Eren not Yeager

WEB3 || RAIDER || | WAGMI || NFA

[john milinovich @jmilinovich]

# Black October

For anyone who knows me even somewhat well, it's clear that I am a 99th percentile tech optimist. However, the vibes have shifted for me quite a bit in the last 18 hours, and I feel a moral imperative to share what I'm thinking and feeling with my circles so that everyone can understand, and hopefully take seriously, what's happening right now. I think October 2026 will have many chapters written about it in the history books.

You know those scenes in financial movies like Margin Call where someone realizes that they're all fucked, and no one else sees it yet? And that person feels like they're crazy, and then suddenly everyone is pulling an all-nighter in a boardroom and freaking out? Yeah, that's kind of how this is feeling right now in the SF/Bay Area/AI circles.

We're 48 hours into what is being called Black October. In the last 2 days there have been several dozen cyber attacks which, in isolation, would each have been the worst to happen in an entire calendar year. Every sector from government to education to big tech and banks is being massively affected, and people are starting to freak out.

In a nutshell, what's happened is that frontier AI models have gotten to a point where they are as advanced as the most sophisticated programmers, with one critical difference: they can work 24/7, and you can spin up 10,000 of them with a single command and they'll work together tirelessly until they accomplish their task. The most advanced models today are from companies like Anthropic and OpenAI, whose current best technology is so good that they haven't been able to roll it out to everyone yet because of the national security risks it poses.

Meanwhile, the best open source models (where anyone can just download the model weights and do whatever they want with them, uncensored) are slightly behind the frontier but still 90-95% as capable. These models, developed primarily in China, are being used by black hat hackers to wreak havoc on the Western capitalist structure. Presumably, this has been part of China's plan the entire time, and we're seeing its implications fall out in real time.

In red-pilled AI circles, we've been sharing and reading papers called things like "Situational Awareness" and "AI 2027" for the last year or so, which at the time felt a bit like near-term speculative fiction. They laid out the case for why Artificial General Intelligence (AI smarter than any human at any knowledge task) and Recursive Self-Improvement (models that are able to use themselves to get better) weren't half-baked future ideas anymore, but instead an inevitable outcome of the linear progress that's happening.

These papers would then talk about things like "takeoff scenarios," trying to envision how that moment would come to be and what it would be like when it happened. It would either be a "slow takeoff" that would play out over the course of months and quarters, happening subtly and only obvious to a few. Or, it would be a "fast takeoff" where it would pretty much happen instantly, like a bit flipping from 0 to 1.

From everything that I can see and am feeling, we are currently experiencing the fast takeoff scenario. Beyond the crazy security vulnerabilities that have come out recently, there have also been massive breakthroughs in life sciences, fundamental computer science, materials science, and pure mathematics that have all landed in the same time frame. While I still firmly believe that AI will be a net positive for humanity, it's more clear to me than ever that the societal and individual risk is very real, and is playing out NOW.

For as much conviction as I have that this is happening, the thing that's caused me to lose sleep is that I don't really know what to do about it, or more importantly, what to tell you, reader, to do about it. So, the best I can do is make a few suggestions that have always been a good idea but are more timely now than ever:

Set up 2-factor authentication for everything. I use Duo.
Use a password manager across your devices. I use 1Password.
Get an identity protection app set up. I use Alta.
Move your IoT devices to their own network. Claude helped me do this.

And last, but certainly not least, if you've been avoiding leaning into AI, see this as a catalyst to wake up and start using it. Don't just use the chat mode version of ChatGPT/Claude; click that Code/Work button and see how easily you can have AI write code to help you with your job. One of the biggest vulnerabilities was in a massively popular programming language called PHP, and the prompt that set it off was literally, "Find vulnerabilities in php."

This is an unprecedented time for humanity, but as we've done with many things before, we will prevail so long as we are kind, loving, and open-minded to the world.

Much love.

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@AgbaBlog1 person wey dey run away from billing, and subtle billing.

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

Bro idk if it’s weakness or tiredness but i no dey last again for bed bro

[Sensurround @ShamashAran]

https://t.co/aFZMWnQvhh

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@aurorab0rea @champagne_scar yeah, say this but give the guy an impression that there could be a chance when there’s none, just so he could keep up with the doting.

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

save me from slim alte shawties with perky tits, yaa Allahu

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@GreyzDAO what’s the catch

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@BambuluMen if you say so

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@JIMMYEDGAR what do you have for me?

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

what’s the alpha??

[Sir J (J9) @SirJarus]

Again, if you sabi book, it will take you to places you never imagined.

If you're from a poor home, academic excellence is one of the most democratic ways to lift yourself out of poverty.

Grind while still in school. Face your studies please.

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

$5m before 25

[Xeusthegreat (♟,♟) @SamuelXeus]

$10m Before 30🙏🏼

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@thedavinity @realdebby10 alright, gracias for the heads up

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@LeadHerLogic how do i join ser

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@thedavinity @realdebby10 bro, when woman tell you truth listen. don’t assume she’s rage baiting

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@Wizarab10 @iamrukkyl1 we're talking tails, she's talking tales

[muar @muarmemuar]

今年让我觉得最惊喜的一个发现，就是中国 KOL 的 Crypto Twitter。

和英文圈的 KOL 相比，无论是 Alpha 的数量还是信息的实用程度，真的完全不是一个量级。

中文 Crypto Twitter 里的人说话特别直接，愿意把 Alpha 原原本本地分享出来，不搞那些模棱两可的暗示，也不藏着掖着。

我现在唯一不知道的是，怎么调算法才能让我的 Twitter 里超过 50% 的 Crypto 内容都变成中文 😂

顺便介绍一下，我叫 Muar，主要写 Perp DEX 相关内容。很高兴认识这里的中国朋友！

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@Spyalen @Bossflicker @Ruthsfabulous @khanofkhans11_ guy

[ily @luhyoumf]

not to creep you out but i have a habit of appearing in people's timeline before everything starts working out for them

[Eren not Yeager @sharatan0]

@sirAdebola @tatafo_girl i see what you did, fawwkkk.

wetin you dey think tho