@Ryan Trollip

Practising critical thinking & avoiding confirmation bias.

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

Obama "paid" $11B, Trump "paid" $300B
Too funny

[Reuters @Reuters]

Exclusive: A $300 billion private fund designed to trigger investment into Iran is outlined in the US-Iran framework agreement and more than half that sum has already been committed, a source with direct knowledge of the deal told Reuters https://t.co/F1b71wtSiv

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

Quantity is not quality

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

Chinese authors published as many papers as American, British, German and Japanese researchers combined in 2025. Yet a new study suggests American researchers cite Chinese works far less than expected https://t.co/34z4XN8LZ0

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

Not much progress. Just agreed to let stuff through while they negotiate the issues

[First Squawk @FirstSquawk]

BREAKING: US–IRAN DRAFT DEAL FRAMEWORK REVEALED

• IRAN AGREES NOT TO DEVELOP OR ACQUIRE NUCLEAR WEAPONS

• US AND IRAN AGREE TO HALT HOSTILITIES ACROSS THE REGION, INCLUDING IN LEBANON

• IRAN TO GUARANTEE FREE AND SAFE COMMERCIAL SHIPPING THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ FOR 60 DAYS

• US TO RELEASE FROZEN IRANIAN ASSETS ONCE THE AGREEMENT TAKES EFFECT

• US TO GRANT TEMPORARY SANCTIONS WAIVERS ALLOWING IRAN TO EXPORT OIL DURING NEGOTIATIONS

• IRAN TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT NUCLEAR PROGRAM WHILE TALKS CONTINUE

• BOTH SIDES TO ADDRESS IRAN'S ENRICHED URANIUM STOCKPILE IN FUTURE NEGOTIATIONS

• US TO AVOID NEW SANCTIONS AND MAJOR MILITARY BUILDUPS IN THE REGION DURING TALKS

• 60 DAYS OF NEGOTIATIONS PLANNED TO REACH A FINAL AGREEMENT

• OMAN AND GULF STATES TO PARTICIPATE IN TALKS ON MARITIME SECURITY AND SHIPPING ARRANGEMENTS

• FINAL DEAL COULD SEE THE US WITHDRAW ITS FORCES WITHIN 30 DAYS

• FINAL DEAL COULD RESULT IN THE LIFTING OF ALL US SANCTIONS ON IRAN

• PROPOSED FINAL AGREEMENT INCLUDES A $300 BILLION RECONSTRUCTION FUND FOR IRAN

• POTENTIAL DEAL WOULD REPRESENT ONE OF THE MOST SIGNIFICANT US–IRAN DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGHS IN DECADES

SOURCE: N12 NEWS

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

Crazy

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: Spain reveals 900,000 undocumented migrants have applied for legal status under its mass naturalization program — nearly double initial expectations.

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

Nice!

[BBC News (World) @BBCWorld]

Venezuela signs deal with US energy giant to rebuild power grid https://t.co/McvKTrL0Oo

[Nguyen Thi hong @NguyenThih36]

China pushed the line again!

For the first time, Chinese vessels entered prohibited waters around Taiwan-administered Taiping Island, only to be expelled by Taiwan’s coast guard.

Not a routine patrol; another act to challenge the status quo.

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

Like Russia, the UK no barley has a functional navy, so why not

[The Kyiv Independent @KyivIndependent]

⚡️ Russian frigate fires warning shots at yacht in English Channel, media reports.

A Russian frigate reportedly fired warning shots at a British-flagged yacht in the English Channel. The U.K. Defense Ministry is investigating the incident.
https://t.co/jfBSWG1N96

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

China's people are slaves to its communist crony-owned industries.
China's debt continues to balloon, pumping more and more subsidies via trapped capital into its export engine at the expense of the world and its domestic economy.
https://t.co/lKeRTQOdT2

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

bold

[Visegrád 24 @visegrad24]

Ukrainian long-range drones have just struck an oil refinery in Moscow.

The refinery, which has a capacity of 250,000 barrels per day and is the main supplier of fuel for the Moscow region, is now on fire.

[UnveiledChina @Unveiled_ChinaX]

Chinese hackers just spent two years raiding North America's most sensitive research vaults.

Google's Threat Intelligence Group has exposed UNC6508, a dangerous new Chinese cyber espionage actor. For over two years, this state-aligned group systematically infiltrated elite U.S. and Canadian academic, medical, and military research institutions.

Their objective was a total sweep of Western innovation. The group successfully exfiltrated critical defense data, Indo-Pacific military strategies, cyber warfare programs, and advanced AI technology. They also looted cutting-edge medical research, including new drug discoveries, public health policies, and clinical trials.

The tactics used by UNC6508 show a terrifying level of stealth. Instead of launching loud, disruptive attacks, they exploited vulnerabilities in specialized research databases. Once inside, they manipulated email compliance rules to automatically blind-copy stolen data containing specific national security keywords directly to actor-controlled accounts.

This highly targeted operation mirrors the aggressive behavior of more notorious Chinese state-backed groups like Volt Typhoon and UNC3886. While Google did not publicly name the specific victim institutions to protect their security, the targeted entities collectively command billions of dollars in research budgets. The stolen data perfectly aligns with Beijing's long-term military and technological ambitions.

For those wondering, this espionage operation has nothing to do with Google's recent June 2026 lawsuit. That legal action targets a separate, profit-driven Chinese cybercrime network that abused Gemini AI to run phishing scams against consumers. UNC6508, by contrast, is a state-funded intelligence unit strictly focused on intellectual property theft and national security disruption.

#CyberSecurity #China #Hacking #Espionage #NationalSecurity #GoogleThreatIntelligence #AITechnology #MilitaryStrategy

[Polymarket Money @PolymarketMoney]

JUST IN: Anthropic has been sued for allegedly misleading customers on Claude Max usage limits.

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

Russia and China's war

[Ken Moriyasu @kenmoriyasu]

"Examining the wreckage, one can find the same story in every fuselage. The flight controller, the optics, the engine, and the carbon-fiber skin are all of Chinese origin. It may have been bolted together in Russia, but its parts were manufactured in Shenzhen and Xiamen"

https://t.co/IK1HBGdnfP

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

Quiet possible

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

NEW: The White House reportedly has suspicions that China has accessed Claude Mythos.

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

They have always said this, but acted differently

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: Trump announces Iran has agreed to never have a nuclear weapon.

[CBS News @CBSNews]

President Trump's investment accounts traded between $212 million and $695 million in stocks and other securities in the first three months of the year — an unprecedented sum for a sitting president. https://t.co/ZgTlwWOcXW

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

Yup

[Dr. Eli David @DrEliDavid]

Low enrichment = Obama's JCPOA = clear path to nuclear weapons
_

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

The TRUMP meme coin generated about $616 million for the Trump family, while buyers lost more than $700 million, according to Reuters' estimates.

The coin has dropped 97% from its January 2025 peak

[@Ryan Trollip @ryan_trollip]

$14.77 trillion USD... total debts >300% of GDP and growing fast

[UnveiledChina @Unveiled_ChinaX]

China’s official government debt has just shattered the incomprehensible 100 trillion yuan mark, but the true math is far more alarming than Beijing wants to admit.

According to official data, the country's outstanding government debt balance surged to 100.6 trillion RMB by the end of May 2026, roughly doubling from 46.55 trillion RMB in late 2020. State media quickly framed this milestone as a benign, controlled byproduct of active fiscal stimulus and proactive debt-swap programs. Beijing proudly highlights its official headline debt-to-GDP ratio of 68.2%, pointing out that it sits well below heavyweights like the United States or Japan. However, independent economists warn that this official number is a sanitized illusion.

The core problem is that the 68% figure relies on an incredibly narrow definition of debt. It conveniently hides massive layers of local government financing vehicle liabilities, policy bank debts, and state-owned enterprise obligations. When independent institutions like the IMF calculate China's true augmented general government debt, the ratio jumps to between 88% and 120% of GDP. Look at total non-financial sector debt across the entire economy, and it skyrockets past a staggering 300%. The state's celebrated multi-trillion RMB debt swaps do not actually erase these liabilities. They merely drag toxic shadow debt onto the official balance sheets, heavily straining commercial bank margins while keeping insolvent zombie entities on life support.

Underneath the official optimism lies severe structural decay. Local governments used to rely on booming land sales to service their obligations, but the prolonged property market collapse has completely choked off that revenue. Massive capital is now being funneled into state projects that yield rapidly diminishing returns, raising the very real threat of a prolonged, Japanese-style balance sheet recession. While Beijing’s total control over its domestic financial system shields it from an immediate sovereign default, the long-term outlook is grim. China is effectively trapped in a high-debt, low-productivity cycle, using its financial muscle to buy time rather than fixing the underlying economic rot.

#ChinaEconomy #DebtCrisis #Macroeconomics #Finance #LGFV #IMF #PropertyMarket

[NZ ☄️ @CodeByNZ]

Anthropic: “If we’re going down, everybody’s coming with us.”