In the past couple of weeks we've seen some worrying trends on the GB power grid with unprecedented summer margin notices and three occasions on which system operator @neso_energy was forced to ask the EU to lift intraday interconnector trading limits
But more worrying is what hasn't been widely reported - on 23 June there was persistent low frequency through the evening which NESO eventually solved by curtailing exports
Not by buying the capacity back, but by requesting "Emergency Assistance" - these aren't really requests - although the other TSO can reject the request it can't stop NESO from turning the flow off at the exit substation
Why is this worrying?
1. NESO didn't issue any warnings to the market that GB margins were tight yet it was unable to keep frequency within the safe operating limit - why not?
2. By cutting off exports to the Netherlands and France, in the absence of any system warnings, NESO has just made cutting off exports part of the normal operational toolkit. As we rely on imports in winter we might regret this move as the other countries will feel far more able to reduce their exports to us after this move
3. Did the absence of any warnings issued by NESO mean it didn't see the tight margins coming ie was it due to forecasting errors?
4. Was the system actually secure during this period? Was NESO compliant with the SQSS (requirement to at all times hold enough reserve to cover the loss of the single largest infeed - I doubt it since at times during the say the demand forecast error was higher than the required reserve holding)? Were any transmission constraints violated?
The fact there has been no discussion of this by NESO is also worrying. NESO seems to think if it keeps quiet about its challenges nobody will notice
But the demand forecasting errors are growing, as the system becomes more complex. The maximum error so far this year is almost 4x the SQSS!!
And that's the average over half an hour - the instantaneous error is likely far higher. And of course NESO balances the grid from instant to instant, not over half hours
So can NESO actually PROVE it can run the grid securely? Everyone assumes it can because we haven't had a blackout. But the absence of a disaster is not the same as safety - running into traffic isn't safe just because you're not run over every time you do it
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@paddytoland@GBNEWS He can do what the fuck he likes. Imagine Ireland in the World Cup and this happening outside their hotel, then RTE would do the same.
Got to love Hitachi Energy UK: all sites, and offices permitted to close until midday Monday. And the same start allowed for remote workers. For the Mexico vs England, World Cup game. This is such a great way to run a company. #wc2026#Mexvseng#England#world cup
@Mark_J_Henry@EurobarometerEU Sounds like it could be being under-reported. Need to look at how reports are recorded. I suspect other countries have more advanced systems.
@officialsammyuk No one should be in prison for drugs offemces. If we legalised drugs instead of criminalising then we would raise more taxes and revenue for Government and solve the issue with over-crowding in our prisons, so that people like him are not released early.
The core part of the Henry Nowak murder (the part we must not forget and must seriously engage with) is that his killer and family instinctively thought to fabricate a racism narrative because they knew it would give them an immediate advantage and invert the roles at the scene. And it worked exactly as calculated.
It has struck a raw nerve because it makes visible in the most repulsive way imaginable what many have long sensed, that accusations of racism have become a powerful, paralysing force in modern Britain eventually leading to a dying boy being sidelined while the system instinctively prioritised accusations of racism.
A striking difference in how Chinese media covers world events. China Daily leading its front page splash with a photo of Palestinians praying at the ruins of a mosque destroyed by an Isreali airstrike.
@MAVERIC68078049 You realise it's still Spring right? We are experiencing peak Summer temperatures in Spring. We reached 35 degrees, breaking the UK heat records two consecutive days in a row. This is not regular climate, or even 'climate change' (a phrase coined by BP) it's GLOBAL WARMING.