SickSwinger

i post swing trades that are sick.

[Mike Alfred @mikealfred]

Interesting commentary on CIFR from Cantor Fitzgerald today

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

Didn't take long - TP 1 hit this morning.

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

Opened $TILE yesterday.

Interface Inc — commercial flooring. Boring? Yes.

EPS +95% YoY, rising dividend, trading at 9x EV/EBITDA below peers. Data center flooring tailwind not priced in yet.

The market ignores quiet compounders until it can't.

Stop: $24.25 | T1: $30 T2: $32.5 T3: $39

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

Meanwhile... $BRCC

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

Why $BRCC Deserves Attention as a Cyclical Stock Pick.

A thread.

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

Opened $CMCL yesterday.

Caledonia Mining — profitable gold producer, dividend payer, ~10x earnings. Gold is ripping. Nobody's talking about this one.

Why cheap? Zimbabwe country risk + Q1 production miss. That's the dislocation. Country risk is real — but it's already in the price.

T1: $30 → T2: $38 → T3: $48–52 (only if Bilboes financing clears)

This is the most asymmetric setup in the portfolio right now. Watching Bilboes closely.

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

Opened $TASK yesterday.

Market has priced in full AI disruption.

Fundamentals haven't confirmed it.

7–8x FCF, 100% analyst buy ratings, Blackstone sniffed a take-private once.

Stop: $5.00 | Earnings May 11 — lots of room upward.

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

Opened $TILE yesterday.

Interface Inc — commercial flooring. Boring? Yes.

EPS +95% YoY, rising dividend, trading at 9x EV/EBITDA below peers. Data center flooring tailwind not priced in yet.

The market ignores quiet compounders until it can't.

Stop: $24.25 | T1: $30 T2: $32.5 T3: $39

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

There aren’t very many charts that look this bullish🔥

$CIFR

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

Japan literally made stock investing tax-free for its citizens (NISA).

0% capital gains.
0% dividend tax.
Simple. Permanent. Accessible.

Meanwhile, the U.S. taxes gains, restricts access, and buries investors in rules.

One country is engineering a permanent equity bid.
The other is coasting.

Why have I never heard of this until now?

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@mikealfred Hey Mike can you make Cipher announce a deal before June so my calls go crazy and I can stick it to all of the kid squigglers

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@mikealfred No shart quigglers to be found here Mike

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

$NWL Value = Value

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

$NWL is a classic hated value name with asymmetric upside. At ~0.2–0.3x sales, ~6x EV/EBITDA, and ~5–6x P/FCF, the market is pricing Newell like a melting ice cube despite a portfolio of durable brands (Sharpie, Rubbermaid, Yankee Candle).

Management is deep into a multi-year turnaround: headcount reductions, SKU rationalization, cost cuts targeting $110–130M annually, and improving margin discipline. Operating cash flow is guided positive and stabilizing.

Leverage is the bear case, but they’ve begun reducing net debt and improving interest coverage. If the business normalizes and re-rates even to 1x sales or a low-teens earnings multiple, the upside becomes a realistic 5x+ from a $3–4 base.

High risk, but this is where deep value lives: ugly chart, real brands, real cash flow, and a turnaround the market has already priced for dead.

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@scale_bar @mikealfred Forgot to include $NWL

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@BradHuston Who do you think is shorting right now?

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@mikealfred The kid squigglers just don’t understand

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@mikealfred @AndreasSteno ChatGPT response

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@RJCcapital @mikealfred Just got off the phone with Jane Street. They confirmed each kid squiggler and chart analyst must be decimated.

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@mikealfred YTD performance Mike?

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

🐄🥛@Topstep

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@TheVixhal Insane that 107.5 mil is only a 100th of a percent increase in net worth

[SickSwinger @sickswinger]

@commonsenseplay @mikealfred Jane Street agrees