ScaleFinX

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[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE Q3 earnings analysis, competitive dynamics (TikTok Shop, Temu) and outlook post is out!

Key points: (1) Shopee S&M spend per order + incremental GMV impact per $, (2) SeaMoney profitability record highs, (3) Shopee livestreaming investment & growth

https://t.co/3YkNFfeAj7

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE what a wild ride this has been

To all the haters who doubted $SE and to all the believers who added in the $30-50 range! 🥂

[Wolf of Harcourt Street @wolfofharcourt]

$SE Q1 Earnings Results

Revenue $3.73 billion vs Est. $3.62 billion 🟢

EPS ($0.04) vs Est. $0.03 🔴

23% revenue growth (3% beat) while operating at breakeven, the growth story returns!

Full earnings review will be covered in the newsletter this week.

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

High S&M expenses are a definite concern but I'm not reading too much into it yet (and this was also down around $200M QoQ)

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE good results! Nothing out of the extraordinary but good to see continued execution especially with eCommerce growing considerably YoY

Up 7% pre-trading, nearing $70 😊

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

@fundam_inv Yeah, and funnily I think this was because TikTok Shop bumped up commissions too

There's no free lunch, no better moat in eCom than $SE. Analysts just don't get it (even now only a few have hit a lightbulb moment which makes me think there's a lot of runway). $65 is nothing

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

Where are all the $SE has no moat analysts? 👀

I think they're buried in a hole 🤔

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

@GabGrowth No news as such, but slowly it's becoming evident to "analysts" and hedge funds that the "risk" of TikTok Shop was way too overblown

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

@CongeeShorts Not a short term one btw, maybe 1-2 years if all goes well 🙏

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

Another good exit decision to exit $SHOP last year Nov at around ~$72 (apart from $AAPL)

Had invested both proceeds into $SE

For what it's worth, I think $SHOP might still not be a good risk-reward stock despite the 20% drop today

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

Exited $SHOP today with decent double digit profits. No thesis change, I just think many other better reward opportunities are available and $SHOP became very expensive relative to other opportunities

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

@CongeeShorts Hold till $150, but needs 🤌🍡

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE "Sea Ltd shares target raised to $70 on strong tech performance"

Just one of the many reratings, and many more to come! Hope everyone is enjoying $60+ 😉🔥

https://t.co/xjTrQWOxIk

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE closes at 6% up, now in touching distance to $60. Keep holding onto your hats - some more reratings, hedge fund FOMO and short covering should likely take this to the $65-70 range soon!

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

@bargainhunt94 Conviction is all that matters! 🫡☺️

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE This aged well! Sold $AAPL which is down around 10% and bought $SE which is up 45% from the time I bought! 🤞💪

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

But, can't have it all. I exited $AAPL at a good price, and I believe I have gotten $SE at a very good price as well. No one knows what will happen in the short term, but these stocks are for the long run!

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

@bargainhunt94 Your patience and conviction was next level @bargainhunt94! Cheers to that, 60% of portfolio is phenomenal

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE another 3.5% up pre-opening! Keep enjoying the ride my friends. The FOMO for "analysts" and hedgies is yet to play out. And the shorts are yet to get their shorts blown off

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

@John94159019 Indeed, the herd mentality will first recommend $70-80 targets, when those are achieved they'll likely further raise them to 3 digits!

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE how I think next couple of weeks will pan out - shorts and bulls might wrestle and let Sea consolidate at these levels of $50-55. But $50 is now a strong new base and "analysts" who were bearish on $SE will start upgrading their targets in light of the strong Q4 ER

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

Check this from 12hrs ago, for my views on price action expectations in the coming weeks:

https://t.co/vYSXoI80vu

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE how I think next couple of weeks will pan out - shorts and bulls might wrestle and let Sea consolidate at these levels of $50-55. But $50 is now a strong new base and "analysts" who were bearish on $SE will start upgrading their targets in light of the strong Q4 ER

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE Wow I literally wrote a few hours ago that I expected many reratings for Sea soon. This is just one, expect many more to come. $65 should be easy barring any stupidity 🤞💪

[Kaushik @WisemanCap]

$SE JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight, 'We believe earnings expectations are likely to see positive revisions' PT $70

[ScaleFinX @ScaleFinX]

$SE absolutely agree! Waiting for the "analysts" to flip their narrative and start rerating soon 😉

[Wolf of Harcourt Street @wolfofharcourt]

$SE +14% in premarket

The FOMO on this one is about to get real. Expect institutional and individual investors alike to pile back into this over the coming weeks and drive it higher.