วิธีการสื่อสารที่ดีที่สุดต้องมีสายตาเป็นส่วนประกอบ
once in a blue moon musician,
part time poet & politician,
full time historical enthusiast
wanna be a doctor
And there it is: dark blue (70% below ATH)!
Most indicators (S2F, RSI,200WMA, Realized etc) are at extreme levels. Does that mean that all indicators are "invalidated" "debunked"? No. Investing is a game of probabilities and indicators give situational awareness: BTC is oversold.
Let me be clear:
1) Nov98K & Dec135K miss = FLOOR MODEL FAIL
2) Dec100K miss: I have said earlier that if BTC<$100K Dec2021, then S2F is “off the rails” “invalidated” “dead”. Tbh that was an ill attempt to clarify “$100K average this cycle” & regression analysis. S2F MODEL INTACT
Bitcoin needs a small miracle for a 100K Christmas. Will I ditch S2F model if this does not happen? Nah, I actually like being at the lower bands. In fact I published the model at the lower bands in March 2019 with btc below 4K.