Polymarket US Gains Momentum
The US version of Polymarket has been live for just a few months and is already capturing market share from Kalshi.
What’s new?
• The app has climbed into the App Store’s top 3. During the first week of the NFL season, it saw 762,000 downloads—accounting for a quarter of all downloads in the category;
• The gap with Kalshi is narrowing. Kalshi’s market share dropped from 86% to 82% over the week, though it still leads significantly in terms of volume;
• The team is working on merging the order books for the US and international versions. Currently, they are separate, meaning the same event is priced differently on the two platforms.
https://t.co/Rob3SAJ0I9
The Polymarket story is not about betting.
It’s about information markets replacing institutions.
2019: Built in a bathroom by a NYU dropout
2020: Launches as the world shuts down
2021: Migrates to Polygon → prediction markets go global
2022: CFTC fine → forced to block US, goes fully offshore
2023–2024: Becomes the real-time oracle of world events
2024: $3.6B volume — outperforms traditional polls
2025: Acquires regulated exchange → path back to US
2026: Full US relaunch → prediction markets enter mainstream finance
The key insight:
Liquidity + incentives > opinions + surveys.
Polymarket doesn’t predict the future.
It prices collective belief in real time.
The narrative shift has already started.
#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets
@Polymarket@PolymarketTrade
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The market might be a bit chilly, but Balance is here to bring the warmth! TGE is coming soon, and our community’s power is stronger than ever!
Have you ever engaged with our official accounts (@Balance_Fun@BalanceWeb3@RealBalanceFun), past or present? Every interaction counts, and your support will be rewarded.
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