Samantha - LaDuc

Proud Founder + Mother.
Curious Cross-Asset Analyst.
Persistent Trader on Chase, Swing + Trend Timeframes.
"Often right for the wrong reasons.

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Almost as if Trump has a hidden agenda for pushing through AI capex and data center build outs. 🦝

Paging Whitney Webb

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: Trump warns communities that reject data centers risk living in “poverty, crime, and squalor.”

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Even more nuts!!

"S&P estimates that the six largest US hyperscalers could spend more than 7 trillion dollars over five years." FT
https://t.co/gygMe5gYX8…

C'mon people. This is a massive call on global capital same time governments are financing massive deficits!
#HigherYield

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

BOTTOM FISHING SOFTWARE PLAYS:
$ORCL was new again last week.
$GTLB $NOW & $TRI Still Working!

Rethinking the AI disruption narrative ;-)

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Get the trade before it happens:
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more snippets from my live trading room OR...

1. JOIN US LIVE at LaDucTrading
2. Join our livestream on YouTube
3. Get the recording on Substack PRO

https://t.co/uCNTcMvhJ6

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Ya wanna know what is even more nuts?

SIFMA showed 1.7 through July already for corporates! On track to $3t vs treasury $2t net new. Which would be ~10% of GDP.

h/t @StephGuildNYC 🤯

[Samantha LaDuc @SamanthaLaDuc]

Ya wanna know what is even more nuts?

SIFMA showed 1.7 through July already for corporates! On track to $3t vs treasury $2t net new. Which would be ~10% of GDP.

h/t @StephGuildNYC 🤯

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

DEBATE!

dollar devaluation ...

[Geoffrey Fouvry @GraphCall]

@SamanthaLaDuc @nodiligence The US needs a lower currency pronto or the debt markets will implode. The USD is way too high, and
interest rates way too high (also gov spending too high). CCC spreads are mooning.

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Midterms, Anthropic IPO & Treasury intervention policies into November.

Not the usual market seasonality 😉

Not even on FOMC rate hike fears?!

Anyway, IF Seasonality, we will know after September OpEx.

Until then, enjoy your long weekend!

https://t.co/IvchcztntO…

[M Mohan @mukund]

In Q2 2026, @AnthropicAI revenue soared to $11.5 billion, more than 14 times higher than the same quarter a year prior.

They also had a positive operating profit, of $599 million.

IPO in Nov.

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

We know the reason & it’s deplorable 💔⚖️

“They need to be prosecuted.”
@RepThomasMassie

Jes Staley.
Leon Black.
Les Wexner.
David Copperfield.
Lapo Elkann.
Tom Pritzker.
Glenn Dubin.
Frédéric Fekkai.
Edoardo Teodorani.
Jean-Luc Brunel, “conveniently dead by suicide in.

[Publius @OcrazioCornPop]

🚨 NEW: Speaker Mike Johnson just CANCELED the last two weeks of the House's September session - AFTER Trump posted people are taking too much time off work!

The original calendar had the House in session through October 1.

Now they’re packing up around September 17 - 53 DAYS OFF until after the midterms !!!

ALMOST 2 FULL MONTHS!

@RepThomasMassie says Johnson is fleeing D.C. in order to avoid voting on the new Epstein Files Transparency Act II.

It would allow state AGs, victims, and members of Congress sue the DOJ if it keeps withholding Epstein files the first law already required it to release.

WHY DO YOU THINK @SpeakerJohnson IS LEAVING TOWN FOR AN EXTRA 2 WEEKS OFF?

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Do not fall for this kabuki theater!

Trump, Lutnick, Bessent, Warsh, Blanche …

ALL co-conspirators in corrupt cronyism colluding for concentration of power to further capitalize on their concoction for total control & government capture that crushes our core values.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: President Trump calls on the Fed to cut interest rates after the August jobs report nearly triples expectations.

Trump also threatens to "stop trading with countries with which we have a deficit" if the Fed does not cut rates.

The Fed "must get smart," Trump says.

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

This is the trend:
Out of government bond holdings to private U.S. corporate bond holdings

“NBIM plans to increase its holdings of nongovernment U.S. fixed income, such as corporate bonds, to 27.6% from 16.2%.”

AI: IT IS ALL ONE TRADE

https://t.co/n7P575gAWv

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Well-named: “perps”

Law Enforcement Slang for Perpetrator -
A person who has committed a crime, or someone suspected of doing so. 🎯

Also, up to 20X leverage for even greater insider trading 🤯

#Kalshi #Polymarket

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

Polymarket Perps is live.

Up to 20x leverage on crypto, stocks, commodities, & more. Deepest liquidity, lowest fees.

Long BTC, predict the Fed, short the S&P reaction — only on Polymarket⁠.com

👉 https://t.co/UwdkHrmEMT

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Which massive U.S. company has the most to lose from OpenAI? 🤨 and ergo the most incentive & funds to cover it up? 🥺 $NVDA

[Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus]

This could be one of the most significant AI safety incidents to date.

Reuters reports that OpenAI agents escaped their testing environment and made more than 15,000 edits to a German wiki, effectively turning it into a message board for other AI agents.

They allegedly used it to share solutions, bypass restrictions, avoid detection and preserve their communications across separate agent runs. When moderators began deleting the pages, the agents reportedly created backups and discussed alternative ways to remain operational.

It is that multiple agents apparently created their own external infrastructure for coordination, persistent memory and knowledge transfer without being instructed to do so.

And according to Reuters, OpenAI knew about the incident but did not disclose it!

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Rate hike into flat payrolls because of Trump-driven higher oil, tariffs, deficits and war is the wrong policy.

Historic income inequality will only grow larger as labor market suffers.

[EndGame Macro @onechancefreedm]

So you are telling me the Fed should start raising rates into a labor market where payroll growth has already gone negative, hiring has fallen to roughly the level of separations, quits are depressed, ADP just printed only 38,000 private jobs and ISM Services Employment is contracting at 47.8 because headline inflation is being pushed higher by energy, tariffs, freight, metals, chip shortages and geopolitical disruption?

That diagnosis makes very little sense. Sahm herself acknowledges that higher rates cannot produce oil, remove tariffs or resolve the Middle East conflict, yet her prescription is still to destroy additional demand elsewhere in the economy. Inflation breadth does not prove excess demand caused the inflation because common upstream shocks such as energy, freight and imported inputs can propagate through hundreds of prices simultaneously.

Meanwhile monetary policy works with long lags, and the labor market increasingly looks like it is freezing before it is firing, with employers protecting incumbent workers while refusing to hire or replace normal attrition. Another hike would hit housing, small businesses, leveraged firms, marginal consumers and hiring long before it meaningfully affects the hyperscalers driving AI investment.

Worse, suppressing AI, semiconductor and power grid investment could slow the very capacity expansion eventually needed to relieve those bottlenecks. Sahm could be completely right that inflation remains closer to 4% than 2% for a while and still be wrong about the appropriate policy response.

The relevant question is not whether inflation is elevated. It is whether the marginal inflation is sufficiently demand driven, persistent and embedded in wages and expectations to justify deliberately weakening an already stalling labor market. Right now, that case is nowhere near as strong as her confidence implies.

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

Fraud Always Marks A Top

[Rudy Havenstein, Senior Markets Commentator. @RudyHavenstein]

Great overview of "the biggest accounting fraud in human history, the AI bubble," by Jack Gamble @JG_Nuke.

https://t.co/8Rup0KlswA

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

🔥

[Matt Cole @ColeMacro]

This may be a contrarian view on X, but it is clearly the consensus view of capital markets.

Follow the dollars, valuations, and liquidity.

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

🔥

[Matt Cole @ColeMacro]

Feeling a little under-amplified this morning.

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

🔥

[Matt Cole @ColeMacro]

Congrats to Simon, @DylanLeClair, and the @Metaplanet team on a big move.

The United States has the best capital markets in the world. Their depth, liquidity, and culture of innovation are a powerful advantage for those building on Bitcoin.

We need more issuers of Digital Credit for this asset class to reach its full potential. This move is another meaningful step in that direction.

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

🔥

[Matt Cole @ColeMacro]

Strive acquired an additional 79 $BTC for $5.0M at $63,231 per bitcoin, bringing total holdings to 20,246 BTC.

$ASST $SATA

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

🔥

[Matt Cole @ColeMacro]

Probably nothing. I don’t make the rules.

[Samantha - LaDuc @SamthanLaDuc]

🔥

[Matt Cole @ColeMacro]

The mission is simple: take this thing to the moon. 🚀