I focus on pre-earnings options setups and asymmetric opportunities.
Looking for companies with:
• structural growth
• strong trends
• temporary dislocations
The goal: find the best LEAP opportunities.
Recently watching: $SOFI $HIMS $ASTS
@optionscjp honestly, if you have enough points for business class, it's much more convenient with kids… I've tried it twice for trips to Florida and it's great, plus the VIP lounge access is a bonus.
$DELL just posted record earnings - $43.8B in revenue, up 88% YoY, and beat estimates by $8.4B.
AI server revenue hit $16.1B. Up 757% year over year. $24.4B in AI orders in a single quarter.
Here are 5 companies that are direct beneficiaries you should keep on your watchlist:
1. $SMCI - Super Micro Computer
Direct AI server competitor riding the same demand cycle. Q3 revenue $10.2B, up 123% YoY. $13B+ Blackwell order backlog. They hold 70-80% market share in direct liquid cooling - which becomes mandatory as AI racks get denser. If Dell is shipping this much, SMCI is shipping right behind them.
Forget about rate cuts in 2026.
Near-term is a hold and the tilt toward hikes arrives by this fall.
The aggregated view shows a heavy bias higher, but even into late 2027 a big chunk of probability stays near current levels.
This data comes from the CME FedWatch aggregated view. It pools futures pricing across all contracts and shows the cumulative implied path relative to today's 3.50-3.75% target.
-Near-term: June still 99% hold
-By Sept: 62% hold / 38% +25bp
-Oct: 47% hold / 53% hike territory
-Into 2027: heavy tilt higher with Dec 2027 already 44% hold / 56% +25bp or more.
Sticky inflation is forcing a faster repricing.
I often talk about higher for longer and these numbers confirm it. It also puts new Fed Chair Warsh in a tough spot. He has argued there is room to cut, but the data and futures are moving the other way.
Things change fast though. Going into 2025 markets at the dovish peak were pricing six plus cuts. We got three.
Going into this year markets were pricing 1-2 cuts in 2026. Now the aggregated futures are tilting the other way and pricing a more hawkish path than the Fed itself expected.
Higher for longer is getting repriced in real time. Are you positioned?
$NVDA delivered again. 🚀
• Revenue $81.6B vs $79.2B est
• EPS $1.85 vs $1.78 est
• Data Center $75.2B vs $73.5B est
• Gross Margin held at 75%
Q2 guidance was strong too:
• Revenue $90.6B vs $87.2B est
People keep calling it a bubble while the company keeps printing insane growth, margins and cash flow.
AI demand still looks very real.
The math nobody is doing:
$90.6B guidance for ONE quarter.
That’s $362B annualized run rate for 2026.
At PEG 0.9x — still the most undervalued mega cap on earth.
$NVDA
$NVDA delivered again. 🚀
• Revenue $81.6B vs $79.2B est
• EPS $1.85 vs $1.78 est
• Data Center $75.2B vs $73.5B est
• Gross Margin held at 75%
Q2 guidance was strong too:
• Revenue $90.6B vs $87.2B est
People keep calling it a bubble while the company keeps printing insane growth, margins and cash flow.
AI demand still looks very real.