap and value sectors keep outperforming the mega-cap AI darlings as capital rotates into industrials and financials, while major indices hover near highs ahead of a key Fed meeting this week.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

5/6
A shared Politico piece is lighting up X and macro blogs w 2026 “black swan” scenarios, incl debt‑fueled financial disruptions tied to asset bubbles in AI projects and zombie companies. It taps into the current “everything is priced for perfection” anxiety in risk assets.

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

2/2
Metals and mining are hot: silver and gold names like Hecla, Alcoa, Harmony Gold, Equinox Gold, and Novagold are among the strongest gainers, up roughly 5–7% on the day.​
Crypto overall tone: bears in control, with roughly three‑quarters of tracked coins red over the last 24h

[RUDIRACKET @rudiracket]

Morning Brew
1/2
Today’s markets are choppy, with metals, select tech and a few degen altcoins stealing the scenes, while China real estate stress and a central-bank-level side‑eye at U.S. debt are the main weird undercurrents.