My first month running this page and I cooked the entire World Cup ππ₯
Hereβs what was printing:
Passes attempted. That was the whole tournament. No prop type showed up on these slips more, and it wasnβt close. Overs on defenders in teams that dominate the ball, unders on keepers and defenders stuck chasing the game. Some of these cleared the line by 30, 40, even 50 passes. The books set soccer volume lines like it was a regular club weekend and World Cup football made them look silly for a month straight.
Second biggest piece: CS2 kill lines. Maps 1-2 kills hit on both sides of the number, some overs clearing by 10+, and they were perfect for rounding out 6-mans when the soccer slate was thin.
The quiet money was goalie saves. Underdog keepers got peppered all tournament and every saves over I took hit.
Sprinkle in tennis fantasy overs and WNBA volume props and thatβs the whole recipe. Volume stats over outcome stats. All month.
The lesson from this run: donβt bet on what a player might do. Bet on what the game script forces them to do.
Did anyone cash with me this World Cup?
β€οΈ + Follow. All my plays are FREE π
#POD
Tim Ream OVER 55.5 passes attempted
Four of the five games on his card arenβt even Charlotte games
Austria. TΓΌrkiye. Bosnia. Belgium. Thatβs all from his World Cup run with the USMNT. Different system, different teammates, different job
This is what nobody checks. A guy comes back from international duty and his last 5 tells you nothing about how he plays for his club. You have to go pull the club numbers yourself
So I did. In MLS this season heβs attempted 649 passes across 945 minutes. Thatβs 61.8 per 90. More than 6 above his line
And that stretch doesnβt even include his latest one. The only MLS game sitting on his card is the most recent game on there, and he put up 74
Before anybody brings it up, Charlotte rarely have the ball. 45% possession across their last 10 games, and theyβve had more of it than their opponent in only 2 of those 10. Heβs putting up these numbers anyway, because everything they build starts at his feet
38 years old, left footed and in every predicted XI tonight
β€οΈ+Follow; Turn notis on so you beat the bumps π
#MLS #PrizePicks
#POD
Tim Ream OVER 55.5 passes attempted
Four of the five games on his card arenβt even Charlotte games
Austria. TΓΌrkiye. Bosnia. Belgium. Thatβs all from his World Cup run with the USMNT. Different system, different teammates, different job
This is what nobody checks. A guy comes back from international duty and his last 5 tells you nothing about how he plays for his club. You have to go pull the club numbers yourself
So I did. In MLS this season heβs attempted 649 passes across 945 minutes. Thatβs 61.8 per 90. More than 6 above his line
And that stretch doesnβt even include his latest one. The only MLS game sitting on his card is the most recent game on there, and he put up 74
Before anybody brings it up, Charlotte rarely have the ball. 45% possession across their last 10 games, and theyβve had more of it than their opponent in only 2 of those 10. Heβs putting up these numbers anyway, because everything they build starts at his feet
38 years old, left footed and in every predicted XI tonight
β€οΈ+Follow; Turn notis on so you beat the bumps π
#MLS #PrizePicks
@wintallhandsom3 Got a few slips in already, but a lot of the lines have moved since I built them. Was gonna drop a bunch of tiles, but I might put up a 6-man once more lineups are confirmed.
#POD
Lewandowski UNDER 22.5 passes attempted
Man made his actual MLS debut days ago. 62 minutes, 17 passes attempted. A 37 year old finisher still getting his legs under him in a brand new league, and the over needs him to jump 6 more attempts than his debut number just to hit
Heβs never been a build up guy. Not at Bayern, not at Barca, not now. The ball runs through everyone else and finds him in the box, not the other way around
Turn notis on so you beat the bumps π