Ivan Sivkov

Servicing the largest telcos. Diverse tech and consultancy background. Extremely passionate about finance, markets and asset valuations. Managing own portfolio.

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@MacroSkokie I was just mocking the fintwit PhDs that now have a tough job to defend their bs narrative about the liquidity drain :)

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@MacroSkokie It's pathetic some people spent their lifetime studying & practicing for CFA, figuring out unlevered beta, WACC, Black-Scholes, etc, yet they fall for silly bs narratives that can't survive basic logic checks.

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@MacroSkokie Now I want to know where did this liquidity come from, WHERE?! Did market participants just yolo all these almighty hundreds of billions they carefully tucked for SPCX and GOOGL or did they tap mom and dad's credit cards to buy SPX?

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@KiwiPMI @SamanthaLaDuc Thanks Darren. My point was that most LETFs dont execute any transactions on options and stock markets, hence no MM hedging hence no impact on gamma. Unlike their non-levered equivalents, which are forced to sell/buy stocks daily.

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@MacroSkokie Really incredible. I'm totally stunned to see credible educated people with years of proven experience supporting this dummy take. It's amazing how narrative always comes after price action.

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@clkleinmonaco Congrats Christian! Wishing the newly weds a long and successful journey together, hopeful they make you happy soon also as a grandfather :)

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@MacroSkokie Godspeed mate!

I was very lucky to close my naz shorts at the lows, nibled semis, $NOW and $NOK. I think the calm action of $BTCUSD and its divergence from indices deserves attention too (not a mouth-watering setup but this change of character could be a tell).

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@MacroSkokie so it's almost time to press the longs:)

Wishing you a nice summer in CH and lots of tailwind in whatever direction you're trading the market!

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@KiwiPMI Thanks Darren, all good here, quite busy with the little monsters and their parenting :) It's a pity we're skipping this year's get-together - hopeful we can catch up next year!

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@Guv999 Your calls on $BB, $NOK and other stocks that I can't disclose for obvious reasons have been epic! I've been in your private group for only 2 months now and I'd like to thank you for admitting me! 🙇‍♂️

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@ArrakisGlobal Very good thread, I’ve gone through exactly the same journey. I spent a lot of effort learning asset valuation and value investment. Ditched it a few years ago. Now I’m just a pig. I often own tickers without even knowing the names of their companies let alone their business.

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@BergMilton Thanks for sharing Milton. As usual, very helpful at a pivotal point! A happy subsriber of your retail service, looking fwd to joining your institutional clients one day.

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@kpak82 Most of your followers are normal people, I think it's a waste to engage with cheeky degens that haven't found a more efficient use of their time and energy.

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@kpak82 You're one of the very few accounts on twitter who make very specific, explicit and verifiable calls. That deserves a lot of respect, regardless of success rate and returns, which by the way are also quite appealing.

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@kpak82 Happy 1-Apr Kev, nice one 🤣

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@lord_fed P.S. Don't know your 15 tickers but you may add also $ACN and $INFY to the list if not there yet. They'll come out as beneficiaries, not victims. Just be prepared for market to take 2-3 years to realize it. (4/N)
END

[Ivan Sivkov @sivkov_ivan]

@lord_fed That said, I'm mindful these names are more likely to drop another 20-30% before bottoming.
What I find even more amusing is I met many senior people in our industry that echo the 'software is done' view. Makes me laugh harder. (3/N)