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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[InventMoney @InventMoneyApp]

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[Toby @jinyuaner_]

这两天和 @CCcylin @Piaoxue_eth 聊天，认为寻找和下注 Alpha（有价值、尚未被广泛认知的标的）对于普通人想要实现/维持富有，是一个核心能力。

Hyperliquid 是我最近找到的一个 Alpha：

一、市场情绪

几乎所有我接触到的人都相信 Hyperliquid 会成为 Perp DEX 的最终赢家。

二、$HYPE 有真实的回购/销毁机制 + USDC 生态收入

目前（2026.05.21）:
- 流通量 0.29B
- 价格 $61
- AF 年回购 $0.55B（月回购在 $45M 左右）
- 市值 = 流通量 x 价格 = $17.69B
- 回购收益率 = 年回购 / 市值 = 3.11%

目标价格 = 年化回购金额 / 目标回购收益率 / 流通量

1 年后流通量中性情景约 390M HYPE：
298.6M 当前流通 + 79M 团队 vesting + 约 23M 自由裁量项估算（Foundation/Emissions/Grants）- 9M AF 回购

对比 6 个月前 2025 Q3-Q4，HL 的年回购在 $1.02B 左右；如果回到 2025 Q4 的交易活跃度，年回购有机会回到 $1.1B-$1.2B。

假设一年后市场仍按当前约 3.11% 回购收益率定价：

- 保守（回购维持 $0.55B）: 价格 = 0.55/0.0311/0.39 = $45
- 中性（回购 $1.0B）: 价格 = 1.0/0.0311/0.39 = $83
- 乐观（回购 $1.5B）: 价格 = 1.5/0.0311/0.39 = $124
- 极乐观（回购 $2.0B）: 价格 = 2.0/0.0311/0.39 = $165

三、Hyperliquid 有潜力对市场进行重新的洗牌：能够挑战 Binance、纳斯达克、传统券商

目前 HYPE 在市场的份额大概在 3-6% 左右；Binance 在 18-32% 左右。Binance 目前是 HYPE 3-6 倍交易量以上。

传统在纳斯达克发行的股票，可以在 Hyperliquid 上进行，所有记录都公开透明，全世界的资金可以不通过美国资管直接涌入。

参考
https://t.co/Na8W44tESI
https://t.co/AZeCDMUpWD
https://t.co/0zcatKqFXW
https://t.co/NhkGqMvjma

#alphaFinding #HYPE #Hyperliquid

[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Pika @PikaGambles]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Four.meme-華語 @fourdotmemezh]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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[Zayn☀️ ZUG @sinba007]

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