๐ป Modeling permafrost change allows us to predict and preview the future Arctic. So how do #PermafrostPathways and other scientists make these predictions?
โฌ๏ธ Check out our new explainer:
https://t.co/Ewg7EQAVn2
๐ The Hybrid Terrestrial Ecosystem Modeling Workshop 2024 is in full swing! ๐ Day 2 focused on Parameter Estimation, Calibration, & Data Assimilation. ๐ฅ Day 3 dives into Wildfires & Cryohydrological Modeling. #Permafrost#CarbonCycle#Modeling
@WoodwellArctic
@ArcticBiology
๐ Day 1 of the Hybrid Terrestrial Ecosystem Modeling Workshop 2024 is off to an inspiring start! Engaging presentation on #Permafrost and the #CarbonCycle. @WoodwellArctic @ArcticBiology ๐ฑ๐ฌ
New work: Permafrost carbon emissions need to be accurately projected in Earth System models for full consideration of the remaining global carbon budget https://t.co/H1F3xvADF4
New report in @NatureClimate:
The way science is funded is hampering Earth System Models and likely skewing climate predictions, according to a comment published today by #PermafrostPathways@WoodwellClimate and an international team of model experts. https://t.co/V41llRnU2a /1
The strongest driver for autumn green-down is the accumulation of chilling degree days (CDD) and models including a CO2 parameter do best. Increased atmospheric CO2 advances autumn green-down #ClimateChange
How much is spring green-up and fall green-down impacted by warmer temperatures? How well can models predict spring green-up and autumn green-down? Find out in our new publication https://t.co/2OVpit4Acj @koen_hufkens@EcossNau
and others
Up to 30 days longer active growing season in the warmest enclosures at the #SPRUCE experiment if you add up earlier spring green-up and delayed fall senescence
June 21 is #ShowYourStripesโ day and summer solstice!
Most places go from blue to red in the last 30 years. Find your location here: https://t.co/p43ws1OyT1
@MiriamCJones Thank you for telling your journey. I can't imagine what you went through and still have ahead of you. I continue to wish you all the best!
๐จ๐ Global Carbon Budget 2022, out now!๐๐จ
It provides the latest update on how we humans have tampered with Earth's remarkable system of #carbon stocks and flows.
So what are the take-homes from our latest update?
@gcarbonproject@PFriedling
New permafrost carbon synthesis paper with 9 future worlds of Arctic methane and carbon dioxide emissions. This accelerating feedback to climate change depends on what humans do and the response of Arctic ecosystems to warming:
https://t.co/UM8YhEefzm
#ClimateChange#permafrost
Myth 1: The fuse is already lit, and massive meltdown and #GreenhouseGas release are inevitable within a few years or decades. Abrupt methane release from hydrates, craters, and lakes has been triggered and is now unstoppable โฐโ๏ธ
What is the best single thing we can do to protect permafrost ecosystems? Stop fossil fuel emissions! New pub is out addressing the urgency https://t.co/mzrxCrlHqe
The Richardson Lab @EcossNAU@NAU has a postdoc opening working on phenology at the DOE SPRUCE experiment (https://t.co/lvFD7trboX) with #PhenoCam data. Info here: https://t.co/yjbMQdFeoZ
New paper out describing microbial assembly post thaw depends on the balance of stochastic and deterministic processes. Impressive leadership by @JessErnakovich, great team work with @RobynBarbato@virginia_rich and @PermafrostCN, artwork @victorleshyk https://t.co/4eFW3hCtxW