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Weekly Futures Market Report: Top Performers and Losers Week Ending: Friday, July 17, 2026 Final performance tracking from Monday Open This Week's Top Futures (The Gainers) Wheat Complex (HRW Settled at $7.32 1/4 | +56.00 cents weekly | SRW +42.50 cents weekly) Winter wheat futures were the absolute rock stars of the ag space this week, roaring into Friday's close with massive technical momentum. Igniting a fiery wave of spec short-covering, the HRW contract hit a seven-week high of $7.32 1/4 on Friday, driven by renewed global supply worries, international trade geopolitical heat, and deteriorating crop metrics out of competing export origins. Soybeans & Bean Oil (Soybeans Settled at $12.03 | +12.25 cents weekly | Oil +3.01¢ weekly) The soy complex put together a powerful, technically bullish weekly high close. November Soybeans reclaimed key structural ground to settle at $12.03/bu, riding the coattails of a spectacular 301-point weekly explosion in September Bean Oil (settling at 73.93 cents/lb). The surge was supercharged by massive flashes of daily export sales to China and Mexico totaling over 700,000 MT, alongside strong supportive action from the energy desks. December New-Crop Corn (Settled at $4.67 1/2 | +6.50 cents weekly) New-crop corn contracts locked in a nice technical bounce into the weekend, shaking off early-week weaknesses to end near daily highs at $4.67 1/2. Bulls stepped in aggressively to defend chart support lines as midday extended weather models hinted at persistent Western Corn Belt moisture drawdowns right before crucial high-summer development phases. WTI Crude Oil (Settled at $82.05/bbl | +$3.10 Friday surge | +$10.66 weekly change) Crude futures completely shattered their recent ranges, staging a dynamic 3.9% rally on Friday alone to cross above multi-month overhead barriers and settle at $82.05/bbl. The massive double-digit weekly gain washed out weeks of contango sentiment, fueled by a heavy return of maritime geopolitical risk and robust physical drawdown projections across domestic storage hubs. This Week's Futures Losers Precious Metals (Gold -$113.90/oz weekly drop | Settled at $3,999.80/oz) Gold futures faced intense liquidation pressure, falling for consecutive sessions to break briefly below the psychologically critical $4,000 barrier before printing a microscopic Friday stabilization at $3,999.80/oz. A hawkish stance from central bank desks and institutional managers aggressively trimming over-allocated, non-yielding hard asset exposure completely overshadowed localized inflation data points. Feeder Cattle (Sustained Downward Slide | -$8.65 weekly drop | Settled at 345.95 cents/lb) The bleeding continued across the livestock stalls. August Feeders hit a painful five-week low close, dropping on Friday to finish at 345.95 cents/lb. Persistent margin crunches at processing facilities and collapsing country cash cattle trades left front-month futures entirely vulnerable to structural long liquidation. Live Cattle (Multi-Month Lows | -$10.775 weekly slide | Settled at 224.425 cents/lb) August Live Cattle shadowed the broader feeder complex carcass-out, losing over $10.00 on the week to slam into a fresh four-month low of 224.425 cents/lb. Heavily depressed processor slaughter runs and weaker wholesale cutout values into mid-summer left the cash market completely starved for immediate packer support. December Cotton (Bearish Breakdown | -2.91¢/lb weekly drop | Settled at 78.63 cents/lb) Cotton futures suffered devastating technical damage, falling through long-standing price bands to log a bearish weekly low close at 78.63 cents/lb. A sharp decline in export interest and weak demand feedback from major global textile hubs has flipped cotton's chart structure firmly into the hands of speculative shorts. Next Week's Outlook (July 20 – July 24, 2026) The Ag Complex Reversal Validation With Wheat, Beans, and Corn printing technically bullish weekly high closes, all eyes will be on Sunday night's electronic reopen. Traders will look to confirm follow-through buying or expose a "weekend weather trap." If rain models miss the dry pockets of the Western Corn Belt over the weekend, the upside breakout could accelerate quickly on Monday morning. Energy Pipeline Fallout Following WTI's massive multi-dollar surge into the $82 zone, the focus shifts to whether this layout can hold its newly found backwardation structure. Keep an eye on incoming headline risk surrounding shipping safety corridors—any escalation or sudden resolution will trigger high-volume asset reallocations across macro commodity desks. Inside Look Technical Execution: Trading the Bullish High Close The charts gave a masterclass on Friday in how to stage a synchronized short-squeeze. September HRW Wheat and November Soybeans printing bullish weekly high closes at the dead top of their daily trading frames means the shorts were completely trapped into the weekend. For Sunday night's electronic reopen, watch the 5-minute bars closely. If these contracts open with an up-gap and sustain it through the first hour, it signals a structural regime change do not stand in front of that momentum trying to pick a top. The Basis Check (Nebraska/Iowa) The dramatic late-week rally in Chicago is finally catching up to what we’ve been tracking on the ground in the O'Neill region. Local commercial elevators didn't budge an inch during the early-week board weakness, and now that futures have bounced, local cash bids are pushing hard toward $4.75. Country ownership of remaining old-crop bushels is exceptionally tight across Central Nebraska. Processors know that the localized topsoil and sub-surface moisture deficit is real, regardless of what the national weather headlines say. Keep your cash targets firm. Risk Management: Recognizing the Slaughter Backlog The structural charts for August Live Cattle are entirely broken down after closing at a four-month low on a Friday. The amateur mistake is looking at high grain rallies and buying cattle on the assumption of a "cheap feed" or "tight herd" narrative. The immediate money flow reality is that packers are losing big money on every head processed, and they are slowing down line speeds to push the inventory risk back onto the producer. Protect your capital and wait for cash sales to put in a verified structural floor before attempting to catch this knife. What’s Not in the Price (Yet) The national trading desks are so hyper-focused on weekly planting status metrics that they are completely missing the explosive structural adjustments happening in global biofuels. This week's massive 301-point run in Bean Oil wasn't just a random speculative blip it’s the market starting to wake up to a massive structural squeeze as domestic crushers struggle to build enough inventory to feed late-season renewable mandate expansions. This is a massive fundamental sleeper that will continue to distort normal ag correlations through August. Market Momentum & Technical Notes Macro Headwinds: Even with equities showing late-week chop, macro asset capital is rotating violently out of defensive metals and seeking hard asset shelter in underlying energy and oilseed structures. Hog Complex Divergence: August Lean Hogs surged to a seven-week high of $101.65, showing a completely distinct, bullish daily chart trend that runs entirely counter to the bleeding cattle complex. Dollar Pressure: The greenback's underlying structural strength continues to keep an active, heavy ceiling on global cotton and copper export pipelines. #MacroTrading #FuturesMarket #Commodities #DaveMode

Shows that come into my life once a year and then completely disappear from my consciousness until I see the trailer for the next season. I don’t even be engaging with anything about them between seasons 😭😭😭 Fallout Twisted Metal … see I know there’s like 5 more that I deadass can’t recall 😭😭😭😭