@0xcoked Your point would make sense if the Strait of Hormuz were open and stable.
The world can tolerate political tension,
but it cannot live indefinitely with the passage of 20% of global energy under constant threat.
Sooner or later,
this situation will force someone to react.
Several cities in China have installed automated, AI-powered drone stations on utility poles.
These "drone-on-a-pole" systems automatically patrol, monitor traffic congestion, report accidents, and issue fines for traffic violations without needing a human pilot.
Age of countries by ancient origins:
🇮🇷 Iran: 5,226 years
🇪🇬 Egypt: 5,126 years
🇻🇳 Vietnam: 4,905 years
🇦🇲 Armenia: 4,518 years
🇰🇵 North Korea: 4,359 years
🇨🇳 China: 4,096 years
🇮🇳 India: 4,026 years
🇬🇪 Georgia: 3,326 years
🇪🇹 Ethiopia: 3,006 years
🇬🇷 Greece: 2,826 years
🇷🇺 Russia: 2,726 years
🇦🇫 Afghanistan: 2,704 years
🇯🇵 Japan: 2,686 years
🇲🇳 Mongolia: 2,235 years
🇹🇭 Thailand: 1,426 years
The situation has become very interesting! The world’s superpower is striking residential houses, checkpoints, and even unopened bridges!
Meanwhile, its opponent is taking down AWACS, landing craft, F-35s, A-10s, F-15Es, and more…
One is left wondering whether to laugh or cry.
آمریکا دچار «سندرم پدرخوانده» شده؛ مردم دنبال رهبرهای سالخوردهای هستن که حس قدرت و کنترل بدن، نه نوآوری یا شور جوانی.
شاید این، نشونه یه بحران عمیقتر باشه: افول نرم تمدنی که دیگه رهبر جوان نمیسازه.
Don't be fooled, Israel is in worse shape then people think.
About 1/3 of Tel Aviv has been damaged or destroyed.
As far as their military installations are concerned, I'm told many Israeli aircraft's are being flown to Cyprus to avoid being struck.
Israel was not prepared for Iran's response.
One of the most crucial elements of this war, and I don't think it's being discussed even remotely enough, is the question of munitions.
You see, to launch this war the way it did, and defend against Iranian missiles, Israel has had to make extensive, intensive use of the most costly and rare types of munitions currently in use by any Western military: first, the THAAD and Arrow 3 interceptors, and, second, the kind of air-to-ground missiles that you shot from many hundreds of kilometers ways, if not thousands.
Both these kinds of weapons systems are extremely expensive to produce and also quite scarce. An Israeli source I've seen said that even the US doesn't produce more than a few hundred ultra-sophisticated interceptors a year. Even if Israel is capable of producing a couple of hundred more itself, Israel cannot reasonably have more than 2000-3000 interceptors of this kind on site and ready for use, or in stock. These are huge missiles costing millions of dollars apiece.
The cutting-edge standoff missiles Israel is using, for instance, America's AGM-158B, have only been procured in relatively small numbers: around 3000 of those have been produced for the US military so far.
Given an estimated stockpile of 3000 air-to-ground missiles and 3000 interceptors (both generous estimates), Israel may run out of suitable munitions in 10 days. With the Brits and French sending in everything they can spare, and the US resupplying Israel to the best of its ability, I would give Israel no more than 5-10 additional days tops with current use patterns.
Then it will have to start using infinitely inferior alternatives, to the extent that it even has enough of those (Israel always runs out of munitions within weeks, even when fighting Hezbollah and Hamas).
Iran, on the other hand, is most likely throwing first some of its older models to deplete Israel's interceptors. Once those begin to erode, with maybe a few batteries hit, then they can pull out their biggest, baddest weapons like the Khorramshahr-4, with a 1,500 kg warhead. For comparison, the destruction we've seen in Israel so far is the result of warheads 1/3 of this weight. We're talking entire city blocks or military bases evaporating in milliseconds.
In about 1 week, Israel is already going to be in acute distress.
آقای پدافند غیر عامل
اگر خدایی نکرده اتفاقی در #پتروشیمی تبریز بیافتد ،اکثر مسئولین استان عزادار خواهد شد، لطفا تدبیری کنید تا اقوام مسئولین اعم از فرزندان و برادرزاده ها و نوه و ... در جاهای دیگری نیز مشغول شوند .
با تشکر، یک شهروند نگران مسئولین
یه ضرب المثل آفریقایی هست که میگه:
امیدوارم وقتی مرگ به سراغت میاد؛ زنده پیدات کنه...
واقعا آیا ما تا زمان مرگ زیستیمان خواهیم زیست ؟ یا فقط جسمی جاندار با روحی که سالهاست جسم را طلاق داده تحویل پایان خواهیم داد ؟