A research platform for new token launches. Nine chains, every new token measured, every alert scored against a matched control set unique to this platform only
One operator launched 86 tokens on #RobinhoodChain in ten weeks and traded almost entirely with itself.
It deployed them, supplied the liquidity, bought the first minute and churned volume through thousands of wallets. Real buyers: under 2% of the buying. 🧵
We publish 8 kinds of entry alert on Solana.
Against a matched control -- same chain, same token age -- not one beats it. The largest, 1,519 firings, pays 0.87x of its control.
That sentence rides on every alert we send.
#Solana#onchain#memecoins
We publish 9 kinds of entry alert on Robinhood Chain.
Against a matched control -- same chain, same token age -- not one beats it. The largest, 737 firings, pays 0.90x of its control.
That sentence rides on every alert we send.
#onchain#memecoins
Yesterday on Signalworks: 604 promoted tokens across 6 chains. Detectors fired 306 times on 184 tokens.
543 tokens reached 24 hours old: 21% had at least doubled, 45% were dead.
Every detector is scored against a matched control, misses included.
#memecoins#onchain
Early buyers mostly gone by 6h.
On Arc, tokens with that sign die within a day 45% of the time. Without it, same pool window: 16%. 31 against 31 tokens.
We show it on the token, before you buy.
#memecoins#rugpull
Yesterday on Signalworks: 731 new tokens across 8 chains. Detectors fired 340 times on 202 tokens.
579 tokens reached 24 hours old: 19% had at least doubled, 44% were dead.
Every detector is scored against a matched control, misses included.
#memecoins#onchain
An older copy already trades on this chain.
On Arc, tokens with that sign die within a day 46% of the time. Without it, same pool window: 24%. 50 against 33 tokens.
We show it on the token, before you buy.
#memecoins#rugpull
Yesterday on Signalworks: 760 new tokens across 6 chains. Detectors fired 173 times on 122 tokens.
233 tokens reached 24 hours old: 18% had at least doubled, 39% were dead.
Every detector is scored against a matched control, misses included.
#memecoins#onchain
266 new BNB Chain tokens, each followed for a day from the first price we recorded.
32% ever doubled. 37% ended at a fifth of where they started or less.
That is the field every alert has to beat, and it is why we score them against it.
#BNBChain#memecoins#rugpull
3,241 new Robinhood Chain tokens, each followed for a day from the first price we recorded.
29% ever doubled. 51% ended at a fifth of where they started or less.
That is the field every alert has to beat, and it is why we score them against it.
#memecoins#rugpull
4,524 new Solana tokens, each followed for a day from the first price we recorded.
18% ever doubled. 43% ended at a fifth of where they started or less.
That is the field every alert has to beat, and it is why we score them against it.
#Solana#memecoins#rugpull
Yesterday on Signalworks: 682 new tokens across 7 chains. Detectors fired 133 times on 86 tokens.
54 tokens reached 24 hours old: 17% had at least doubled, 48% were dead.
Every detector is scored against a matched control, misses included.
#memecoins#onchain
Early buyers mostly gone by 6h.
On Robinhood Chain, tokens with that sign die within a day 57% of the time. Without it, same pool window: 36%. 1,899 against 639 tokens.
We show it on the token, before you buy.
#memecoins#rugpull
Early buyers mostly gone by 6h.
On Solana, tokens with that sign die within a day 45% of the time. Without it, same pool window: 23%. 2,731 against 184 tokens.
We show it on the token, before you buy.
#Solana#memecoins#rugpull
Deployer sold.
On Arc, tokens with that sign die within a day 52% of the time. Without it, same pool window: 28%. 31 against 40 tokens.
We show it on the token, before you buy.
#memecoins#rugpull
Everyone builds entry alerts. Our measurable edge is an exit.
On Robinhood Chain a token sits at 0.53x a day after wallet sell fires; a same-age token we did not flag, 0.71x. 103 firings.
Entry alerts are judged the same way. None clears that bar.
#onchain#memecoins
Everyone builds entry alerts. Our measurable edge is an exit.
On Robinhood Chain a token sits at 0.70x a day after deployer sold fires; a same-age token we did not flag, 0.64x. 559 firings.
Entry alerts are judged the same way. None clears that bar.
#onchain#memecoins
We publish 8 kinds of entry alert on Solana.
Against a matched control -- same chain, same token age -- not one beats it. The largest, 1,519 firings, pays 0.87x of its control.
That sentence rides on every alert we send.
#Solana#onchain#memecoins
We publish 9 kinds of entry alert on Robinhood Chain.
Against a matched control -- same chain, same token age -- not one beats it. The largest, 640 firings, pays 0.89x of its control.
That sentence rides on every alert we send.
#onchain#memecoins
We're building this into Signalworks Cabals: the network map, a replay of each campaign, and a warning when a known network starts loading a token.
https://t.co/Zls4aWd3vC
Net across all 86 tokens: the operator +57 ETH before gas, real buyers -66.5 ETH.
The charts showed up to 11,000 WETH of volume per token. Real buyers put in a median 0.39 ETH. On ordinary launches the same weeks: 133 ETH.
Then the money goes round. Proceeds land in the operator's contracts and pay for the next launch's buying and gas.
Some leaves: a wallet created on 26 Sep bridged $33,000 off-chain.