@TheOneLanceB Lance - Your prior BIG trade (Japan) inspired me and I went big on the China short. Like you FUTU was big for me, as was YANG (started accumulating pre-market) and a bit in PDD (which was tougher given the action). Had one of the best trading days in last 2 months! Thank you!!
@victorreyes_88 Definitely hard and choppy...but slowly things are moving / holding up (RSP / IWO both above 200d and holding). Overall there's very little overall progress but seems like stage one action to me. Things can change though.
Stage One Market (following a bear market):
1. A one and a half step forward / one step back market.
2. Winners get separated from the losers.
3. Buy near major MAs and take some profits to cushion yourself.
4. Tricky environment - Prone to frequent / deep pullbacks.
Despite all the negative headlines you see war, banking crises, inflation, recession....stocks are slowly improving under the hood. April is one of the strongest months historically. Having said all that...it's a twisted path up...1.5 step forward and 1 step back.
$RSP, $IWO - Light volume pull back to the 200d MAs seems constructive as the 20d MAs still the to turn up. If they hold and turn up from the MAs...it would be a good spot to add exposure.
Two rules to make "BIG" money in the stock market -
1. Don't lose too much (when conditions are unfavorable) - This kept you out of trouble last 2 years.
2. Don't sell too fast - (when conditions are favorable) - This is the one we will need to adhere as the mkt turns now.
In the stock market it is more important to know "WHAT" is happening than "WHY" is it happening? All the banking stocks provided significant clues before the big declines.
This is exactly what took place with $SBNY chart.
Large down weeks on huge volume are like dinosaur footprints signaling danger. The mother of all being the week prior to halting. You had time but if you didn't act you got left with literal pennies today.
Stks hv been resilient despite a banking crises. $QQE is breaking out. $RSP re-gained its 200d today. $IWO still working on it. Recent growth stk breakouts are holding. Am seeing a lot of decent setups in recent IPOs...that's where my guess is the power will be.
Since Nov $TLT and $SPX have been in sync but the rel. broke down on Mar 7th - when things started to break and flight to safety begin. Prob why $TLT and Big Tech (like long bonds as they are so stable) are rising while all else is falling. Key Q is if panic is fully priced in?
In trading/investing, most people (including myself) are wrong much more than weβre right. But when weβre wrong we canβt stay wrong. Staying wrong is how you go broke. Donβt go broke because you canβt make any money if your money is gone (thanks Captain Obvious π). The key is staying in the game for the long haul. Fold those small losers and wait for your hand. Staying in the game allows you to catch those big winners that inevitably come (long or short). Keep grinding πͺπ» HAGW π»π
Despite the difficult action - the sector allocation of the CTT Trend Template, which defines the dynamic universe of stocks that I watch closely, is shaping up nicely. Consumer Discretionary and Tech at the top, Energy and Consumer Defensive nearer the bottom.
Be greedy when others are fearful? Looks and smells like we are bottoming. But keep an open mind....for this market is mercurial as the weather in London.
https://t.co/V9vCOM0lvm