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Had a deep dive into Italy, and they are getting bolder under Gattuso.
Their display against Northern Ireland was another example of the more attacking setup they are taking under their manager.
I went back to watch their game against Northern Ireland and they were incredibly positive, which made me interested in their other games under Gattuso during qualifying.
Italy managed 19 shots against Northern Ireland, extending a ridiculous run when it comes to their shot volume:
• 19 shots v Northern Ireland
• 15 shots v Norway
• 28 shots v Moldova
• 16 shots v Israel
• 24 shots v Estonia
• 17 shots v Israel
• 40 shots v Estonia
• 28 shots v Moldova
The only game during qualifying in which they failed to have at least 15+ shots was their first qualifying game against Norway, which was notably not under the reign of Gattuso.
It’s important to factor in the quality of opponents that Italy were taking on during this run, but Bosnia play in a way which will invite Italy to rack up a high shot count.
Bosnia allowed Wales to register 12 shots in regular time, and 19 shots by the end of extra time.
This fits well with Italy’s attacking structure, which is sure to be even more forward thinking than usual with Italy looking to break their recent curse which has seen them fail to qualify for the last two World Cups - they’ll be desperate to get through here.
Some standouts for shots:
Federico Dimarco will line up at left wingback and really suits this setup, he’s always been a bit careless defensively but his attacking quality is undeniable - and he’s stepped up this part of his game this campaign.
Dimarco has registered 20 goal contributions across just 24 starts for Inter Milan in Serie A this season, while averaging 2.30 shots per 90. These numbers confirm that Dimarco is more of an attacking asset, and Gattuso is using him in that way.
Dimarco is yet to find the back of the net across his seven qualifying games for Italy, but has been posting reliable shot numbers with 16 efforts across these matches (2.52 per 90).
I'd mainly be looking at him for multiple shots, or a shot on target.
Sandro Tonali is another worth looking at for shots, shots on target or even a goal involvement. He was excellent in Italy’s 2-0 win over Northern Ireland, having a hand in both goals with a goal and an assist.
He was also the most advanced of Italy’s midfield three, so he should continue to get chances in this encounter.
He's managed 2+ shots in four of his last five matches for Italy, even managing 3+ shots in three of those.
Hopefully this helps with your bets, please let me know if it does.
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And here are the stats for Group F.
That's six groups shared now with just a couple more to go.
Make sure you're bookmarking these posts before the weekend. They will be helpful.
Has anyone had a pre-tournament bet?
🗂️ Belgium v Wales Cheat Sheet
Sorted a sheet for this game for anyone who's interested in it tonight.
There's content for it including a Bet Builder treble on my site if you want to look.
Here: https://t.co/DQjlgxuLmQ
Good luck.
Here's one for Espanyol v Barcelona.
A Barca win seals the title, and they're up against their rivals. I'm pretty sure it's televised on ITV4.
As for the ref stats:
This season: 24.05 fouls, 4.21 yellows and 0.37 reds.
Career: 26.23 fouls, 5.04 yellows and 0.21 reds.
Here’s two, sorted whilst my fajitas went cold.
🏟️ Liverpool v Real Madrid
🏟️ Villa v Juventus
All others available on Andy’s Bet Club.
👉🏼 https://t.co/VHJU9hd9Ss
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