Meme boys are going to take their gains over to perps at some point in this cycle, and they are going to try to play our game.
That's when the plumbers take it.
All.
$BTC
Price broke above so you'd want to stay on the side of the trend and look for continuation setups on ranges that form; look for the deviation on the low
2 significant fvg marked out + monthly npoc above
You waited 80 days of consolidation for a 1 minute move. You missed it.. you're sick to your stomach.
Over the next few days you'll open then panic close multiple continuation longs as price chops. Eventually you'll open a massive long with SL below 65K.
Full retrace.
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$SOL: similar to ETH in the way it's v close to a significant break out
~4% away from breaking back above its daily cloud for first time since 9th October 2025
IF $BTC is going to bottom exactly they way the last cycle did, we are still currently chillin in a chop-zone.
Blue box is where they will bore us to death and chop up both longs and shorts.
Good News: We are almost to Mid-Terms
Bad News: I think choppy conditions continue
Failed breakout, back in compression and H4 100 MA retest.
That’s why I have the rule of "exit of compression when trend defended outside of it".
Next try then, same focuses.
GL
$BTC
Close the monthly above $61k and we're looking kinda good, the higher the better
Below or at $61k and it starts looking like a pity bounce and we might have to prepare for a move to the next support ($45k)
nov 2022 ~ largest exchange goes under, 32b valuation to 0b, 8b in user deposits gone overnight, btc down 28%
jun 2026 ~ saylor holds 50b btc and continues clipping from his yacht in monaco, btc down 28%
the market is wrong and the fear of saylor blowing up is overblown
see you at $169000.
bitcoin:native
Sentiment at Feb Highs:
'Euphoric crowd
'Targets of 88-90+ being touted'
'Saylor is net positive for btc- reflexive loop - higher'
Sentiment at Feb Lows:
'Sailor is fucked'
'Significant lower targets being touted'
'Why hold bitcoin when equities are outperforming'
Several failed attempts to find acceptance below the Feb lows so far with very heavy selling delta at the lows being absorbed thus far.
Another push lower that takes recent lows, fails, and accepts back inside would have me leaning towards a long rotation (possible 3 drives setup) - given theres no geo-pol / macro or tradfi spill over next week... maybe there is?
If anything, I’m looking for reasons to fully cover the swing short here and contemplate longs.
Heads or Tails... ?
Range bound for longer or expansion lower ?
You tell me...