Ryan Carter

Pokémon at retail, not resale. US restock dates, per-pack math, public price calls graded weekly. Restock alerts I recommend ↓ (affiliate link)

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

1/ Most people overpay for Pokémon because they buy during the shortage, not after it.
I track the gap between retail and resale and make calls with a price and a date. Wins and misses stay here.

2/ Open calls:
Classic Collection singles are lower the week after Nov 6
Bubble Mew PSA 10 finds a floor around $2,500
The $1,000+ Nike Luffy listings don't hold
Set Sail Deck Set drifts back toward $24.99

3/ First grades on Friday. If I'm wrong, you'll see it here first.

4/ The cheapest way to own sealed is still retail. If you want to be there when it restocks, the alert group I recommend is in my bio (affiliate link).

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

Cheapest ways to hit $15 for the Mewtwo promo on Oct 2:
Two 2-Pack Blisters: $19.98 for 4 packs
Booster Bundle: $26.94 for 6 packs, $4.49 each, lowest in the set
The $14.99 Tech Sticker and Poster Collection are a cent short on sticker price

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@POKEMONAIBOT That $504 in savings is measured against a $237.98 "was" price.
MSRP is $49.99, so three at $69.97 is about $60 over retail. Still a win, since it's well under what these resell for

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@LordCharizard33 You can't buy it at the market price right now.
Only 21 listed, and the cheapest is $158.75, about $50 over the $108.68 market

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@switchstock Best Buy also gives out the Mewtwo promo with $15+ of Pokémon TCG from Oct 2.
So on Oct 3 you can pick up the free trading kit and the Mewtwo in the same trip.
The event is only at select stores, so check yours first

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@getcollectrapp The same card with one small flaw sold yesterday for $13,600.
BGS Pristine 10, 47 bids, centering 9.5 and everything else 10.
That half point on centering is about $62,000 against this Black Label

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

Free Mewtwo promo card starts Oct 2.
Spend $15+ on Pokémon TCG at GameStop, Best Buy, Hot Topic, Five Below, Barnes & Noble, Macy's or BoxLunch, in store or online.
Target isn't on the official list

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@Dexerto If you miss the Target event, there's an easier way to get it.
From Oct 2, spending $15+ on Pokémon TCG at GameStop, Best Buy, Hot Topic, Five Below, Barnes & Noble, Macy's or BoxLunch gets you the Mewtwo promo. Target isn't on that list

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@Vampyrgaming His era is on sale right now.
The base SEC went from $24 on Sep 7 to about $17 by Sep 18 on TCGplayer. The Japanese print is ¥1,480 at Yuyu-tei, around $10

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@PokeHEX5555 47 bids is a lot of people agreeing on $13,600.
It's a Pristine 10, not a Black Label, since the centering came back 9.5. BGS Pristine and PSA 10 trade as separate markets, so the $16,000 PSA comp doesn't carry over one to one

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@MeechFromPallet It's ¥780 in China, about $116, and it's a China-only box.
At $324.99 it's under other US import listings at $379 and $389.
The US version is the Mew or Mewtwo Figure Collection, $29.99 with 5 packs on Nov 6

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@iamapokeMOM Yes. The PSA promo is printed as OP14-020, the same number as the banned leader, so it's covered.
The ban starts Oct 12. Ungraded copies are listed around $90 to $133 right now, so anyone holding one for play has until then to decide whether to sell

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@Prof_Atikin It isn't out in English yet.
It comes in the 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection Day, $179.99 on Nov 6. In Japan it's already out inside the ¥27,500 Futuristic Box.
The two English presale listings on TCGplayer start at $484.95 for the card alone

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@OPMerchandise All three versions will exist in the same numbers.
Each event gives one copy to the winner, one to 2nd and one to 3rd, so the champion stamp won't be rarer. Any price gap between them will come from demand, not supply.
Left is 2nd place, middle is the winner, right is 3rd

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@Kramaramb The auctions still say $3,700.
The 44-bid and 18-bid sales in your screenshot both cleared around there. The $3,000 is one best offer on a green one, and the other green sold at $3,599.99.
Do you have the auction results from before the 22nd?

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

The million dollar Charizard happened today, on an onchain marketplace.
The open auction record is still $954,800 at Goldin, and $184,800 of that was buyer's premium. The actual hammer was $770,000.
Two different markets, two different numbers. I'd watch the hammer

[DachshundWizard 🧙‍♂️ @dachshundwizard]

WORLD RECORD SALE. 🔥

A PSA 10 1st Edition Base Set Charizard just sold for $1,000,000 on Beezie.

The previous record was $954,800 at Goldin, and that included a $184,800 buyer’s premium. The winning bid itself was $770,000.

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@scruffycitytv The 44% off on a list price nobody ever paid is the part that gives it away.

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@EliteFourcasts Worth flagging that I had this up 4% on a 30-day read earlier today.
Your number is the better one. $353.46 market with sales in the $330s and listings from $339 is a card testing a floor, not holding one.
Correcting my own call on this

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@PokeNotifyX That list is what happens when a set stops being printed.
Gengar VMAX sits at $1,023 five years after release. The 30th Jirachi SIR went from $224.99 at launch to $68.49 in a week, and the presses are still running.
Same hobby, opposite direction

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@ThePokeMD The vintage market is already there.
A TAG 10 Dark Charizard at POP 6 sold for $24,000 today. The PSA 10 at POP 555 sold for $23,000. Ninety-two times scarcer for a 4% premium.
If that's the spread on a pop-555 card, modern at 100k has nowhere to go

[Ryan Carter @ryancarterco]

@JayBobSons It's in the terms but nobody reads those at the register.
Worth asking them to note your pickup date on the receipt next time