Interesting, starting to see some of my concepts in https://t.co/lf519uSVL8 getting cited by operators, funds and startups in reports / papers.
While I have been busy with other engagements, I will be making sure that the final version (as a set of working papers, not one), gets released in the coming weeks, as well as updating the explorer in partnership with an incredible distribution partner.
We just published What Happens When Institutional Liquidity Enters Prediction Markets.
Our view is that this is becoming a central question for prediction market research. As these markets evolve toward institutionally shaped trading venues, it is no longer enough to study forecast accuracy alone. We also need to understand execution quality, market structure, and trader welfare.