ryan tan

nus, warwick; stats and cs

[ryan tan @ryantjx53]

cuthberto-carlos predictions for the final 2 games of the world cup!

I for one am excited for these games. model pits all teams at around the same skill levels, so it will be an interesting to see who comes out on top!

https://t.co/wlaOGz1aaT

[ryan tan @ryantjx53]

world cup semi final predictions are out! find out more here: https://t.co/wlaOGz1aaT

[ryan tan @ryantjx53]

knockout stages predictions are out! 2/3 correct scores at the 90th minute i think thats pretty impressive @Sam_Duffield !

https://t.co/wlaOGz1aaT

[ryan tan @ryantjx53]

market data @Polymarket api

[ryan tan @ryantjx53]

so how does the model compare to other predictions? I think pretty close!

the model doesnt take into account home advantage of team USA, so we see a big discrepancy in model estimates 😱😱😱 do you guys think that the home advantage should be that big?

https://t.co/wlaOGz1aaT

[ryan tan @ryantjx53]

after sweden's most recent 5-1 win against tunisia, we saw the Sweden's attack and defense scores improve! On 11 June, @Sam_Duffield 's model predicted that 2-0 was the most likely outcome. now its 1-1!

check out the model predictions here https://t.co/wlaOGz1aaT

[ryan tan @ryantjx53]

excited to be working on state-space models and cuthbert this summer

one of the cool things you can do is adaptively model the outcome of games. check it out here!

[Sam Duffield @Sam_Duffield]

The World Cup starts soon, I wrote a model using cuthbert to predict the games and @ryantjx53 built an awesome frontend 🐛⚽️

Check out cuthberto-carlos https://t.co/lbzsjiqiCe