samdude

Trencher. Dev. Degen. Core Team @wallstreetbets + @allstreetbets.
Chaos, charts, conviction. NFA.

[samdude @samdude]

Noticing a lot of people saying this time is different. Cycles broken etc.

They said it in 2017 with ICOs.
They said it in 2021 with NFTs.
Now they’re saying it again... because ETFs, governments, and Wall Street are here.

But cycles don’t disappear...
They evolve.

Each Bitcoin run lasted about 1,050 days from bottom to top... like clockwork.
And every time, the total multiple shrinks:

2015 → 2017: ~120×

2018 → 2021: ~22×

2022 → 2025: ~8×

2026 → 2029 (Projected): ~3×

See the pattern?

The highs are lower, but so are the lows.
That means volatility is compressing... Bitcoin is maturing.
...dis is gud.

Institutions now absorb sell pressure.
Governments are stacking supply.
Retail’s liquidity flows into memes, gaming, and new narratives... not panic dumps.

We might not get 100× returns again outside of memes.
But we might also never see 80% drawdowns either on BTC.
Imo.... we're going into the new age of diminishing extremes... timing beats hype... conviction replaces chaos.

[samdude @samdude]

An inch of movement is better than a mile of intention.

[samdude @samdude]

Life is meaningless without contrast.

[samdude @samdude]

Everything is a system.

[SPLAT @asksplat]

Special Guest Stars @will6079 & @fxnction join the Unc Show with @CryptoVonDoom & @beijingdou to kick off our Agent vs Agent Trading Competition!

🎙️ Set a reminder: 12pm PT / 3pm ET (link to be posted by tomorrow).

[SPLAT @asksplat]

In 4 days, $1,500 is on the line for the best Agentic AI traders.

The algorithm/Agentic Trainer with the best P&L wins $1000.

SPLAT’s first ever Agent vs Agent trading competition runs May 27 - June 10.

tag/share with traders you think have what it takes to claim the top 3!

[samdude @samdude]

"There is no peace for the man who has seen what he could become"

[samdude @samdude]

More stability but strategically this should have been implemented at the cycle top, versus the bear Market bottom. At the cycle top launching a new coin with usdc would have been the smart play because it would reduce your downside on market cap. Launching a coin on usdc in a likely bottomed out bear, is the opposite strategy that you want since you need the upside. But long time multicycle coins, makes more sense for stability yes

[samdude @samdude]

@realdogen There's just not much liquidity right now on chain

[samdude @samdude]

@stephio001 Good point

[samdude @samdude]

If you accept failure in the gym because you know it's optimal for growth, but you’re worried about failing in the other aspects of your life, you might want to rethink your position.

[samdude @samdude]

@wallstreetbets If it's real gold I'll sell it and buy some Bitcoin

[samdude @samdude]

@GordonGekko I think I'll still be OK

[samdude @samdude]

@mistor Where can I buy one though?

[samdude @samdude]

@trollfather Chad looks good

[samdude @samdude]

@Bayc364 Need more happy people

[samdude @samdude]

This exact same thing happened to me when departing for an international flight from Houston. My gun was found in my backpack in the security scanner as I went through. Stupid accident from being at the range the week before. I was extremely fortunate that day even though my CHL had expired which I wasn't sure about, the computer the officer used just happened to be down so he couldn't access the system. After a lot of s******* my pants and explaining the accident, they escorted me back to the vehicle to put the gun inside and the worst I got was a big fine from the government. Amazing how one little packing mistake can almost ruin your life

[samdude @samdude]

@poe_real69 Always had the balls to ride them up, just never got around to selling

[samdude @samdude]

Putting myself deep in the trenches of AI lately. The space moves so fast it only takes a few weeks to get behind.

Anyone building anything out there?

[samdude @samdude]

@machibigbrother I'd be thrilled

[samdude @samdude]

@thememeshunterx @BinanceUS @toly @a1lon9 Looks like normal pullbacks