For my time-based predictions, I generally aim for the 50% percentile date, which means that half my predictions will be late and half will be early. The press never mentions the predictions that were early, so it seems like I’m always late.
However, it is very rare that a prediction I make does not come true over time.
Satya wins.
Reflexes of a startup CEO.
Resources of a trillion dollar company.
Pulls this together in 48 hours from a cold start.
Gets it signed and over the line before markets open.