NBA Mid-Season Recap (see below paragraph regarding current plan for volume)
All free research and picks. Posted in real times. Recaps on every day I posted plays.
Record: 64-43 (37-11 since Dec)
Profit: +8.08u
ROI: 7.6%
Hit Rate: 59.8%
Not where I would like to be ideally. A lot of this has to do with a very slow start to the season as we are 37-11 since that start. Still a ton of work left to do👍.
You guys have probably noticed tho that my volume has been very low in the last month ish. This is because I have graduated school, am working full time, and just haven’t had the same time to research plays. Along with that, the passion for betting hasn’t been the same recently (for now). Due to those two factors, volume has been low, as I will never force plays. I know a small amount of people tail me, and I hold a responsibility to myself to give those people plays that are produced with research and confidence. Just as a short-term outlook, I will likely just pop in a few times per week for some plays, and maybe get some collabs with a few accounts I respect.
Anyways, with that being said, let’s finish the second half of this season strong🔥☝️
1U Lakers SGP (bet365) @ 2.10 at Phoenix
No Book and Brooks for the Suns. Lakers coming off a close loss vs the Magic, they should bounce back here today.
Lebron over in 38/39 games for points & 32/39 games for assists.
1U Lakers SGP (bet365) @ 2.10 at Phoenix
No Book and Brooks for the Suns. Lakers coming off a close loss vs the Magic, they should bounce back here today.
Lebron over in 38/39 games for points & 32/39 games for assists.
1U Lakers ML vs Warriors @ 1.80 (bet365)
I honestly don’t understand why this line is 1.80. It may be a trap but I don’t care.
No steph, Jimmy (obv), no KP here, and the warriors recently traded away Kuminga + Hield. They are gonna have to get high tier scoring from their 4th + options or an all around scoring effort from every one.
Lakers don’t have Luka but are 100% healthy otherwise. Reaves minutes been ramping up (hit 25 last game, probably sees 28-32 this game). And with the lakers being at home, I like it a little more.
1U Lakers ML vs Warriors @ 1.80 (bet365)
I honestly don’t understand why this line is 1.80. It may be a trap but I don’t care.
No steph, Jimmy (obv), no KP here, and the warriors recently traded away Kuminga + Hield. They are gonna have to get high tier scoring from their 4th + options or an all around scoring effort from every one.
Lakers don’t have Luka but are 100% healthy otherwise. Reaves minutes been ramping up (hit 25 last game, probably sees 28-32 this game). And with the lakers being at home, I like it a little more.
1U Giannis 20+ Points/Lakers ML @ 1.83 (bet365)
Giannis has cleared this line in every game he has not gotten injured in. I feel pretty confident on that leg, shouldn’t need much of a write up.
Lakers ML is obviously the larger odds booster here. They have played well against sub-par teams, and MIL is a sub-par team. In there only matchup this season (w/o Bron & KPJ), Lakers won big (by 25). Bucks have also been below average on the road at 7-13, I just think lakers will pull this one out. May be a close one tho.
1U Giannis 20+ Points/Lakers ML @ 1.83 (bet365)
Giannis has cleared this line in every game he has not gotten injured in. I feel pretty confident on that leg, shouldn’t need much of a write up.
Lakers ML is obviously the larger odds booster here. They have played well against sub-par teams, and MIL is a sub-par team. In there only matchup this season (w/o Bron & KPJ), Lakers won big (by 25). Bucks have also been below average on the road at 7-13, I just think lakers will pull this one out. May be a close one tho.
Volume’s been low this szn. Been difficult to spend time on picks as responsibilities in life have gone up.
I’ve never considered premium but that may be a way I can justify spending more time for picks, and increase the volume/quality.
Who’d be interested at a friendly price?
@Swish_Bet Thank you bro, you as well!
Just been busy asf with work/life. Difficult to justify the time spent on picks nowadays as I’m no longer a student.
1U Luka 30+ Points/Lakers ML @ 1.76 (bet365) vs Memphis
Rui and Reaves remain out for this game. In the L6 games without Reaves, Luka has been very inefficient, more specifically from 3 point land. He is shooting 16/64 (25%) from 3 in those games. I am banking on some positive regression here from him. He also shot over 45% just 2/6 of the L6 games reaves has been out.
Luka gamelog w/o AR L6 games: Gamelog of 34, 30, 34, 12 (injured), 45, 29 points.
MEM also allows the most pull-up 3s in the league and most pull-up FGM. Filtering for the last 10 games and results are similar. This is one of Luka’s strengths. Grizzlies are also likely without Ja today, which limits their offensive creation. Lakers looked a lot better last game vs Memphis on Friday, I expect them to win today again.
1U Luka 30+ Points/Lakers ML @ 1.76 (bet365) vs Memphis
Rui and Reaves remain out for this game. In the L6 games without Reaves, Luka has been very inefficient, more specifically from 3 point land. He is shooting 16/64 (25%) from 3 in those games. I am banking on some positive regression here from him. He also shot over 45% just 2/6 of the L6 games reaves has been out.
Luka gamelog w/o AR L6 games: Gamelog of 34, 30, 34, 12 (injured), 45, 29 points.
MEM also allows the most pull-up 3s in the league and most pull-up FGM. Filtering for the last 10 games and results are similar. This is one of Luka’s strengths. Grizzlies are also likely without Ja today, which limits their offensive creation. Lakers looked a lot better last game vs Memphis on Friday, I expect them to win today again.
1U Thunder/Lakers ML @ 1.83
Best team in the league facing a warriors team who will be without Dray, Steph, Jimmy, and Melton today. OKC should take care of business today. Though, I wouldn’t be surprised if Warriors make this a competitive game since they are at home.
Laker Grizzly game will be good. With the lakers being pretty mid the last 10ish games, I expect them to come out strong today as well as sharp. They also have the two best players in this game (Bron n Luka). Should be a good one here.
1U Thunder/Lakers ML @ 1.83
Best team in the league facing a warriors team who will be without Dray, Steph, Jimmy, and Melton today. OKC should take care of business today. Though, I wouldn’t be surprised if Warriors make this a competitive game since they are at home.
Laker Grizzly game will be good. With the lakers being pretty mid the last 10ish games, I expect them to come out strong today as well as sharp. They also have the two best players in this game (Bron n Luka). Should be a good one here.
This hit but ad got hurt early and pretty much every book I’ve seen voided it.
Just not gonna record this one unless someone railed and their book didn’t void
1U Christmas Builder @ 1.78 (bet365) 🎄
Loving all 3 here, let’s get our Christmas money back.
Luka Over in 18/21 games, his volume has been off the charts this season. Even with Reaves back, he should still clear this.
KD Over in 21/25 games. Christmas game vs Bron, not many of those left for either of these dudes. Lakers defense has also been atrocious.
AD over in 8/11 games where he doesn’t get injured. GSW is not a very good rebounding team, especially when allowing offensive boards (5th worst).
1U Christmas Builder @ 1.78 (bet365) 🎄
Loving all 3 here, let’s get our Christmas money back.
Luka Over in 18/21 games, his volume has been off the charts this season. Even with Reaves back, he should still clear this.
KD Over in 21/25 games. Christmas game vs Bron, not many of those left for either of these dudes. Lakers defense has also been atrocious.
AD over in 8/11 games where he doesn’t get injured. GSW is not a very good rebounding team, especially when allowing offensive boards (5th worst).