In 1984 a guy got kicked out of every casino in Vegas for counting cards. So he flew to Hong Kong with $150,000 and started betting on horses instead. He walked away with almost a billion dollars.
It's Bill Benter. He figured horse racing was just another counting problem. Same math, more moving parts.
He and a partner showed up with $150k and a computer. Benter spent years teaching that computer to guess one thing: the real chance each horse had to win. If his number was better than the odds the bookies gave, he bet. If not, he skipped it.
That's the whole trick. Expected value:
EV = p · b - (1 - p)
Only bet when your win chance p, at odds b, is worth more than your chance of losing. That's it.
None of this was secret. What Benter used is the first probability lecture at MIT - the clip here, Professor Tsitsiklis writing the basic rules on the board. Freshman stuff.
Now people call it a "one-person hedge fund" and sell you a bot to run it. Same edge. It was always just the math nobody bothered to learn.
@soyjesusaragon Bueno para ser zurdo o eras cochino, bruto en matemáticas o un intolerante de mda cuando no piensas como ellos y ahora se suma otro requisito .. cachudos jajajaja ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
@AccidentalFuji Estan quemados los rojos que además de zurdopatas tmb son cachudos xD ... y a Curwebón no le fueron infiel ni por Keiko ni por Magaly sino por que no lo quieren asi de simple ¯\_(ツ)_/¯