@Iodiice@Worldsource24 Missile launches, drones, etc. will not be launched from west or center Iran. If it's true, a report from SHIN claims that a missile was launched from Lar, Iran (which is southern Iran.)
An explosion was reported at the coordinates:
📍 17.307377, 10.199432
...the explosions were likely intentional and controlled. This corridor is known for being used for ISSP logistics in #Niger.
A week ago, an Islamic State recruiter was intercepted in an attempt to recruit someone in Turkey. However it's unknown whether the recruitment was successful, but it uncovered a much bigger network in the background; revealing a new network in Turkey with 90+ participants. Some of them seem to have connections in Syria's urban populations rather than being fighter cells in the rural deserts.
A JNIM incursion approximately 100km into Mauritanian territory was detected overnight and is assessed as deliberate rather than a navigational error, based on three operational indicators.
Probing and Response Mapping
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The selected corridor sits within Mauritania's least monitored eastern boundary. Population density in this region is negligible, which limits local informant networks and reduces the likelihood of triggering an official response. This is intentionally probing: test reaction times and identify blind spots before committing to a real incursion. Mauritania's security infrastructure is concentrated in the west near Senegal, leaving the Mali-adjacent east structurally exposed with little to no outpost presence.
Plausible Deniability as Cover
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Desert border crossings without physical markers provide built-in deniability. The fuel argument, that insufficient range prevented a return crossing, is tactically available to JNIM commanders if confronted by Mauritanian authorities. This gives the operation a clean exit narrative while the actual objectives were already met on the ground.
Kayes is What They Want
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The repositioning into Kayes, Mali upon withdrawal was not a retreat. It was a redirection. Kayes represents a historically stable western front that has remained largely untouched by the broader Sahel conflict. JNIM's entry signals a deliberate westward push toward the Senegal border corridor, extending operational reach well beyond consolidation of existing northern and central gains.
Assessment
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This operation was multi-objective. Probe Mauritanian response capacity, acquire new Mali territory, and gather intelligence on Mauritania.
A signal from somewhere in the Middle East is sending the word "GOD", possible origin is either Iraq or Iran. The years "2024" and "2026" were sent. The message is being sent to 12 groups and the station is counting from 220 to 227 twice. I wasn't able to get a good place of origin, however Iran was the most consistent in the triangulation results.
✍️ Based off of these 3 posts from a couple days ago on #SaudiArabia and #Yemen, I would say that both sides, especially Saudi Arabia expected clashes to happen:
https://t.co/tq1BBa65qQ - "The Houthis are likely moving in Yemen, radio activity increased."
https://t.co/MOciCsAzAW - "Radio traffic was intercepted going from 🇾🇪 Yemen — 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia."
https://t.co/RDtdUhuFKm - "🇾🇪—🇸🇦 ISR drone radio telemetry near Yemen."
Summary of the Iran tensions in electronic warfare as of 01:40 UTC:
• Radio beacons were heard in the Gulf of Oman
• U.S Airforce radio communications were heard
• A pilot in the Middle East communicating with a ground station, confirming with a "Roger."
• Iran jamming Kuwait, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, however no strategic benefits.
• Jordanian Army radio communications increased, but nothing interesting.
• Jamming in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province.
#JNIM is likely going to move to the north of their position as marked on the map, to gain an advantage in altitude and be able to contact other cells using radio by line of sight (LOS).
As Anefis in #Mali was liberated from rebel control recently, JNIM has retreated into the desert of Kidal region. JNIM radio activity has revealed a potential plan for a counter-attack against the #Russian African forces possibly somewhere on 11th July.
As Anefis in #Mali was liberated from rebel control recently, JNIM has retreated into the desert of Kidal region. JNIM radio activity has revealed a potential plan for a counter-attack against the #Russian African forces possibly somewhere on 11th July.