Iran got everything it wanted.
We got...the Strait of Hormuz reopened...which was open before we started the war...and it turns out, the Strait will be reopened...eventually...and under joint Iranian-Omani control.
Stupidest war.
Stupidest ceasefire.
Stupidest moment ever.
There is a segment of society that values a $2000 restaurant meal, a designer purse, $1500 shoes, a Bugatti, a yacht, drunken recreational sex at elite parties, and rubbing elbows with the famous and powerful at exclusive clubs.
There is another segment of society that values growing and raising what they eat on their own land, reliable tools so they can fix and build, boots that will keep out mud and water while not letting a snake’s fang through, a truck that can tow a cattle trailer, a reliable Def free tractor, and sitting on the porch with your spouse watching the birds and donkeys and cows and dogs.
These two groups are not compatible.
The first group is attempting to take all that the second group has…. to “develop.” To “expand.” To “profit.” Consolidation. Efficiency. Savings.
Solar. Wind. Datacenters. Housing.
No.
I will not be assimilated.
I have a strong gut feeling that, 2 weeks ago, Trump was informed about oil inventories approaching critically low levels, forcing the price to snap back to reality because soon there won't be enough to fulfill all the demand.
Since then, he has done all he could to "reopen" the SoH, to the point he ended up accepting all "unacceptable" Iran's requests that have NEVER changed since April
Now the US government is rushing to reopen the SoH, aiming to restore the traffic back to the pre-war state. This is something that, objectively, is impossible to achieve because of the mines in the water, Iran's strong grip over it, the war damage that will take months to repair, and the shipping industry unwilling to venture within the strait till there is 110% certainty the conflict won't escalate again.
As I write these words, the Israeli army is still in Lebanon and has no intention to leave it. Objectively speaking, this means there won't be any official MoU signature between the US and Iran on Friday that starts the 60-day negotiation phase. Furthermore, Trump already said in a NYT interview on Monday that if he does not reach a satisfactory agreement with Iran, especially on the Uranium topic, he will resume the military campaign.
Yesterday, a friend told me, "The market isn't trading based on reality; it is just betting the house on Trump"
So far this week, there has been no meaningful pickup of traffic in the SoH despite Trump's rush to announce it was "fully reopened"
Buyers around the world are still sitting on the sidelines; winter restocking is even over a month late, and peak driving season is starting. India is already rationing fuel, and the same is starting to happen in Russia, in case you missed the news. Refining spreads remain close to the peak too, as a sign of how strong demand is.
This is the simple reality, and traders are sticking their heads deep in the sand to avoid seeing it betting on a Trump's "miracle", but the last time I checked miracles only exist in the Bible
My dad is older than Israel. Yet this pathetic man utters the claim that the U.S. wouldn’t exist without Israel?
Let’s pull all financial and military support and see how long the genocidal welfare queens last.
I want the US to collapse in such a fashion that PIGS, judges, politicians, fake billionaires, all flee the country in panic
These motherfuckers have done so much damage
BREAKING: Iran's IRGC threatens a "harsh response" against Israel, accusing it of violating the ceasefire and Lebanon clause of the US-Iran agreement 84 times in just the past two days since Trump announced the end of the war, warning it will attack if any further violations occur, per Tasnim.
Outrageous. And all too common. You DO NOT have to open the door. And, if you have a dog(s), never do.
RELATED: Your safety is your own responsibility. Cops won't save you, and might even kill you. And if in real danger, they won't get there in time anyway.
This “deal” is going to fall apart
Iran made it crystal clear that Lebanon is part of the deal or there is no deal
US officials already walking back Israeli withdrawal