(1 unit) Cooper Kupp over 38.5 receiving yards (-112)
Both starting corners Jamel Dean and Benjamin Morrison are out for the #Buccaneers. Kupp has had a very underwhelming year thus far but averaging 5 targets per game should be able to crush this short line early on in the game.
(1 unit) Cam Skattebo over 69.5 rushing yards(-112)
In his last game, Skattebo carried the ball 25 times for 79 yards. He has proved to be a workhorse back and with the injury to Malik Nabers the #Giants will have to relay on him to get the offense moving. I expect another 20 carries from Cam today and this middle of the pack #Saints run defense to struggle and stop him from crushing this 70 yard threshold.
(1 unit) Breece Hall over 54.5 rushing yards (-115 @MGM)
#Miami ranks in the bottom 5 of defenses vs the rush allowing 145 yards of rushing per game. Breece started the season strong against the #Steelers tallying 107 yards on 19 touches. Since then, in the last 2 games Hall has struggled to get carries and the run game going. However, the #Bills game was a blowout and not much opportunity for Hall to run the ball. Last week Hall against the Buccaneers only tallied 9 attempts for 21 yards but it’s safe to say the #Buccaneers just have a great run defense holding superstars like Bijan to 24 yards rushing and Saquon to 43 yards rushing. I expect since Justin Fields is coming off an injury that the Jets use Breece Hall a ton to establish this offense early and him to skyrocket pass this total of 54.5.
(1 unit) Malik Nabers over 63.5 receiving yards (-110 @Draftkings)
The #Chargers have allowed the number 1 receiver in the first 3 games of the season to pass this number: Courtland Sutton 118 yards, Jakobi Myers 68 yards, Holleywood Brown 99 yards. Jaxson Dart is making his debut, however at Ole Miss Jaxson broke Eli Mannings passing record tallying over 10,617 yards in Darts college career. Nabers is coming off an off game with going in and out of the game with a Shoulder issue but is 100% this week. Nabers being the most reliable option and the #Giants possibly playing from behind in this game seems to be a great combination to feed Nabers over this number of 63.5.
(1 unit) Emeka Egbuka over 58.5 receiving yards(-112 @Fanduel)
With the loss of Mike Evans last week Egbuka saw an increase in his target share finishing the game with 8 targets 6 receptions for 85 yards. The #Eagles are dealing with injury concerns at their second corner position losing Jakorian Bennett to the IR and Adoore Jackson listed as “doubtful”. I look for Baker to take advantage of this matchup vs the third string corner and to feed Egbuka the ball in short gain situations as well as down the field.
(1 unit) DeAndre Hopkins over 18.5 receiving yards (-118 @MGM)
Hopkins had surpassed this number in his first 2 games, finishing with 35 yards week 1 and 64 yards week 2. Although he only has had 2 receptions in each game, offensive coordinator Todd Monken spoke out Friday stating he foresees Hopkins getting more snaps as the season progresses. In what could be a shootout of a game in this Monday night matchup vs the #Lions I love Hopkins at this number where he can cash this in just one play.
(1 unit) Tyler Warren over 44.5 receiving yards (-112)
Warren has crushed this number in his first 2 games resulting in a team high in receiving yards totaling 155 yards over the short span and averaging 77.5 yards a game. Daniel Jones has shown Warren is his go to guy and I don’t anticipate that stopping today.
(1 unit) AJ Brown Over 62.5 receiving yards (-112)
The #Eagles passing attack has been off to a slow start. However AJ is going against a corner today that he is very familiar with in Emmanuel Forbes from when Forbes played on the #Commanders. Brown was targeted 10 times when covered by Forbes, resulting in 6 receptions, 147 receiving yards, and 2 touchdowns. On a more positive note of last game for AJ he was targeted 8 times and while only resulting in 5 catches for 27 yards. Look for Jalen Hurts to take advantage of this matchup a long with the size advantage over the Rams opposite corner in Cobie Durant.
(1 unit) Keon Coleman over 43.5 receiving yards(-112 @Fanduel)
Coming off a rough week, Keon Coleman finished with 26 yards against the Jets. Josh Allen only completed 14 passes in the entire game, and tallying only 148 passing yards. I expect a huge bounce back from Coleman in this matchup against a very poor #Dolphins secondary. Coleman is in his sophomore season with Josh Allen and the #Bills and he proved he has made a significant jump based of the ravens game finishing with 8 catches on 11 targets for 112 yards. All in all, I expect Josh to take full advantage of this Miami defense early and to get the ball down field to Coleman early. While I’m not counting on another 100+ yard game from Coleman I really feel he will crush this low number of 43.5.
(1 unit) Omarion Hampton over 56.5 rushing yards (-113 @Draftkings)
In Hampton’s rookie debut he had 15 touches for 48 yards. Although he wasn’t as productive as I expected him to be from UNC, but he out touched Najee Harris 15-1. Tonight he faces a #Raiders defense that is a step down from the #Chiefs run defense. I don’t necessarily expect him to receive a 15-1 split with Najee again, however I do think finally getting his first week under his belt he will be more comfortable and be able to show tonight why he deserved to be a first round pick.
2-1 so far on the day. Let’s keep the winning rolling 💰(+0.88 units)
(1 unit) Jaylen Waddle over 49.5 receiving yards(-112 @Draftkings) ✅
(1 unit)Javonte Williams anytime TD (-111 @Fanduel) ✅
(1 unit) DK Metcalf over 66.5 receiving yards (-112 @FanDuel) ❌
(1 unit)Javontae Williams anytime TD (-111 @Fanduel)
Javontae established himself as the clear RB 1 on the #Cowboys taking 15 of the 19 carries between him and Miles Sanders. This #Giants defense let up a total of 220 rushing yards to the #Commanders, showing their run defense is very exploitable. My reasoning behind taking anytime touchdown rather than his yards comes down to as mentioned getting the bulk of the carries, along with Miles Sanders fumbling the ball in the redzone vs the Eagles. I look for Javontae being the only running back touching the ball around the goal line and for him to punch it in early.
(1 unit) DK Metcalf over 66.5 receiving yards (-112 @FanDuel)
DK made his debut with the #Steelers last week and solidified himself as the clear WR 1 as expected. Today he is going against his former team the Seattle #Seahawks. Rodgers spoke publicly about making this a statement game for Metcalf. DK is coming off a good week after a rocky start of 2 drops totaling 83 yards on the day. I expect this connection between Rodgers and DK to only grow stronger and this line sitting under 70 yards is a perfect opportunity to capitalize.
(1 unit) Jaylen Waddle over 49.5 receiving yards(-112 @Draftkings)
It’s clear that Tyreek Hill wants to be traded from Miami. However, the main reason I love this prop today is because Christian Gonzalez is out today for the #Patriots. Last week Geno Smith torched this Patriots defense passing for over 360 yards through the air. Although Tua Tagovailoa played awful against the #Colts last week I expect a bounce back game from him here. Waddle like the rest of the dolphins team last week didn’t produce a ton, however I expect this to change today and him to have a field day over the patriots and beat this line with ease.