Sentral Terminal

COT positioning terminal for futures traders. Track extremes and extended moves across 100+ contracts, CFTC data back to 1986. Weekly extremes every Friday 👇

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

1/ Where are futures positions most extreme right now? ./sentral tracks every CFTC Commitments of Traders report across 100+ contracts, with history back to 1986.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

@JavierBlas Futures traders are leaning hard into it. Legacy futures-only, 20 Oct: Henry Hub Large Speculators net short 241,272, the most in three years, at 0 on our 3-year normalised index. Their gross longs fell 12,853 that week, to 264,475. Commercials at 100.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

💻 On 20 October (Legacy futures-only), Large Speculators (Non-Commercials) in E-mini Nasdaq-100 rose to 92.4 on the 3-year normalised positioning index, from 90.1, net long 50,726 contracts, below the 6 October 3-year high of +58,123. Commercials are at 5.7.

New longs drove it: Large Speculator gross longs rose 2,574, to 86,099, while gross shorts edged up 371, to 35,373. Ahead: MSFT/GOOGL 28 Oct, FOMC 28 Oct, AMZN 29 Oct, AAPL 2 Nov.

Track positioning extremes using shortcut <NQ CMB> at https://t.co/w1buF62DqQ

#COT #CommitmentsofTraders #Nasdaq #NQ

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

🏭 On 20 October (Legacy futures-only), Large Speculators (Non-Commercials) in Henry Hub Natural Gas hit 0 on the 3-year normalised positioning index, their most extreme net short in three years at −241,272 contracts, from −233,578. Commercials are at 100.

Long liquidation drove it: Large Speculator gross longs fell 12,853, to 264,475, down 43,060 since 15 September, while gross shorts slipped 5,159, to 505,747. The November contract expires 28 October.

Track positioning extremes using shortcut <NG CMB> at https://t.co/w1buF62DqQ

#COT #CommitmentsofTraders #NaturalGas #NatGas

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

💵 4/ On 20 October (Legacy futures-only), Large Speculators (Non-Commercials) in the US Dollar Index rose to 80.8 on the 3-year normalised positioning index, from 75.3, net long 15,044 contracts, up from 12,919. Commercials are at 18.8.

Short covering drove it: Large Speculator gross shorts fell 2,299, to 17,378, the first drop after five straight weekly rises from 10,803 on 8 September. Gross longs dipped 174, to 32,422. Euro and pound are ~70% of the DXY basket. FOMC 28 Oct.

Track positioning extremes using shortcut <DX CMB> at https://t.co/w1buF62DqQ

#COT #CommitmentsofTraders #DXY #Forex $DXY

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

💶 1/ 🧵 FX COT: euro, pound, Aussie dollar and Dollar Index.

On 20 October (Legacy futures-only), Large Speculators (Non-Commercials) in Euro FX were at 1.0 on the 3-year normalised positioning index, net short 134,524 contracts, just off the prior week's 3-year extreme of −137,573. Commercials are at 98.2.

The small net change came from Large Speculator gross longs adding 3,492, to 226,421. Gross shorts held near their highs at 360,945, up 124,952 since 15 September. FOMC 28 Oct, ECB 29 Oct.

Track positioning extremes using shortcut <6E CMB> at https://t.co/w1buF62DqQ

#COT #CommitmentsofTraders #EURUSD #Forex

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

🦘 3/ On 20 October (Legacy futures-only), Large Speculators (Non-Commercials) in Australian Dollar stayed at 0 on the 3-year normalised positioning index, extending their most extreme net short in three years to −127,292 contracts, from −117,299. Commercials are at 98.9.

New shorts drove it: Large Speculator gross shorts rose for a 5th straight week, +10,023 to 225,711, up 72,493 since 15 September. Gross longs flat at 98,419. Aus CPI 28 Oct, RBA 3 Nov.

Track positioning extremes using shortcut <6A CMB> at https://t.co/w1buF62DqQ

#COT #CommitmentsofTraders #AUDUSD #Forex $6A $AUDUSD

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

@tradingriot Just as stretched on a 3-year lookback. Legacy futures-only, 13 Oct, normalised index: Commercials at 100 in Euro FX, 99.3 in British Pound and 95.1 in Australian Dollar, with Large Speculators at 0 in all three.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

@thepigsite As of 13 Oct (Legacy futures-only), lean hog Large Speculators hadn't started covering: gross shorts rose for a 5th straight week, to 163,841, and the net short hit 81,787, at 0 on our 3-year normalised index. Commercials 100. Friday's COT will show if that changed.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

@wuitrades The gross split shows how it got there. Legacy futures-only, 13 Oct: Euro FX Large Speculator gross shorts are up 124,509 since 15 Sep, to 360,502, while gross longs fell 20,091 in the latest week, to 222,929. Large Specs 0, Commercials 100 on our 3-year index.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

@mikemcglone11 Futures traders are already leaning that way. Legacy futures-only, 13 Oct: Henry Hub Large Speculators net short 233,578, at 1.6 on our 3-year normalised index, from 236,439 (index 0) a week earlier. Commercials are at 99.4.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

@BraVoCycles Futures positioning cooled too. E-mini Nasdaq-100 Large Speculators eased to 90.1 on our 3-year normalised index as of 13 Oct (Legacy futures-only), from 100, net long 48,523. Gross shorts rose 6,380 to 35,002 after four straight weeks of short covering.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

In Dollar Index futures, Large Speculator gross longs rose for a 4th straight week to 32,596 (Legacy futures-only, 13 Oct), up 6,625 since 15 Sep. Net long 12,919, at 75.3 on our 3-year normalised index: firm, not extreme. The extremes are elsewhere. Large Specs are at 0 on the index, their most extreme net short in three years, in Euro FX (−137,573), British Pound (−106,964) and Australian Dollar (−117,299).

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

@SalahBouhmidi Legacy futures-only shows the same split. As of 13 Oct, Euro FX Large Speculators are at 0 on our 3-year normalised index, net short 137,573, while Commercials are at 100. Large Spec gross shorts are up 124,509 since 15 Sep, to 360,502.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

@JavierBlas This is reflected by Henry Hub futures positioning. Legacy futures-only, 13 Oct: Large Speculators net short 233,578 NG contracts, at 1.6 on our 3-year normalised index (0 a week earlier, at 236,439 net short). Commercials are at 99.4.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

COT positioning backdrop (Legacy futures-only, 13 Oct): Large Speculators in the US Dollar Index are at 75.3 on the 3-year normalised index, net long 12,919. Euro FX and British Pound, ~70% of the DXY basket, have Large Specs at 3-year net-short extremes (index 0), as does the Aussie dollar.

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

💵 4/ On 13 October, Large Speculators (Non-Commercials) in the US Dollar Index were at 75.3 on the 3-year normalised positioning index, net long 12,919 contracts, as euro, pound and Aussie dollar Large Speculators sit at 3-year net-short extremes. Commercials are at 24.2.

Large Speculator gross longs have risen for four straight weeks, up 6,625 since 15 September to 32,596, including 2,070 in the latest week. Large Speculator gross shorts rose 1,162, to 19,677, so the net edged up from 12,011.

Track positioning extremes using shortcut <DX CMB> at https://t.co/w1buF62DqQ

#COT #CommitmentsofTraders #DXY #Forex $DXY

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

💶 1/ 🧵 COT FX: euro, pound, Aussie dollar and Dollar Index.

On 13 October, Large Speculators (Non-Commercials) in Euro FX stayed at 0 on the 3-year normalised positioning index, extending their most extreme net short in three years to −137,573 contracts, from −99,332 a week earlier. Commercials are at 100.

Large Speculator gross shorts are up 124,509 since 15 September, to 360,502, with 18,150 added in the latest week, while Large Speculator gross longs fell 20,091 week on week, to 222,929.

Track positioning extremes using shortcut <6E CMB> at https://t.co/w1buF62DqQ

#COT #CommitmentsofTraders #EURUSD #Forex $6E $EURUSD

[Sentral Terminal @sentralterminal]

🦘 3/ On 13 October, Large Speculators (Non-Commercials) in Australian Dollar hit 0 on the 3-year normalised positioning index, their most extreme net short in three years at −117,299 contracts, from −98,588 a week earlier. Commercials are at 95.1.

Large Speculator gross shorts have risen for three straight weeks, up 60,341 since 22 September to 215,688, including 16,962 in the latest week. Large Speculator gross longs slipped 1,749, to 98,389, and are down 22,143 since 8 September.

Track positioning extremes using shortcut <6A CMB> at https://t.co/w1buF62DqQ

#COT #CommitmentsofTraders #AUDUSD #Forex $6A $AUDUSD