See this game, here’s what I noticed hidden in stats and how you can capitalize on this.
The bookies gave Middlesbrough 1.77 odds to beat Millwall 4.71 odds.
Normally you would see this odd and think the bookie knows something you did not know. You will blindly choose market to Favour Middlesbrough.
But here’s the thing, the only safe market here is over 1.5 but at what odd really…
But look deeper. Are you surprised that a 4.71 odds won 1.77 odds?
Let me tell you what the stats says.
Before the game, Middlesbrough was 2nd in the league while millwall was 3rd. This is supposed to be a tight game but the bookies set a trap.
We found out that Milwall was actually in a better form than Middlesbrough. Millwall form was WWWDL while Middlesbrough was WWLDD.
Seeing those form you’d think This is close matchup as both has almost similar form, WRONG!
If you check the opponents that Middlesbrough dropped point against, they were struggling teams in positions like 18th 15th etc and so is their wins.
Milwall on the other hand won teams in positions like 5th, 8th and dropped point to the 4th place team.
You could see Millwall was beating the best and losing to the best too… while Middlesbrough was winning wacky teams and dropping points to same wacky teams. They are both not on the same form.
Even though Middlesbrough sits second, they maintained it by beating lesser ranked team compared to Millwall that sits 3rd who actually beat stronger opponents to maintain that position.
The bookies know this… and they set the trap.
We have trained our model on this stats and we backtested it on the same match. It correctly tipped Millwall to win.
In the image you can see it knows it’s a close match, but the bookie is being tricky and it correctly saw the value the bookies was hiding.
We lost the game yesterday on the website because we didn’t pay attention to this important stat.
We have pushed the latest StatX update today.
Go and Win 🔥🔥
#sportybet #bookies
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